Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:25 PM CST, 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1225 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022 .Discussion... Issued at 221 PM CDT MON OCT 31 2022 Overview: Dry weather with highs in the 70s are expected the next few days. Gusty conditions and dry fuels may lead to fire weather concerns on Tuesday and Wednesday, but moisture will be improving by Wednesday into Thursday. Rainfall chances return to the area Friday and linger into the weekend. Details: The upper low that has led to cloudy and wet conditions over the last day is making its final push to the east today, leaving behind mostly sunny skies and light winds today. This afternoon we are looking at some the warmest temperatures we have seen in a few days with many locations approaching 70 degrees. This evenings trick-or-treat forecast features mainly clear skies and temperatures falling to the lower 60s by 8pm. Winds will also remain light through the evening. As we head into Tuesday upper ridging will begin to dominate our weather. Warmer weather and mostly sunny skies will be the norm through mid week. Winds will also turn southerly with the help of surface troughing to our west. Temperatures on Tuesday look to heat up to the low to mid 70s across the CWA. These temperatures will be more than 10 degrees above normal in some locations. Southerly winds could gust to around 20 mph during the afternoon. Winds combined with humidity dropping to near 30% Tuesday afternoon will lead to elevated fire weather concerns. Especially, now that fuels are very dried. Wednesday will again present fire weather concerns with winds further increasing as the surface pressure gradient tightens. Wednesday afternoon could see southerly gust of 25 to 30mph. The good news is that by Wednesday we will start to see Gulf moisture streaming into our area. Afternoon relative humidity should remain in the 45-55% range. Even with the higher RH values any fires could still be quick to spread with very dry fuels and gusty winds. Wednesday will be another warm afternoon with highs reaching the mid 70s again. By Thursday we will start to see a bit of a pattern shift with upper ridging moving east of the area with and approaching upper low. Breezy southerly flow will continue ahead of the system as moisture continues to increase across the region. One more day of widespread 70s can be expected, but clouds will also be increasing heading into the afternoon. A cold front will gradually make its way into the area by Friday and stall out through the weekend. As the front settles into the area deep troughing over the southwest will move toward the area. This will lead to several rounds of showers or thunderstorms Friday into the weekend. While the details are not completely clear at this time, there is potential for a widespread 2-3+ inches of rainfall by the end of the weekend. We will be monitoring potential for heavy rain and flooding potential in the coming days. We will also see high temperatures return back to normal for early November (~60 degrees). && .Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night) Issued at 1224 AM CDT TUE NOV 1 2022 VFR conditions persist through the forecast period. Light and variable winds generally out of the SSE become more southerly after sunrise accelerating to around 8-12 kts during the afternoon. Winds decrease down after sunset. && .Fire Weather... Issued at 233 AM CDT MON OCT 31 2022 Fire weather conditions will be on the increase early this week as southerly winds commence Tuesday. Dry surface conditions will remain through at least Tuesday as the winds increase. Expect RH values to remain around 30 percent with winds increasing to around 15 to 25 mph. The low level moisture makes its arrival Wednesday but with winds continuing to increase, perhaps to 30 mph at times Wednesday, and given well cured fuels across the area rapid fire growth will be possible Wednesday as well. Gusty southerly surface winds continue Thursday, but RH values should bottom out around 50 to 60 percent, so less critical conditions will exist. Despite that, Thursday will bring another day where outdoor burning is discouraged and should be done with the utmost of care considering the wind speeds and dryness of the area fuels. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && Discussion...HB Aviation...Pesel Fire Weather...Leighton
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 301 AM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-010815- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 301 AM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Increasing fire weather concerns Tuesday through Thursday with winds increasing to around 20 to 30 mph each day. Periods of moderate to heavy rain, with some thunderstorms expected late in the week, into next weekend. Severe weather is not expected at this time. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
Significant precipitation deficits over the previous several months yielding D2 drought conditions continuing through November.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1066503, 1066504, 1066505, 1066506.