Showers and storms developed ahead of a cold front. Some storms became severe with damaging winds, and locally heavy rainfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Showers and storms developed ahead of a cold front. Some storms became severe with damaging winds, and locally heavy rainfall. Winds were strong ahead of the storms and resulted in downed trees across the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 5:43 AM CST, 4 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
543 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
...SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY...
.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
IFR cigs were observed in the south at 1130Z while MVFR cigs were
observed elsewhere. MVFR cigs are still expected to prevail
through the TAF period. A gusty se-s wind will increase with gusts
of 30-40kts today away from TSRA activity. A cold front wl bring a
wind shift to the w-nw beginning in the nw after 18Z and in the se
by 03Z Fri. Numerous +TSRA will be possible this aftn,
particularly along/north of the JAN-MEI corridor. Non convective
llws will into the afternoon at most TAF sites. /22/
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: Severe storms and a strong gusty gradient wind is
expected over the whole CWA today. Early morning satellite
imagery/RAP analysis showed a southern stream shortwave nearly over
the Red river valley. Early morning surface analysis had a <1004mb
low centered over the Red River valley. Together these features will
move rapidly to the east northeast today toward the Ohio Valley and
drag a cold front across our CWA this evening. Ahead of this
approaching cold front deep moisture and the wind field will
continue to increase. Recent guidance has continued to trend
slightly warmer with this afternoon highs leading to slightly
greater instability than previous night's runs had suggested. The
current regional radars showed scattered showers moving over our
southeast and western most zones. This activity will increase toward
daybreak but eventually a line of storms is expected to develop
along a prefrontal trough to our west and move into our northwest
most zones by mid morning. These storms will have the potential for
damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. The intensity of
the storms is expected to increase as the line shifts east of the
Mississippi river and we head into the afternoon. Tornadoes, a few
of which may become strong, along with damaging wind gusts will be
possible with the storms. Even away from the storms, strong gusty
winds with gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected across the whole CWA
today. The line of potentially severe storms is expected to be over
our southeast zones prior to sunset and the threat for severe storms
will end with the passage of the line. Rain chances however will
continue into this evening as the actual cold front is only expected
to be near the Natches Trace but sunset and not clear our southeast
most zones until later in the evening. A much colder and drier
airmass will move into our CWA in the wake of the cold front leading
to morning lows below freezing across the northwest half of our CWA.
As the precipitation will have ended well before the coldest air
moves in, no wintry precipitation is expected. /22/
Friday through Wednesday:
In the wake of today's cold front, northerly winds will continue
across the forecast area tomorrow with high pressure building into
the region. This will set up what will likely be the coolest night
for the next week (min temps ranging from the mid- to upper 20s).
The upper-level trough to our west will continue to break down with
a more zonal flow pattern aloft through the weekend. Then Monday
into the pattern should amplify once again with a deepening trough
over the western CONUS and southwesterly flow developing in the
upper-levels over our region. At the surface, a warm front should
lift back north from the Gulf Coast on Monday as a disturbance
ejects out ahead of the deepening trough. Warm advection showers and
a few thunderstorms are possible with the lifting warm front, but
severe weather is not currently expected. A low pressure system is
likely to then lift northeastward from the Plains to New England,
leaving a sagging cold frontal boundary in its wake. Given that the
upper-level trough will be continuing to deepen to our west through
this time frame, increasing moisture and subsequent disturbances
will lead to the potential for heavy rain somewhere in the region
through mid week. At this point it's too far out to pin down where
the axis of heaviest rain potential will set up, but generally
appears that northern MS/AL into TN will be favored. We'll continue
to monitor trends in guidance for any developing flood potential.
As far as fire weather is concerned, hopefully today's rainfall will
be enough to dampen dried fuels across our region - at least for a
few days. Friday and Saturday will be dry in the post-frontal air
mass, and then the returning moisture and rain chances next week
will quiet any remaining fire concerns for the near future. /NF/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 77 33 52 27 / 99 56 0 0
Meridian 76 36 53 27 / 99 85 0 0
Vicksburg 77 32 51 28 / 99 21 0 0
Hattiesburg 77 41 56 29 / 99 95 0 0
Natchez 76 34 53 28 / 99 22 0 0
Greenville 76 30 48 29 / 99 20 0 0
Greenwood 76 31 48 28 / 99 46 0 0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ018-019-025>066-
072>074.
LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
023>026.
AR...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ074-075.
&&
NF/22Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 326 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-016-023>026-MSZ059>064-072>074-180930- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Madison LA- Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Jefferson-Adams- Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 326 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms will be possible this morning into early afternoon. The main hazards will be damaging winds and tornadoes. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Sustained winds up to 35 mph and gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible outside of thunderstorms on today. This will make travel difficult and could bring down some trees and powerlines. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today. LAZ009-MSZ018-019-025>058-065-066-180930- East Carroll-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery- Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys- Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS- Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale- Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Covington-Jones- 326 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms are likely this morning into the afternoon across the region. The main hazards will be from tornadoes, with a strong tornado possible, along with damaging winds. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Sustained winds up to 35 mph and gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible outside of thunderstorms on Thursday. This will make travel difficult and could bring down some trees and powerlines. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today. 20 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph or greater. Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph. Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph. Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
501 AM CST THU FEB 17 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW NEW HOPE 33.45N 88.34W
02/16/2022 LOWNDES MS BROADCAST MEDIA
A TREE FELL ACROSS A MOBILE HOME IN NEW
HOPE, SPLITTING IT IN HALF. OCCUPANTS OF THE
HOME WERE UNINJURED.
&&
DLThe Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 119 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:42 UTC.
1 strong wind, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree limbs were blown down around Tallulah.
The roof was partially removed from an old tin building.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Louisiana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Louisiana, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1010028, 1010029.