High pressure over the Atlantic led to a moderate onshore wind at the east coast beaches, causing the formation of rip currents.
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The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
High pressure over the Atlantic led to a moderate onshore wind at the east coast beaches, causing the formation of rip currents.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 9:05 AM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 1005 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022 .UPDATE... An old frontal boundary will be washing out slowly over the Southeastern United States, as high pressure over the Western Atlantic waters remains nearly stationary extending westward into the Florida Peninsula. This will keep and easterly steering flow over South Florida allowing for the east coast sea breeze to develop and push inland across the area while keeping the west coast sea breeze over the west coast metro areas. Showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breezes through today and become numerous over the interior and west coast metro areas by late this afternoon into early this evening. Therefore, POPs will range from isolated to scattered over the east coast metro areas increasing to numerous over the western interior and west coast metro areas for today. The PWAT values from the morning MIA sounding showed around 1.9 inches which is still above the normal PWATs for this time of year which is 1.8 inches. The steering flow will also be slow today around 5 knots from the southeast. Therefore, any showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall. Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes are planned. && .PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 815 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022) AVIATION(12Z TAFS)... Winds will be easterly over most of the TAF sites, except going westerly between 18Z and 00Z at KAPF taf site. VCSH for east coast taf sites until 17Z. VCTS for KAPF taf site from 18Z until 01Z with tempo group from 21Z until 01Z for reduced vis and ceiling in the storms. VFR conditions for rest of South Florida TAF sites. && PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 323 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022) SHORT TERM (Through Sunday)... Deep layer ridging, and ESErly steering flow will continue through the weekend. This will result in a continuation each day of generally the same sensible weather. The greatest moisture, supported of deep moist convection, will be focused from Naples to the Lake and areas northwest. So we expect to see morning showers across the east coast, possibly an isolated T'storm, with scattered storms spreading across the interior in the afternoon, becoming more numerous and stronger as they reach the more favorable moisture region and then move out into the Gulf. High temperatures will also be similar each day, reaching the lower 90s with heat indices in the low 100s. LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday)... Through the 4th, the same general pattern above is forecast to continue. After Monday, the amplifying central CONUS ridge and an upper low dropping south through the western Atlantic will open up a pathway for greater deep layer moisture advection and possibly a weak disturbance or two. With steering flow remaining mostly east or southeast, the same evolution of convection is expected though coverage of storms is expected to be higher. By the end of the week the upper low is forecast to advect through the western Caribbean, and with the ridge to the north, enhanced winds aloft could aid in a greater coverage of storms to finish the week as well. This will greatly depend on the track of the upper low and distribution of dry/moist airmasses and those details are quite agreed upon yet. AVIATION(06Z TAFS)... A few showers and an isolated storm or two appear to be most likely along the east coast this morning from FLL north to PBI. By mid afternoon the threat for showers and storms will likely be inland from our east coast terminals. Later this afternoon, the threat for storms shifts to APF through the early evening hours. ESE winds should remain steady around 10 to 15 knots. MARINE... Moderate east-southeasterly winds are expected for the next several days. While Advisory conditions are not likely, Cautionary conditions are expected each day. Scattered showers and storms are also expected each day, with thunderstorms most likely across the Gulf waters each evening. BEACHES... The high risk for rip currents will continue through the Independence Day weekend along our east coast beaches as moderate onshore flow will persist. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 80 91 79 91 / 10 30 10 50 West Kendall 78 92 78 92 / 10 30 10 50 Opa-Locka 79 91 79 92 / 10 30 10 50 Homestead 78 89 78 89 / 10 20 10 50 Fort Lauderdale 80 89 80 89 / 10 30 10 40 N Ft Lauderdale 80 89 80 89 / 10 30 10 40 Pembroke Pines 79 91 78 91 / 10 30 10 50 West Palm Beach 79 89 79 89 / 10 30 10 40 Boca Raton 79 91 79 92 / 10 30 10 40 Naples 76 92 77 92 / 40 60 20 50 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173. AM...None. GM...None. && Update/Aviation...BNB Today through Sunday and Marine...Harrigan Sunday Night through Friday...Harrigan Visit us at weather.gov/miami Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwsmiami www.twitter.com/nwsmiami
Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 1017 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 030200- Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay- Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM- Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry- Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier- Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade- Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami- Dade-Far South Miami-Dade- Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM- Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- 1017 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022 ...High Risk Of Rip Currents East Coast Beaches... ...Scattered To Numerous Storms especially Western Areas Of South Florida... This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT Rip currents: There is a high risk of rip currents along the Atlantic beaches. Thunderstorms: Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop through the day hours today with the best coverage over the interior and west coast metro areas. A few of the storms could become strong with gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning strikes especially where the sea breezes collide. Wind: The strongest storms today will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 50 mph. Flooding: Potential impacts from heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding on urban and/or poor drainage areas over the interior and metro areas of of the Gulf coast of South Florida. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY The risk for rip currents will remain high through at least Monday and may need to be extended further into next week. Scattered storms are expected each afternoon, beginning with showers and isolated storms across the east coast each morning, with thunderstorms becoming more widespread across the interior and southwest Florida later in the afternoon and evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. For more information...visit the National Weather Service in Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami. Baxter
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
Miami Beach Ocean Rescue reported one individual rescued as a result of strong rip currents.
Miami Beach Ocean Rescue reported 3 individuals rescued on Miami Beach as a result of strong rip currents.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1050286, 1050287.