In the late afternoon hours on the 30th, a line of thunderstorms began developing from far western Kansas to Lincoln, Nebraska. As it was developing, one of the most southern storms produced a gust of 58 mph.
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The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
In the late afternoon hours on the 30th, a line of thunderstorms began developing from far western Kansas to Lincoln, Nebraska. As it was developing, one of the most southern storms produced a gust of 58 mph.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 5:05 PM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 505 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Through Friday night) Issued at 203 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 Today-Tonight: The Tri-State area remains situated on the northern periphery of a broad upper level ridge -- at the far southern fringe of the mid-latitude westerlies. Though the synoptic pattern remains essentially the same (compared to yesterday).. guidance continues to indicate a far greater potential for convection during the late afternoon/evening.. perhaps assoc/w a subtle change in the orientation/magnitude of the upper level ridge over the 4-Corners and stronger flow aloft (at/above 300 mb) over the Intermountain West/northern Rockies bringing small amplitude waves in closer proximity to the central Rockies. 19Z (1 pm MDT) SPC mesoanalysis data (700-400 mb DPVA) suggests that such a wave may be present invof the CO/WY/NE border. Simulated reflectivity forecasts via the HRRR and NAM NEST continue to suggest that convection will develop in the lee of the Rockies during the mid-afternoon, increasing in coverage and progressing downstream into western KS during the late aft/eve (reaching the CO/KS border by ~00Z) -- and that separate/distinct development may occur along a weak, SW-NE oriented thermal- moisture boundary (TMB) -- invof a line extending from Oakley- Norton-Hastings. Forecast soundings continue to indicate a dry thermodynamic environment characterized by skinny, high-based CAPE profiles and a kinematic environment characterized by weak low- mid tropospheric flow (10-15 knot winds from the surface to ~500 mb). In such conditions.. organized convection is not anticipated. 19Z SPC mesoanalysis data indicates an exceedingly poor thermodynamic environment in place over the region -- characterized by lingering convective inhibition and marginal instability (~100-250 J/kg MLCAPE).. with perhaps ~500 J/kg east of Hwy 283 (Norton-Hill City) near the moist side of the TMB -- and that little in the way of additional destabilization is likely. In weak forcing regimes, convection allowing guidance tends to be far less reliable. Confidence is low with regard to whether or not convection emanating from the Rockies will meaningfully intensify and/or persist downstream into western KS. Seasonably/climatologically strong DCAPE and inverted-V thermodynamic profiles will, of course, support brief/isold instances of damaging wind in association with any deep updrafts. Fri-Fri night: Similar to today (no significant change in the synoptic pattern) -- except that forecast confidence is even lower -- as lingering convection and/or convective remnants (late tonight and Fri morning) may alter environmental conditions over the region. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 310 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 Models have an upper level ridge building back across the region on Saturday and Sunday. The upper level high/ridge shifts southeast across TX and the Gulf coast region on Monday. An upper level trough moves across the central plains into Midwest late next Wednesday into Thursday. Expect mainly upper level zonal flow early in the period becoming southwest upper level flow and then northwest upper level flow by the end of the period. At the surface on Saturday a surface low is projected to be across southwest SD/nw NE region with another across southern Kansas with a weak boundary between them. By sunday a stationary boundary is projected to be across southeast WY southeast to southern KS. On Monday a surface low pressure is across western Nebraska with a warm front across Nebraska southeast into southern IN. A surface trough is across western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. On Tuesday the surface low is across central Nebraska with a stationary boundary across Nebraska southeast to OH valley and a surface trough across southern Nebraska southwest to NM. By Wednesday and Thursday the stationary boundary is projected to be across southern Nebraska/northern KS southeast into northern KY. Temperatures will start off lower in the upper 80s to lower 90s for afternoon highs on Saturday. Sunday's afternoon high temperatures will be in the 90s. For Monday and Tuesday expect afternoon high temperatures to climb back into the lower 90s and lower 100s. Then slightly cooler by next Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 80s to middle 90s. Overnight low temperatures will be mainly in the lower 60s to middle 70s. Expect some better precipitation chances during the extended period early and then more isolated activity Monday into Tuesday and then better chances late next Wednesday into early next Thursday as upper level trough passes through. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening) Issued at 500 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Gusty north winds at taf issuance may continue for another few hours before setting below 12kts this evening. On Friday, winds veer to the northeast then east at speeds up to 11kts. Regarding precipitation chances, very difficult to lend any confidence to any of the numerous model solutions. It appears that there is a chance in the 05z-08z timeframe so have included it into the forecast. Further updates may be needed once storms get going and confidence increases in impacting the terminal. KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Northeast winds around 11kts are expected from taf issuance through 15z. After 16z, winds steadily veer to the east with speeds approaching 12kts at the end of the taf period. Regarding precipitation chances, very difficult to lend any confidence to any of the numerical model solutions and pinpoint a time that the terminal may be impacted. So for now, have kept any mention of precipitation out of the forecast and should confidence increase amendments will be made. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...VINCENT LONG TERM...EH AVIATION...99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 245 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-012045- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 245 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022 /345 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... Thunderstorms developing in the lee of the Rockies this afternoon are anticipated to increase in coverage and track eastward into western Kansas late this afternoon and evening. Brief, localized wind gusts up to 65 mph cannot be ruled out in association with any thunderstorms, mainly between 4 PM and 10 PM MDT. Widespread and or significant severe weather is NOT expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... Thunderstorms developing in the lee of the Rockies Friday afternoon may increase in coverage and track eastward into western Kansas during the late afternoon and evening. Brief, localized wind gusts up to 65 mph cannot be ruled out in association with any thunderstorms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any severe or significant weather to the National Weather Service in Goodland via social media or telephone. Vincent
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:07 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Via Kansas Mesonet at Leoti. A 58 mph gust was measured at 10 meters high with a 47 mph gust measured at 2 meters high.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, June 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1038027.