New Mexico, 2022

Flash Flood and Flooding in New Mexico, August 20 to 27, 2022

August 20 to 27, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 4 events in 2 counties and zones

An easterly wave that had been in place over southern New Mexico and Arizona all week finally tracked over New Mexico on August 20, 2022. As it did so, it brought an above normal amount of precipitation as precipitable water amounts rose to near record values.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.1 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

An easterly wave that had been in place over southern New Mexico and Arizona all week finally tracked over New Mexico on August 20, 2022. As it did so, it brought an above normal amount of precipitation as precipitable water amounts rose to near record values. This brought widespread, beneficial rainfall to most of northern and central New Mexico with the highest 24-hour rainfall totals of two to four inches across areas south of Interstate 40 where the easterly wave tracked. The system did lack a sufficient amount of instability, and thus, stratiform rain was most common with embedded thunderstorms. These light rainfall rates meant that the traditional summertime flash flooding was not the main threat. Rather, rises on rivers, creeks, and streams were with the long duration event. Flooding was reported in Mesa along U.S. Highway 285 which stranded motorists. The McBride burn scar also experienced flooding thanks to hours of steady rainfall. Across Chaves County, the Pecos River experienced record flooding with major impacts felt for several days near Roswell, Hagerman, Dexter, and Lake Arthur.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 4:45 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 4:45 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
545 AM MDT Sat Aug 20 2022

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
Widespread light to moderate rain with lcl MVFR cigs will continue
spreading northeast into central and eastern NM today. Brief IFR may
develop locally near the high terrain and east slopes of the central
mt chain, especially from KSRR to KCQC thru 02Z. Any embedded TSRA
will produce lcl heavy rainfall as well, primarily across eastern NM.
Rain, areas of fog, and low cigs will continue over eastern NM most
of tonight with widespread IFR expected aft 02Z.

Guyer

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...309 AM MDT Sat Aug 20 2022...
.SYNOPSIS...
The initial impulse of monsoonal moisture is bringing moderate to
locally heavy rainfall into southwestern NM this morning, slowly
spreading north and eastward into south-central NM. This will
continue to spread into central NM through the morning before
entering the eastern plains this afternoon and evening. Widespread
precipitation totals through the end of Sunday morning of 0.50” to
1.50” with localized heavier amounts of to 2” to 4” will focus
along and south of I-40. Flash flooding remains the main impact of
concern, especially over southern burn scars and already soaked
areas. Conditions clear out through Sunday, with more normal daily
rounds of afternoon storms forming over the central mountain each day
heading into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
Composite radar shows widespread light to moderate rainfall shifting
northeast across much of southern and central NM early this morning.
There are very few changes to convey and the overall message of an
elevated risk for flooding continues, especially on burn scars, low
lying areas, and some creeks and streams leading to mainstem rivers.
Rainfall rates may not be high enough to allow for "flash flooding"
over most of the area however, it is uncertain how saturated soils
will respond to longer duration widespread moderate to heavy rain.
The greatest confidence for 24-hr precip amounts of 2 to 4" exists
over east central NM as the center of sfc low pressure and mid level
deformation drifts slowly E/NE thru tonight. Areas of fog are also
likely to lower vsbys across the south and east which will make for
difficult travel with rain and road spray thru tonight. The entire
wave is expected to exit eastern NM Sunday morning with lingering fog
and light rain showers east of the central mt chain. Enough clearing
may develop across the northern and western high terrain for a few
storms to fire up and move south late Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
Sunday night into Monday starts the long term period seeing the
upper low currently near Elko, NV diving south over northern NM and
opening to a trough. This looks to enhance CI over the northern
mountains of New Mexico by midday. North to south steering flow looks
to steer storms southward over adjacent lower elevations along the
central mountain chain through Monday afternoon and evening.

By Tuesday, a modest 590-592dm 5H high takes shape over the Great
Basin region, setting up N-S flow aloft over NM. With easterly
upslope surface flow through the eastern plains each day, storms
Tuesday and Wednesday will favor CI over the central mountain chain.
Steering flow will again take these storms N to S over adjacent lower
elevations along the central mountain chain and Rio Grande Valleys.
Have tried to capture this with chance PoPs over the RGV during the
evening periods. Thereafter, the high pressure over the Great Basin
breaks down, replaced by strengthening northwest flow aloft
associated with a low traversing west to east across MT. This opens
the door for storms developing over the central mountain chain to
make it further into eastern NM Thursday, and moreso by Friday. The
GFS and ECMWF solutions also show surface return flow over the
eastern plains of NM, which should feed good boundary layer inflow
into any storms moving southeast off the Sangre de Cristo Mountains
during this time.

Guyer/24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Widespread rain with isolated storms will produce a large swath of
rainfall amounts of 1 to 2" across central NM with 2 to 4" across
the south and east through tonight. The focus will then shift into
northern and western NM Sunday where a few storms are possible by
late afternoon. An active weather pattern will continue with daily
rounds of showers and storms with heavy rainfall thru the end of
next week.

Guyer

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for the following zones...
NMZ207-212-214-217>219-221>223-228-229-231>237.

Flood Watch through this evening for the following zones...
NMZ202-205-206-208-209-211-215-220-224>226-238>241.

&&

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:58 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flood, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Lincoln

When
August 20, 9:00 AM MST to 11:15 AM MST
Where
Lincoln County, 3.1 mi SE of Alto to 2.61 mi NNW of Hollywood
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$25,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.370, -105.640

The Lincoln County emergency manager reported that hours of light, steady rainfall with totals of 1 to 2.5 inches caused burn scar flash flooding on the McBride burn scar near Ruidoso. All of Gavilan Canyon was flooded. Damages are estimated.

Flood, Chaves

When
August 20, 4:05 PM MST to 8:15 PM MST
Where
Chaves County, 5.54 mi SSE of Mesa to 16.16 mi ESE of Mesa
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.907, -104.629

Consistent rainfall near Mesa caused flooding along U.S. Highway 285 which stranded motorists between mile markers 144 and 146. Water rescues were also needed at mile marker 139. The extent of damages are not known and are estimated for the stranded vehicles.

Flood, Chaves

When
August 21, 3:00 AM MST to August 27, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Chaves County, 5.86 mi ENE of Roswell to 8.59 mi SW of Lake Arthur
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.406, -104.423

A long duration rain event caused the Pecos River in Chaves County to swell and cause major flooding around the river. Once the Acme gauge to the northeast of Roswell crested to major flood stage, that water slowly traveled south for several days, causing flooding in the Dexter, Hagerman, and Lake Arthur areas. The gauge at Lake Arthur crested to a maximum of 13.37 feet at about 6:45 PM MDT on August 26th. Despite this being well below action stage, major impacts were still felt for several days across southern Chaves County along the Pecos River. During the early morning hours of the 21st, a vehicle attempting to cross a flooded low water crossing was carried about a half mile downstream along Cherokee Road near Hagerman. A water rescue was conducted for the driver who was found sitting on the top of their partially submerged vehicle. Along River Road at Bottomless Lakes, four people had to be rescued. Two of these individuals were rescued from a trapped vehicle while the other two were rescued from the home after they previously chose not to evacuate. Finally, near Dexter, three people had to be rescued from their vehicle. This water rescue proved to be particularly difficult as the flood waters at this point were too high which prevented emergency officials from reaching the stranded travelers. Officials had to drive around Dexter and approach the location from the east to rescue the three individuals. Despite all this, there were no known injuries and damages are a rough estimate.

Flood, Chaves

When
August 21, 7:45 AM MST to August 22, 6:45 PM MST
Where
Chaves County, 27 mi NNW of Boaz to 17.59 mi S of Acme
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.095, -104.166

A long duration rain event across the area caused the Pecos River to swell to record values. The Acme gauge, located to the northeast of Roswell along the river, entered action stage during the early morning hours of August 21st, and water levels continued to rise quickly to a crest of 17.37 feet by about 2 PM MDT. This was well over the major flood stage of 16 feet, and it set a new record for the Acme gauge. The gauge stayed in major flood stage for about seven hours before gradually falling below action stage during the evening hours of August 22nd. This record flooding along the Pecos River caused major impacts in the area. Near Bitter Lake National Wildlife Refuge, the Chaves County emergency manager relayed reports of a truck that was stuck within the flood waters with the driver having to be rescued. Damages are estimated.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, August 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1040224, 1040226, 1041762, 1041761.