Montana, 2022Drought in Montana, November 1 to 30, 2022
November 1 to 30, 2022 · NWS GGW · 16 events in 16 counties and zones
Despite November being colder than average and having above normal precipitation for the month, the drought picture over northeast Montana remains relatively unchanged.
Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 16
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Despite November being colder than average and having above normal precipitation for the month, the drought picture over northeast Montana remains relatively unchanged.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 7:03 PM MST, 4 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 7:03 PM MST, 4 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
803 PM MDT Mon Oct 31 2022
.DISCUSSION...
There might've been a few showers around the Malta area around 6
pm that have moved northeast this evening and are disipating.
Otherwise, it'll be partly to mostly cloudy across the area
tonight with a light wind becoming SE. Temperatures for this time
of year are on the mild side, and probably made trick or treating
a bit more enjoyable for most. TFJ
Previous Discussion...
Afternoon Update (2100Z):
This afternoon's update has essentially held all precipitation out
of northeast Montana for the midweek system, indicating that there
is still quite a bit of uncertainty in storm track, which cascades
down to precipitation potential. As of now, even though the most
likely scenario (50% probability) shows no precipitation over the
region, there are indications of a 10-25% chance of seeing between
0.01" and 0.1" of liquid equivalent precipitation, mostly confined
to northern Phillips County and maybe creeping a bit into Valley
County. Beyond this system, a quick dry and warm spell will move
into the region before another cold airmass moves into the region
late in the weekend, which has greater than 50% chance of being
below freezing each night starting Sunday. While very uncertain
and probably unlikely, starting next week there is a non-zero
(<10%) chance of Low Temperatures below 0 each morning. Must be
November.
Cliff
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
Zonal flow today will transition to SW flow aloft tonight and
Tuesday as upper trough moves inland from the Pacific. Warm and
dry weather will continue today and Tuesday with highs in the 60s
in most areas.
A cold front moves through the forecast area late Tuesday Night
and Wednesday. Models and ensembles still have uncertainty about
precipiation timing and typing for this system. Moisture is
generally expected to be behind the front. Probabilistic continue
to show potential for some freezing rain mixing in with rain in
the northwest part of the region Wednesday morning in areas where
surface temperatures are expected to below freezing. Otherwise,
temperatures will be warm enough for mainly rain on Wednesday and
precipitation chances will highest in the west with little or no
chance of rain in the southeast. All areas will have chances for
light snow Wednesday Night as the cold front moves to the east.
The upper trough splits as moves into Montana Wednesday Night and
Thursday taking most of the moisture to the south and putting the
forecast area in the much drier northern branch trough. A surface
high moves into the area on Thursday with a mainly dry and cold
day expected.
The northern branch flow becomes zonal on Friday allowing for a
dry and warmer day. Then, a deep trough moves inland from the
Pacific over the weekend bringing a cold front on Saturday with
chances for rain on Saturday and rain and snow Saturday Night and
Sunday. It will bring much colder temperatures early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
Updated: 0200Z
Expected Flight Category: VFR
Synopsis: Quiet conditions continue with scattered mid to high
level clouds across the region.
Winds: Expect light winds to become SE and increase Tuesday to
10-15 kts.
&&
.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
weather.gov/glasgow
Drought, Daniels
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Daniels forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the southwestern three quarters of Daniels County were in (D3-Extreme) drought while the northern and eastern borders of the county were in (D2-Severe) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Western Roosevelt
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Western Roosevelt forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in all but the eastern edge of Western Roosevelt County was in (D3-Extreme) drought, while the eastern edge was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Northern Valley
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the southern three quarters of Northern Valley County were in (D3-Extreme) drought, while the northern quarter of the county along the Canadian border was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Central and Southern Valley
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central and Southern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the northern three quarters of Central and Southern Valley County were at (D3-Extreme) drought, while the southwestern quarter was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Northern Phillips
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the southern two thirds of Northern Phillips County were in (D3-Extreme) drought, while the northern third of the county was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Eastern Roosevelt
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Roosevelt forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in all of Eastern Roosevelt County was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Richland
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Richland forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.788, -104.561 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in all but the far northwestern corner of Richland County was in (D2-Severe) conditions, while the far northwestern corner of the county remained in (D3-Extreme) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, McCone
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- McCone forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.645, -105.795 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the southern three quarters of McCone County were in (D2-Severe) conditions, while the northern quarter of the county was in (D3-Extreme) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Garfield
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Garfield forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.278, -106.993 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the northern tip of Garfield County was in (D3-Extreme) drought, the remainder of the northern third of Garfield County was in (D2-Severe) conditions while the southern two thirds were in (D1-Moderate) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Central and Se Phillips
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central and Se Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the northern half of Central and Southeast Phillips County was at (D3-Extreme) drought, while the southern half of the county was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Petroleum
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Petroleum forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the northwestern corner of Petroleum County was in (D2-Severe) conditions while the southern three quarters of Petroleum County were in (D1-Moderate) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Little Rocky Mountains
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the western two thirds of the Little Rocky Mountains were in (D3-Extreme) drought, while the eastern third of the Little Rocky Mountains was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Dawson
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Dawson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.266, -104.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in all of Dawson County was in (D2-Severe) conditions. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Prairie
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Prairie forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 46.861, -105.378 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in all of the northeastern two thirds of Prairie County were in (D2-Severe) conditions while the southwestern third of Prairie County was in (D1-Moderate) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Sheridan
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Sheridan forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.721, -104.505 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions in the southwestern quarter of Sheridan County was in (D2-Severe) drought conditions while the northeastern three quarters of the county were in (D1-Moderate) drought. These conditions would remain the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Wibaux
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM MST to November 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Wibaux forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 46.965, -104.249 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start November, ongoing drought conditions was in (D2-Severe) conditions for all of Wibaux County. These conditions remained the same through the end of the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Drought in Missouri, November 1 to 30, 2022350 injured · $13 million · 24 events
- High Wind in Idaho, November 1 to 2, 2022$191,000 · 64 kt wind · 5 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 15, 202248 events
- Drought in California, November 1 to 30, 202240 events
- Drought in Nebraska, November 1 to 30, 202227 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 30, 202225 events
- Drought in Tennessee, November 1 to 30, 202223 events
- Drought in Kansas, November 1 to 30, 202222 events
- Drought in Kentucky, November 1 to 30, 202222 events
- Drought in Nebraska, November 1 to 30, 202221 events
- Drought in South Dakota, November 1 to 30, 202220 events
- Drought in Texas, November 1 to 30, 202220 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1059967, 1059975, 1059976, 1059977, 1060000, 1060009, 1060175, 1060177, 1060179, 1060182, 1060184, 1060267, 1060294, 1060295, 1060299, 1060300.