Florida, 2022

Flood in Florida, October 9, 2022

October 9, 2022 · NWS TBW · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A moist tropical airmass pushed over Lee County bringing heavy rain and street flooding.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.

A moist tropical airmass pushed over Lee County bringing heavy rain and street flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 9, 1:49 PM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 1:49 PM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
249 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Continued increasing cloud cover from south to north today as
moisture from the south works its way into the region. A weak high
pressure will continue to keep rain chances at bay north of the I-4
corridor. However, southern locations will see POP chances increase
this afternoon and evening as a frontal boundary slowly moves south
and interacts with tropical moisture. Thunderstorm chances will
remain low today due to existing cloud cover. POP chances will then
move north on Monday and Tuesday with higher chances of a few
thunderstorms, especially across the southern portions of the
forecast area. Afternoon highs the next couple of days will reach
into the middle to upper 80s with overnight lows falling into the
middle to lower 70s.

In the longer term, model guidance continues to suggest a frontal
boundary sweeping across the state that will usher in additional
rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday. A high pressure will build
into the region behind the front beginning on Friday that will lead
to drier conditions into next weekend. Afternoon highs on Wednesday
will top out in the middle to upper 80s. Then behind the front,
highs for the end of the week and into the weekend will reach into
the lower to middle 80s. Overnight lows behind the front will fall
into the 60s at the end of the week, with northern locations seeing
lows fall into the upper 50s by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

VFR conditions should prevail at most TAF sites before chances of
showers increase through the afternoon especially over southern
locations. For SRQ, there's a chance that an isolated shower could
occur, but confidence wasn't high enough to add VCSH at this time.
Thunderstorms are possible for Southwestern airports this afternoon,
however with current cloud cover chances remain low. On Monday
morning, lower cloud bases are likely for most locations with ample
moisture moving into the area. Most terminals can expect MVFR to IFR
ceilings in the morning. Then chances of showers increase again on
Monday, timing of the onset of showers is uncertain but generally
after 15Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Northeasterly winds could become gusty this afternoon. Southern
waters will see isolated showers and isolated storms this
afternoon and evening as a frontal boundary slowly moves south and
interacts with tropical moisture. Rain chances will shift north
beginning on Monday with a few thunderstorms possible.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Increasing moisture combined with relatively light winds should keep
fire weather concerns out of the area through the period. Prevailing
east to northeasterly winds will shift out of the south and west by
the end of the week as a frontal boundary moves south across the
area. Rain chances increase through the week but much drier
conditions return before the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  71  88  72  88 /   0  20   0  20
FMY  73  89  74  90 /  30  40  10  30
GIF  70  91  72  91 /  10  30   0  20
SRQ  71  87  71  87 /  10  30  10  20
BKV  64  88  67  88 /   0  10   0  20
SPG  73  86  73  86 /  10  20   0  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...DavisA/Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT....Carlisle

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Lee

When
October 9, 5:40 PM EST
Where
Lee County, 1.38 mi S of Whiskey Creek to 1.36 mi S of Whiskey Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
26.560, -81.900

Skywarn spotter reported flooded roadway at intersection of College Parkway and Winkler Road.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1063725.