Montana, 2022Blizzard in Montana, December 21 to 22, 2022
December 21 to 22, 2022 · NWS BYZ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Snowfall, combined with snow already on the ground and very strong winds, resulted in very low visibilities and hazardous traveling conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Snowfall, combined with snow already on the ground and very strong winds, resulted in very low visibilities and hazardous traveling conditions.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 21, 10:30 AM MST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 10:30 AM MST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Billings MT
1030 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022
.UPDATE...
Snow was gradually shifting south this morning as the arctic cold
front continues to push south through the region. Much of the
area has received 1 to 3 inches of snowfall, with a bit higher
totals towards the western foothills. Gusty north to northwest
winds were also causing areas of blowing snow. Temperatures are
currently in the teens to 20s below zero, and don't expect
temperatures to warm much from where they are at through the day.
Very cold to dangerous wind chill values can be expected today,
with most places seeing wind chills of 40 to 60 below zero. Have
gone ahead and extended the Winter Weather Advisory for northwest
zones through the day, and added Powder River and Carter counties
to the advisory, where falling and blowing snow are causing
visibility reductions. Have updated pops, wind and weather through
the day. The rest of the forecast remains on track and the
previous discussion is below. STP
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Today through Thursday...
A 1040mb surface high was sitting over Great Falls at the moment.
This high will sink south today and bring the coldest air of the
season into the forecast area. The surface high is forecast to
strengthen to 1061mb by early Thursday, which was approaching
record values. The all time record for high surface pressure for
Montana is 1064mb on Christmas Eve of 1983. The record for
Billings is 1058.4mb on that same Christmas Eve of 1983.
High temperatures today will be in the morning with temperatures
falling deep into the teens below zero this afternoon. Readings
were currently in the single digits below zero across the area.
Temperatures over northern Montana were in the 20s below zero,
and that air will advect in today and tonight. Tonight will be the
coldest night in quite a while. The last time Billings fell below
20 below zero was February 23rd of this year. The overnight low
in Billings is forecast to reach 28 below zero tonight. The last
time we got near that cold was February 6th of 2014, when the low
was 23 below zero. The last time we hit 30 below was January 12th
of 1997. The NBM probability of Billings reaching 20 below zero
or colder tonight is 88%, 25 below zero or colder is 63%, and 30
below zero or colder is 23%.
Temperatures on Thursday will be very cold, giving such a cold
start, with highs expected in the single digits and teens below
zero. Forecast highs may be a little warm on Thursday, as some of
latest guidance was indicating Billings would not get above -10
(current forecast is -7). Subsequent shifts will have to keep a
close eye on this. Be aware that adjustments to the colder side
may be needed for Thursday.
For snowfall today: the rush or arctic air and frontogenetic lift
with a shortwave driving through, will produce a quick period of
snow. The snow will taper off from north to south as the frigid
air deepens. Strong dendrite growth zone will be over the area
early this morning for the best chance of accumulation. Snowflake
size will be very small by late morning, with the cold air
deepening, and thus dramatically reducing snow accumulation
potential. Looking at 1-2 inches from this event with around 1
inch this morning. NBM probabilities put a 50% chance of Billings
picking up an inch of snow this morning. The snow will be done
for most places this afternoon.
Lastly need to talk about wind chills because they will be rather
dangerous. North to northwest winds of 10-20mph today will create
wind chills of 40 to 60 below zero, which is very dangerous! Skin
freezes very, very quickly in those conditions. Upgrading the
Wind Chill highlight to a Warning yesterday was a great call by
the day crew, as these dangerous readings will stay through Friday
morning. Please take this cold very seriously and limit your
outdoor exposure. Make sure to limit time outdoors for your pets
and livestock as much as possible as well. Stay safe! TWH
Thursday night through Tuesday...
Thursday night into Friday morning will still be pretty brutally
cold night, especially from Rosebud County east. While areas to
the west will not be quiet as cold mostly in the teens to around
20 below, the east still has high chance (80 percent or greater)
of reaching -30.
That should mark the end of the most extreme temperatures as the
arctic will start to retreat Friday. While it will start to
retreat, it will remain cold and the real moderation will not
start until Saturday. Highs Friday for most of the area will
likely (70 percent or greater) be in the single digits above with
only a low chance (30 percent or less) of getting into the teens
above. The two exceptions will be along the foothills where winds
will be increasing and highs will likely (around 80 percent) get
into the teens and a moderate chance (around 50 percent) of
getting into the 20s. The other exception will be southeast
Montana, where given the colder overnight lows, will likely (75
percent or greater) remain below zero through the day.
Expecting the winds to increase along the foothills in response to
the arctic retreat. The surface pressure gradient will be steadily
increasing from Friday night through the weekend before peaking
Christmas Day. Winds will likely start to increase some from just
cold air drainage as the coldest air starts to retreat, but will
start to have a better oriented pressure gradient by Friday night.
The deterministic GFS has the Idaho Fall to Lewistown gradient
reaching 16mb by Friday evening, however this is significantly
higher than the rest of the NAEFS ensemble, and has generally be
higher than observations. Local probabilistic wind guidance has
winds likely (70 percent or greater) reaching 50 mph by Friday
night, and only around a 50 percent chance for 58 mph. The
greatest chance for potential Wind Advisory winds will be
Christmas Eve night into Christmas morning, so Santa should be
prepared to secure those presents, along with anyone else that may
be hauling light, high profile loads Saturday night. That is when
the NAEFS mean pressure gradient gets to around 12mb and local
guidance gets to around 70 percent for reaching highlight criteria
around Livingston.
Save for a couple of weak disturbances, Friday night and again
Christmas, which could bring some chances for light snow, or
possibly a rain or rain/snow mix, a ridge over the western US will
likely keep temperatures pretty moderate through early next week.
Highs will likely be running a little above normal through
Tuesday, getting in the upper 30 to lower 40s. Reimer
&&
.AVIATION...
A reinforcing shot of arctic air will be ushered in by north
winds this morning, with some gusts to 20kts. Steady snow will
develop early this morning, dropping conditions to IFR and LIFR in
snow and blowing snow. The snow will taper off by early
afternoon, allowing MVFR to VFR conditions to become more
widespread. Mountains will be obscured. TWH
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...
Tdy Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 911 928/907 923/008 902/036 026/046 022/044 033/047
8/S 00/I 02/S 11/N 32/O 21/B 12/R
LVM 000 926/909 917/025 016/041 032/045 029/046 036/048
8/S 00/I 14/S 31/N 43/O 21/N 23/O
HDN 912 932/909 930/005 908/033 016/043 015/041 026/044
8/S 00/I 01/B 21/B 33/O 21/B 11/E
MLS 916 928/915 932/903 916/018 009/038 005/034 022/039
7/Q 00/Q 00/I 11/B 33/O 11/B 11/E
4BQ 911 927/912 926/002 911/030 016/043 012/040 027/043
8/S 00/Q 00/U 11/B 23/O 10/B 11/B
BHK 917 928/916 930/906 920/018 006/036 003/034 022/039
7/Q 00/Q 00/I 00/B 33/O 11/B 11/B
SHR 907 928/910 925/013 902/038 023/045 019/045 029/046
9/S 00/I 00/B 11/B 23/R 21/B 11/B
&&
.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...Wind Chill Warning in effect until noon MST Friday FOR ZONES
29>34-36-37-40-42-56>58-63>66-138-139-141-169-170-172-173-228-235.
Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 6 PM MST this evening
FOR ZONES
29>34-40-42-56-57-63>66-139-141-170-172-173-228-235.
Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 8 PM MST this evening
FOR ZONES 36-37-58-138-169.
Winter Storm Warning in effect until 6 PM MST this evening
FOR ZONES 67-68.
WY...Wind Chill Warning in effect until noon MST Friday FOR ZONE
199.
Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 8 PM MST this evening
FOR ZONE 199.
&&
weather.gov/billingsIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 21, 7:40 AM MST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
740 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 5 SE REED POINT 45.67N 109.47W
12/21/2022 M2.0 INCH STILLWATER MT COCORAHS
0600 AM SNOW 9 E INGOMAR 46.57N 107.20W
12/21/2022 M3.0 INCH ROSEBUD MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW 7 ESE LIVINGSTON 45.64N 110.43W
12/21/2022 M4.6 INCH PARK MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 8 E COLUMBUS 45.62N 109.10W
12/21/2022 M2.1 INCH STILLWATER MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 1 NW ROUNDUP 46.45N 108.55W
12/21/2022 M2.0 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 3 NNE BILLINGS 45.84N 108.52W
12/21/2022 M3.0 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 15 SW ROUNDUP 46.33N 108.74W
12/21/2022 M2.0 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0739 AM SNOW 4 SW BILLINGS 45.75N 108.57W
12/21/2022 M2.5 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
LTLocal storm report, Dec 21, 8:54 AM MST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
854 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNW COOKE CITY 45.07N 109.96W
12/21/2022 M70.00 MPH PARK MT MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 10 ENE MELVILLE 46.17N 109.77W
12/21/2022 M4.0 INCH SWEET GRASS MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 5 SE KLEIN 46.35N 108.48W
12/21/2022 M1.0 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 18 NNW RYEGATE 46.53N 109.34W
12/21/2022 M3.0 INCH GOLDEN VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0741 AM SNOW 4 WSW BILLINGS 45.76N 108.61W
12/21/2022 M2.5 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT COCORAHS
0800 AM SNOW SPRINGDALE 45.74N 110.22W
12/21/2022 M3.5 INCH PARK MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW 1 WSW LIVINGSTON 45.66N 110.58W
12/21/2022 M2.2 INCH PARK MT COCORAHS
0800 AM SNOW 5 NE BILLINGS 45.83N 108.44W
12/21/2022 M2.7 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT COCORAHS
0800 AM SNOW 25 SSE HYSHAM 45.94N 107.14W
12/21/2022 M3.0 INCH TREASURE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
LTLocal storm report, Dec 21, 9:14 AM MST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
914 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNW COOKE CITY 45.07N 109.96W
12/21/2022 M52.00 MPH PARK MT MESONET
0800 AM SNOW 4 ENE HUNTLEY 45.94N 108.25W
12/21/2022 M2.8 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0830 AM SNOW 10 E MOLT 45.85N 108.73W
12/21/2022 M3.5 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
LTLocal storm report, Dec 21, 10:24 AM MST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1024 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 6 E MELSTONE 46.59N 107.75W
12/21/2022 M3.5 INCH ROSEBUD MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 2 W BILLINGS 45.79N 108.57W
12/21/2022 M2.5 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT COCORAHS
0700 AM SNOW 15 N POMPEYS PILLAR 46.20N 108.00W
12/21/2022 M2.1 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0900 AM SNOW 1 SE BILLINGS 45.77N 108.48W
12/21/2022 M2.5 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
0900 AM SNOW 5 S BILLINGS 45.72N 108.52W
12/21/2022 M2.0 INCH YELLOWSTONE MT COCORAHS
&&
LTBlizzard, Fallon
- When
- December 21, 11:33 AM MST to December 22, 10:00 PM MST
- Where
- Fallon forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 46.334, -104.417 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Snow, combined with blowing snow and very low visibilities, resulted in white-out conditions. In addition, Route 7 from Baker to Ekalaka was closed.
Blizzard, Carter
- When
- December 21, 1:09 PM MST to December 22, 10:00 PM MST
- Where
- Carter forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 45.517, -104.536 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Snow, combined with blowing snow and very low visibilities, resulted in white-out conditions. In addition, Route 7 from Baker to Ekalaka was closed.
- Blizzard
- Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Extreme Cold in Minnesota, December 21 to 24, 20222 deaths · 35 events
- Winter Weather in Kansas, December 21, 20222 deaths · 6 events
- Cold and Winter Weather in Colorado, December 21 to 23, 20221 death · 43 events
- Winter Storm and Extreme Cold in Wisconsin, December 21 to 25, 20221 injured · $30,000 · 21 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Wisconsin, December 21 to 24, 202233 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Iowa, December 21 to 24, 202230 events
- Extreme Cold in Nebraska, December 21 to 23, 202230 events
- Winter Storm in Minnesota, December 21 to 22, 202227 events
- Extreme Cold in Nebraska, December 21 to 24, 202227 events
- Extreme Cold in South Dakota, December 21 to 24, 202226 events
- Blizzard in North Dakota, December 21 to 23, 202226 events
- Blizzard in South Dakota, December 21 to 23, 202224 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1062789, 1062788.