Arizona, 2022Flash Flood and Debris Flow in Arizona, June 23, 2022
June 23, 2022 · NWS TWC · 3 events in 2 counties and zones
Thunderstorms moved north across southeast Arizona. Thunderstorm winds produced a wall of dust along I-10 in Pinal County.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Thunderstorms moved north across southeast Arizona. Thunderstorm winds produced a wall of dust along I-10 in Pinal County. Other storms produced heavy rain and flash flooding in the Baboquivari Mountains.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 23, 9:35 AM MST, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 9:35 AM MST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
935 AM MST Thu Jun 23 2022
.SYNOPSIS...Another reinforcing shot of moisture will result in more
shower and thunderstorm activity across southeast Arizona today
through the weekend. Thunderstorms today should affect areas from
Sells to the New Mexico border. Some storms will generate strong
erratic winds and locally heavy runoff producing rains.
&&
.DISCUSSION...HIRES CAM solutions continue to depict a busier
convection day today especially compared to yesterday. Basically
more convection with a much earlier start, likely first over central
Pima county around or shortly after noon. The question is how
vigorous will the convection be.
CAPE and shear values don't point toward wild storms however DCAPE is
up there enough from mainly central Pima county northward toward
Phoenix that a few strong outflows may be a problem. Of course over
the lower deserts early in the season that could bring about blowing
dust issues. Coordinated with Phoenix office (Thanks PHX) about
possibility of including parts of the lower desert in Marginal severe
area on SPC outlook. Will see on that, either way there is some
threat of greater than 50 mph gusts that part of AZ.
Other issue is precipitable water. It has dropped over the last 24hrs
so the heavy rain threat is less, but it is just high enough west of
Tucson with slow moving storms that local areas may have heavy rain
and runoff. Not a great day for that given the marginal PW but will
need to watch for training storms or those with little if any
movement.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 24/12Z.
AFT 19Z, SCT SHRA/TSRA with SCT-BKN clouds 8-10k ft ABV valley
floors. Lowering cloud bases in/around storms to FEW/SCT 4k-6k ft
AGL with brief MVFR conditions possible. Erratic wind gusts in excess
of 45 kts possible with storms and outflows. Otherwise, expect E-SE
winds 5-15 kts through the period. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Abundant moisture over the region on a steady monsoon
flow pattern will result in high humidity levels and daily rounds of
showers and thunderstorms into next week. There should be a notable
uptick in storm coverage across the entire SE Zone this afternoon
and evening. Due to the deep moisture in place, expect a good chance
of wetting rains.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 157 AM MST Thu Jun 23 2022/
Some showers were lingering across portions of Cochise county early
this morning. Would expect this activity to dissipate by day break.
Otherwise, models continued to depict more widespread shower and
thunderstorm activity this afternoon and evening compared to
Wednesday. Thereafter, the overall flow pattern remained favorable
for daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Models did point to
Sunday as being a significant upswing in showers and thunderstorms.
This uptick in activity will be in response to an upper low/inverted
trough interacting with the deep moisture over AZ as it approaches
from the east. Otherwise, high temperatures will hover near
seasonable readings.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Public...Cerniglia
Aviation...Cerniglia
Fire Weather....Cerniglia
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
Event by event
1 debris flow, 1 dust storm, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Debris Flow, Pima
- When
- June 23, 1:30 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 3.07 mi ENE of Gu Chuapo to 1.77 mi S of Pan Tak
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Burn Area
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 31.911, -111.619
Nearly 2 inches of rain in less than 2 hours over the Contreras burn scar caused a 1-2 ft debris flow across State Highway 386 to Kitt Peak.
Dust Storm, South Central Pinal County
- When
- June 23, 2:35 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Pinal County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 32.904, -111.345 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Thunderstorm outflow winds produced a wall of dust that reduced visibility to less than a quarter mile across I-10 northwest of Picacho.
Flash Flood, Pima
- When
- June 23, 3:30 PM MST to 4:30 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 7.21 mi ESE of Chiuli Shaik to 6.97 mi NW of Las Guijas
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 31.773, -111.540
Heavy rain of 1.5 to 3 inches in less than 3 hours caused flash flooding along Empire Ranch Rd.
- Debris Flow
- A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
- Dust Storm
- Blowing dust that reduced visibility to a quarter mile or less.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Minnesota, June 23 to 24, 2022$1.5 million · 1.5 in hail · 19 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Utah, June 23, 2022$110,000 · 59 kt wind · 10 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Minnesota, June 23 to 24, 20222.75 in hail · 57 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in North Dakota, June 23 to 24, 2022EF1 · 28 events
- Tornado and Dust Storm in Arizona, June 23, 2022$76,000 · 61 kt wind · 9 events
- Flash Flood in New York, June 23, 2022$80,000 · 1 event
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Texas, June 23 to 25, 20222 injured · 27 events
- Heat in Texas, June 23 to 24, 202218 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, June 23, 2022$600 · 1 in hail · 17 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Kansas, June 23, 20221.5 in hail · 12 events
- Damaging Winds in Florida, June 23, 2022$2,000 · 50 kt wind · 4 events
- Damaging Winds in Alabama, June 23 to 25, 202252 kt wind · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1041278, 1041277, 1041279.