Abnormally dry conditions led to D2 Drought in multiple counties in west central MN.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.
Abnormally dry conditions led to D2 Drought in multiple counties in west central MN.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 30, 10:51 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1051 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 1051 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 Temperatures seem to have leveled off over eastern North Dakota, as winds are picking up again and some high clouds are moving in. Some drop will still occur across northwest Minnesota, where winds are still light and skies are mainly clear. UPDATE Issued at 554 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 Clouds are clearing out a little faster than expected, so did make some minor adjustments to show clear skies for a bit longer early this evening. Will have to keep an eye on temperatures, as they should also drop quickly for a few hours this evening when the winds are lighter and there is little cloud cover. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 244 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 Impacts are not expected during the short term. Winds have gradually started to decrease across the region this afternoon, and will calm during the overnight hours. Cloud coverage is patchy at best across NW MN and eastern ND. Areas where clouds are situated could see some flurries at times especially near Lake of the Woods through Beltrami county. This look to be possible through the evening hours as cold air advection continues to shift through the area. A low pressure is causing the lingering clouds and flurries across portions of the area as it exits the Great Lakes region. Areas with snowpack and little to no cloud coverage tonight will reach down into the negative single digits, while areas with no snowpack will see single digits for morning lows. Another low pressure system begins to approach the region Thursday bringing southerly winds during a majority of the day. WAA filters in from the central United States helping to bring temperatures into the mid 20s to lower 30s for afternoon highs. Winds will be breezy, with gusts reaching 25kts during the morning and afternoon thanks to some steeper lapse rates and mixing in the lower atmosphere. Skies will be partly cloudy throughout the day, with some areas near the SD border seeing more sunshine than the rest of the area keeping temperatures warmer. By the evening, winds calm and snow chances begin to increase for Friday-Saturdays system. See Long term discussion on accumulating snow chances end of the week and into the weekend. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 244 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 Friday and Saturday...Upper trough moving into the Plains and then into the Great Lakes will bring a high probability of at least some winter impacts for the end of the week. Uncertainty exists with how severe impacts will be at this point. There is some good synoptic lift, and some mid level frontogenesis that could bring the potential for mesoscale banding. The system as a whole is very progressive and that could limit snow amounts. However, there is the potential for some locally heavy snowfall rates Friday afternoon and evening. Winds will also be increasing as the surface low deepens to our east. Some of the higher ensemble members have sustained winds over 30 kts in eastern ND, which is a bit excessive given this type of system. If that higher end wind occurs, there could be much higher impacts as falling and blowing snow could reduce visibilities to very low levels. However, not super confident in blowing snow impacts at this point. Think there will be some, but not enough to start messaging for widespread blizzard conditions quite yet. Will continue to monitor and see how tonight and tomorrow's runs handle the system. Winds will diminish on Saturday as high pressure builds in behind the low, but not before bringing some wind chills down close to advisory levels at least across part of the area. Sunday through Wednesday...Northwesterly flow aloft behind the main trough, with various shortwaves moving through and bringing reinforcing shots of cold air. There is still quite a bit of ensemble spread, especially with the surface features. With shortwaves bringing more cold air into the Northern Plains, temperatures will be well be well below average with some locations not getting above zero for highs early next week. Less certain is snow chances and if any shortwaves bring some light precip to the area. Will keep the NBM POPs which wash out snow chances due to differences in timing of various waves, but will keep an eye out for a stronger precip signal as the period gets closer. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night) Issued at 1051 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 Really no changes to the 00z set of TAFs, with changing wind speeds and directions being the main issue. Not expecting anything other than high clouds throughout, although KDVL may see some increasing mid clouds late in the period. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && UPDATE...Godon SHORT TERM...Spender LONG TERM...JR AVIATION...Godon
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 241 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012045- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Western Walsh- 241 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Accumulating snow is expected Friday into Saturday, with impacts possible from blowing snow and reduced visibilities. Uncertainty arises for the severity of these impacts, but we can say that impact to travel is possible. Below normal temperatures expected early next week, with dangerous wind chills. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Portions of Clay county in D2 Drought from December 1st - December 31st, 2022.
Portions of Norman county in D2 Drought from December 1st - December 31st, 2022.
Portions of Wilkin county in D2 Drought from December 1st - December 31st, 2022.
Portions of Grant county in D2 Drought from December 1st - December 19th, 2022.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, December 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1067331, 1067332, 1067333, 1067334.