Clusters of thunderstorms combined into a line of storms during the late evening in eastern North Dakota, then moved southeastward through the region over the next several hours, crossing into Minnesota after midnight. Significant damaging winds were reported.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.
Clusters of thunderstorms combined into a line of storms during the late evening in eastern North Dakota, then moved southeastward through the region over the next several hours, crossing into Minnesota after midnight. Significant damaging winds were reported.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 11:10 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1210 AM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Storms with 60-80 mph winds continue to push into eastern ND, and should move into the northern RRV in the next few hours. Think the storms will continue to be severe for a bit longer, but as they push further into MN that there should be some weakening as the storms start to pull in slightly more dry and stable air. There will be additional thunderstorm development over south central ND as the low level jet cranks up towards morning, and that activity will clip our southern counties as we head into Saturday. UPDATE Issued at 1001 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Strong to severe convection knocking on the door of our western counties, and severe thunderstorm watch was just issued. There will be continued threat for severe with MU CAPE up to 3000 J/kg and more than enough shear. Greatest threats will be hail up to ping pong ball sized and winds up to 70 mph possible. UPDATE Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 No major changes to this forecast update. Skies remain clear across most of the area with mostly light winds outside of the eastern fringes of the CWA. Obviously concern will be shifting towards the initiating convection in Saskatchewan (see MCD from SPC). && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 218 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Convective chances later tonight through Saturday morning are the main forecast challenge, as they would bring the most potential impacts to the FA. No activity is expected through the late afternoon and early evening. By mid to late evening (post 9 pm), the low level jet and 850mb warm advection begin to increase, focused into northwest and north central North Dakota. A short wave should also be moving into this region, helping to initiate thunderstorms to the west of this FA. This activity would then continue to push east-southeast into this FA in the mid to late evening. A timing estimate would be 9 to 10 pm around Devils Lake, and 11 pm to midnight in the northern Red River Valley. The HREF UH tracks show some longer sustained updrafts possible from these storms as they track into the Devils Lake region, and possibly the northern valley. So a few strong to severe mid to late evening storms remain possible. By 4-5 am early Saturday morning, the low level jet and warm advection become stronger, and this time focus into the ND/SD border region south of Bismarck. The CAMs develop a new area of convection there, and track it east-southeast along the ND/SD border and adjacent areas of west central MN into early Saturday morning. Again, the HREF shows some longer UH tracks with this area, but more so into northeast SD. There may be a lull in activity during the late morning into early afternoon. Clearing skies and plenty of residual moisture in place should result in building afternoon CAPE over the FA, with 30-35 knots of 0-6km effective shear. The potential surface features are a little harder to place, but there could still be a lingering low and front. CAMs show isolated shower/storm development in the late afternoon and possibly early evening. Again, the HREF UH tracks show a few longer tracks, especially across northwest MN. Most of this activity should diminish in the early evening, with loss of heating (and no low level jet). .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 218 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Between Sunday through Friday, the probability for widespread hazardous weather is currently low, less than 10%. Overall synoptic features that are likely to drive sensible weather across our region include strong and amplified upper ridging over the northeast Pacific, transient but redeveloping upper troughing near the Hudson Bay, and an persistent weak but broad anticyclone in the southern tier of the CONUS. This type of pattern will promote generally zonal to northwesterly flow aloft over our region as the jet stream is expected to generally be positioned lee of the NE Pacific upper ridge and along the southern flanks of the Hudson Bay troughing. Augmentation of the jet is likely dependent upon amplitude and position of the Hudson Bay troughing. There are two notable waves being progged by ensembles assoc with the Hudson Bay troughing. The first is already east of the area by Sunday (and is responsible for tonight-Saturday's convection). This should help scour away overall moisture content while allowing cooler than average temps into the area. General expectation is for daytime temps into the 70s with lows in the 50s, perhaps flirting with upper 40s in typically cold spots like NW MN. Factors like sfc dew pts and currently seasonal peak ET lower confidence in overnight lows. The next notable wave comes around the late Monday - Tuesday timeframe. There is a window of return low level flow ahead of this wave to aid in some moisture/instability return, although the window is rather short. This along with ET effects lowers confidence is not high how much moisture/instability can recharge into the area ahead of this notable wave, and will be the main factor in determining intensity and coverage of convection given high confidence in available shear as the strong wave moves near the region. However, this should be the next appreciable chance for convection given the magnitude of forcing expected with this wave. Even the ensemble cluster with least amplitude brings in notable forcing for ascent. Behind this wave, a short period of cooler than average temps are expected followed by general increase in temps towards seasonably average as some of the NE Pacific ridge attempts to push east into the western continent. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Convection moving into northeastern ND will continue eastward into northwestern MN during the next few hours. VCTS at most sites, with some prevailing thunderstorms at least at the northern sites. This will be the first round from 06-09Z, with additional showers and thunderstorms moving in towards 12Z as another round gets going to our west. Mostly VFR conditions with this activity, but there will be some periodic MVFR when vis and ceilings go down briefly with heavy rain. All sites should be VFR by morning, although there will be some continued VCSH and VCTS. Winds will be variable with thunderstorms, then begin to shift around from the east to north and northwest as low pressure moves across the area. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. UPDATE...JR SHORT TERM...Godon LONG TERM...CJ AVIATION...JR
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 825 AM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-231330- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Western Walsh- 825 AM CDT Fri Jul 22 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms will be possible this evening in the Devils Lake basin after 9 pm, then into the Red River valley around or after midnight. The strongest of these storms will be capable of wind gusts to 70 mph and hail around an inch and a half in diameter. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Thunderstorms will be possible Saturday morning into the early afternoon with the best chances for severe storms in the southern valley and lakes country of Minnesota. Any of these storms may have winds to 60 mph and hail up to an inch in size. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1206 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1148 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE PEKIN 47.81N 98.30W
07/22/2022 M80 MPH NELSON ND MESONET
GUST AT 10 METERS COURTESY OF NDAWN.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1217 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1201 AM TSTM WND GST 6 N MICHIGAN 48.11N 98.12W
07/23/2022 M58 MPH NELSON ND MESONET
PERSONAL WEATHER STATION REPORTS 58 MPH.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1226 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1218 AM TSTM WND GST 2 N LOGAN CENTER 47.83N 97.82W
07/23/2022 M65 MPH GRAND FORKS ND MESONET
NDAWN REPORTS 65 MPH AT 10 METERS.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1253 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1244 AM HAIL 3 SSE NORTHWOOD 47.70N 97.54W
07/23/2022 E1.00 INCH GRAND FORKS ND PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).
1245 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE NORTHWOOD 47.70N 97.54W
07/23/2022 GRAND FORKS ND PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN;
POWER POLES BROKEN.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1258 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1251 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E EMERADO 47.92N 97.32W
07/23/2022 M70 MPH GRAND FORKS ND MESONET
NDAWN REPORTS A GUST OF 70 MPH AT 10 METERS.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
109 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1245 AM TSTM WND GST 2 S EMERADO 47.89N 97.36W
07/23/2022 M66 MPH GRAND FORKS ND BROADCAST MEDIA
&&The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:17 UTC.
8 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Peak wind gust was measured at a personal weather station. Several large trees were broken down in shelter belts around Bygland Township.
Peak wind was measured at the Crookston Airport /KCKN/. Several trees were reported blown down in the communities of fisher and Crookston.
Peak wind was measured at a MNDOT RWIS station. Multiple wind gusts measured at 60 mph or greater from 120 through 125 am CDT. Numerous trees snapped or uprooted in shelter belts across Huntsville and Fisher Townships.
Peak wind gust was measured at a personal weather station.
A flag pole was snapped, large tree branches were broken down, and outdoor furniture was tossed about. Report and photos posted via social media, with time estimated based on radar.
A boat dock rolled over in the water and broke into pieces. Boat and boat lift were blown into a neighboring area, landing upside down just offshore.
Numerous large branches were blown down, causing damage to shingles and siding of a home. Report was posted via social media, with time estimated based on radar.
Peak wind was measured by a RAWS station. Time adjusted based on other nearby wind sensor readings.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1049491, 1049492, 1049494, 1049496, 1049497, 1049498, 1049499, 1049500.