Abnormally dry conditions continued severe (D2) drought conditions over the Missouri Bootheel through the month of November. The drought had little impact on agriculture as the dry weather allowed crops to be harvested and winter wheat to be planted.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Abnormally dry conditions continued severe (D2) drought conditions over the Missouri Bootheel through the month of November. The drought had little impact on agriculture as the dry weather allowed crops to be harvested and winter wheat to be planted. However, the dry conditions did elevate the risk of wildfires. River and lake levels were also at low or near record low levels. River traffic on the Mississippi River was impacted by the low water levels.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 10:47 PM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1147 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 922 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 Short term guidance has been hinting at less areal coverage and intensity of fog overnight. This may be caused in part by dewpoints underperforming across the area. Dewpoint depressions around the TN Valley and north MS were forecast to be between 0 and 1 degree overnight, but latest obs and trends suggest DPDs closer to 3 or 4 degrees, which would hinder fog potential. Patchy dense fog could still certainly develop around 11 or 12Z, but it's looking to be a little less widespread now. The HWO covers this well. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 242 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 A split flow pattern will persist across much of the CONUS through midweek with the polar westerlies generally confined to the US-Canada border. One shortwave trough is lifting northeast across IL/IN while a second is moving through the Southern Plains. Strong southwesterly flow aloft will continue downstream of the positively-tilted trough axis with the Southern Plains trough eventually moving across the Mid-South late Tuesday into Wednesday. A few light showers (or sprinkles) continue this afternoon, mainly over West TN. Any lingering precipitation will end quickly by 00z and cloud cover will scatter out. Moist soil conditions, light winds, and clearing skies suggest the potential for fog tonight. Fog may be dense in some areas and may eventually require a Dense Fog Advisory. Otherwise, expect dry/warmer conditions the next few days with highs in the 70s and lows mainly in the 50s. Shortwave ridging will settle over the Lower MS Valley late Wednesday and Thursday, continuing the dry weather pattern. This ridge will attempt to build poleward through the Southeast into the Delmarva area late in the week. Meanwhile, a strong trough will dig over the western CONUS. This trough looks to bring inclement weather to the Mid-South over the weekend, but the aforementioned ridge over the east is expected to slow its eastward progress. Ensemble clusters indicate that the GEPS strongly favors a more progressive trough and weaker ridge, bringing precipitation into the CWA late Friday while the GEFS and, to a stronger degree, the EPS indicate stronger ridging over the southeast and a later arrival. Experience is leaning toward the latter (slower) solution. This system will lift northeast as it moves out of the Southern Plains and, like the past few systems, will quickly occlude as it crosses the Ozarks. Strong kinematics will accompany this cyclone with 40-50 kts of southerly flow at 850 mb and a meridional 125+ kt jet on its eastern flank. This will result in an uptick in wind speeds Saturday and Saturday night with breezy conditions anticipated over most of the area. This system will be filling as it pulls away from the area, but the main question will be the quality of the instability in the warm sector. The 12z ensemble data maintains only very low probability for CAPE greater 500 J/kg. This system bears watching, but the signal for any significant weather appears muted at this time. MJ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1143 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 Primary forecast concern overnight remains fog potential. Public AFD update at 922 PM covered trends and reasoning well. The 06Z TAFs will likely contain delayed, less dense patchy fog toward sunrise, with MEM maintaining VFR. Thereafter, VFR and light winds through the remainder of the period, including the late Tuesday evening MEM arrival push. PWB && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...CAD AVIATION...PWB
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Memphis TN 249 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017- 020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-011100- Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay- Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur- Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood- Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS- Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot- Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis- Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley- Yalobusha- 249 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas... the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Areas of dense fog are possible tonight, especially across portions of north Mississippi and West Tennessee. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Areas of dense fog are possible early Tuesday morning, especially across portions of north Mississippi and West Tennessee. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) drought conditions continued throughout the month.
Severe (D2) drought conditions continued throughout the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1066596, 1066597.