Florida, 2022Flood in Florida, October 9, 2022
October 9, 2022 · NWS TBW · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A moist tropical airmass pushed over Lee County bringing heavy rain and street flooding.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A moist tropical airmass pushed over Lee County bringing heavy rain and street flooding.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 9, 1:49 PM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 1:49 PM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
249 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022
Continued increasing cloud cover from south to north today as
moisture from the south works its way into the region. A weak high
pressure will continue to keep rain chances at bay north of the I-4
corridor. However, southern locations will see POP chances increase
this afternoon and evening as a frontal boundary slowly moves south
and interacts with tropical moisture. Thunderstorm chances will
remain low today due to existing cloud cover. POP chances will then
move north on Monday and Tuesday with higher chances of a few
thunderstorms, especially across the southern portions of the
forecast area. Afternoon highs the next couple of days will reach
into the middle to upper 80s with overnight lows falling into the
middle to lower 70s.
In the longer term, model guidance continues to suggest a frontal
boundary sweeping across the state that will usher in additional
rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday. A high pressure will build
into the region behind the front beginning on Friday that will lead
to drier conditions into next weekend. Afternoon highs on Wednesday
will top out in the middle to upper 80s. Then behind the front,
highs for the end of the week and into the weekend will reach into
the lower to middle 80s. Overnight lows behind the front will fall
into the 60s at the end of the week, with northern locations seeing
lows fall into the upper 50s by the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022
VFR conditions should prevail at most TAF sites before chances of
showers increase through the afternoon especially over southern
locations. For SRQ, there's a chance that an isolated shower could
occur, but confidence wasn't high enough to add VCSH at this time.
Thunderstorms are possible for Southwestern airports this afternoon,
however with current cloud cover chances remain low. On Monday
morning, lower cloud bases are likely for most locations with ample
moisture moving into the area. Most terminals can expect MVFR to IFR
ceilings in the morning. Then chances of showers increase again on
Monday, timing of the onset of showers is uncertain but generally
after 15Z.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022
Northeasterly winds could become gusty this afternoon. Southern
waters will see isolated showers and isolated storms this
afternoon and evening as a frontal boundary slowly moves south and
interacts with tropical moisture. Rain chances will shift north
beginning on Monday with a few thunderstorms possible.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022
Increasing moisture combined with relatively light winds should keep
fire weather concerns out of the area through the period. Prevailing
east to northeasterly winds will shift out of the south and west by
the end of the week as a frontal boundary moves south across the
area. Rain chances increase through the week but much drier
conditions return before the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 71 88 72 88 / 0 20 0 20
FMY 73 89 74 90 / 30 40 10 30
GIF 70 91 72 91 / 10 30 0 20
SRQ 71 87 71 87 / 10 30 10 20
BKV 64 88 67 88 / 0 10 0 20
SPG 73 86 73 86 / 10 20 0 20
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...DavisA/Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT....Carlisle
Flood, Lee
- When
- October 9, 5:40 PM EST
- Where
- Lee County, 1.38 mi S of Whiskey Creek to 1.36 mi S of Whiskey Creek
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 26.560, -81.900
Skywarn spotter reported flooded roadway at intersection of College Parkway and Winkler Road.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1063725.