Oregon, 2022

Rip Current in Oregon, August 20 to 21, 2022

August 20 to 21, 2022 · NWS PQR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Seaside Lifeguards and Seaside Fire & Rescue responded to multiple swimmers caught up in rip currents during the weekend. There was one fatality.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.

Seaside Lifeguards and Seaside Fire & Rescue responded to multiple swimmers caught up in rip currents during the weekend. There was one fatality.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 1:19 AM PST, 8 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 1:19 AM PST, 8 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Portland OR
219 AM PDT Sat Aug 20 2022

.SYNOPSIS...Typical summertime weather is expected through the
weekend. A passing trough will push in a quick cool down for Monday,
before high pressure builds back into the PacNW for another hot
stretch by midweek.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Through Monday...Nighttime microphysics satellite
imagery shows marine stratus has blanketed NW Oregon and SW
Washington. With some weak uplift in the lower levels forecast by
model soundings, drizzle will be possible again this morning in the
north Oregon/south Washington Cascade Foothills, the Coast Range, and
along the coast below roughly 3.5kft - where the Astoria Profiler
suggests the top of the marine layer is located around 2AM.

HREF guidance has been underdoing the sky cover a bit thus far this
morning, so the stratus will likely be slower to burn off than it
suggests (10-11AM). In some locations, cloud cover may hang on until
even afternoon, which will delay surface heating onset and ultimately
keep the area relatively cool yet again today. Highs will likely top
out in the low to mid 80s inland - warmest in the south Valley - for
another seasonable August day.

Tomorrow we'll add a few degrees to highs, and a few spots may touch
90, though temperatures were nudged down a bit from NBM's guidance
along the coast and in the western and southern Willamette Valley
where a marine push is likely to cut highs short of their theoretical
max in the late afternoon/early evening. The weak cold front which
will drive that onshore push of marine-chilled air will have reached
the Cascades by lunchtime Sunday, and consequently the area is
expected to remain a bit cooler on Monday, which could wind up being
the coolest day of the forecast period. Ultimately, how warm Monday
ends up being will be a function of the timing of stratus
dissipation - something that's more than a challenge to forecast
this far out. -Bumgardner

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Friday...

...Yet another heatwave is in store for the area by mid-week...

Tuesday is likely to have another cool start as an upper trough
passes through the area early. Enhanced vorticity aloft associated
with this feature will provide uplift to deepen the marine layer and
bring inland another thick layer of stratus. There are few EC
ensemble members which don't paint QPF along the coast Tuesday
morning, which would imply another drizzle fest for the usual
drizzle-prone areas during strong onshore pushes. The grand ensemble
mean suggests we'll be warmer on Tuesday than Monday, but this will
again depend on how long it takes for stratus to burn off which is
itself dependent on how deep the stratus layer is.

By Wednesday, cluster analysis suggests ridging is likely to overtake
the PacNW as high pressure over the Pacific migrates and expands
eastward. 60% of the grand ensemble suggests 850mb temperatures will
surpass 22C Wednesday, and nearly 40% suggest 850mb temps will be
24C or higher Thursday afternoon; the latter would promote high
temperatures in at least the mid 90s provided surface heating will
fully mix us out - something that may prove difficult given the
tendency for onshore flow in patterns where the axis of the upper
high is situated to our west.

Still, enough ensemble data is pointing to another heat wave that the
NBM's forecast for highs in the upper 90s across the interior
lowlands for Wednesday and Thursday has not been touched. Friday, NBM
suggests we'll begin to cool as a chunk of the ensemble is
flattening the ridge with a trough diving southeast across the PacNW.
Supposing this trough is not strong enough to flatten the ridge,
which has been the case on more than one occasion in the past, the
area could stay hot for longer than the mean of the ensemble would
suggest. Though it is beyond the scope of our forecast, it's worth
mentioning that the trends are for above average temperatures to
continue through the upcoming weekend. NBM's 75th percentile for high
temperatures each day stays 93 degrees or higher through Monday,
August 29th.

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAFs: As a trough passes to our north and east this
morning, the marine layer has been permitted to deepen to around
3500ft. Hence, stratus has crossed the Coast Range and is resulting
in MVFR ceilings across the interior lowlands as well as the coast.
Such ceilings are likely to continue through around 18-19z inland and
19-21z along the coast (though perhaps slightly longer at KAST).

In a mini-ridge of high pressure attempting to build in Saturday
evening, subsidence will compress the marine layer a bit. This will
prevent it from spilling into the Willamette Valley, but it will also
concentrate the moisture closer to the surface along the coast where
weak onshore flow will probably result in more MVFR/IFR conditions.

For detailed Pac NW aviation weather information, go online to:
https://weather.gov/zse

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MVFR stratus is likely to continue through
around 18-19z today, when surface heating lifts and dissolves the
layer. VFR conditions with 5-7kt northwest winds are then expected
through the remainder of the forecast period. -Bumgardner

&&

.MARINE...Weak low pressure near Vancouver Island will give way to
weak high pressure building across the waters through the weekend.
West to northwest winds around 10 kt or less expected to persist
through Saturday. Winds become more northerly on Sunday, possibly
increasing to around 10-15 kt. Next chance for Small Craft
Advisory winds look to be Tue and Wed where wind gusts could
exceed 20 kt. Overall, wave heights will be in the 4 to 6 ft
range through early next week.

For information about upcoming marine zone changes, go online to:
https://www.weather.gov/pqr/marinezone

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...None.

&&

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Northern Oregon Coast

When
August 20, 10:00 AM PST to August 21, 6:00 PM PST
Where
Northern Oregon Coast forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
County Official

Seaside Lifeguards and Seaside Fire & Rescue rescued a total of 16 swimmers who got caught up in rip currents at Seaside and Cannon Beach over the weekend. A man in his 50s was found unconscious in the water near Seaside Saturday afternoon, but efforts to revive him were not successful.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Northern Oregon Coast2022-08-2055MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, August 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1054231.