Arizona, 2022

Flash Flood and Debris Flow in Arizona, June 23, 2022

June 23, 2022 · NWS TWC · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Thunderstorms moved north across southeast Arizona. Thunderstorm winds produced a wall of dust along I-10 in Pinal County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Thunderstorms moved north across southeast Arizona. Thunderstorm winds produced a wall of dust along I-10 in Pinal County. Other storms produced heavy rain and flash flooding in the Baboquivari Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 23, 9:35 AM MST, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 9:35 AM MST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
935 AM MST Thu Jun 23 2022

.SYNOPSIS...Another reinforcing shot of moisture will result in more
shower and thunderstorm activity across southeast Arizona today
through the weekend. Thunderstorms today should affect areas from
Sells to the New Mexico border. Some storms will generate strong
erratic winds and locally heavy runoff producing rains.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIRES CAM solutions continue to depict a busier
convection day today especially compared to yesterday. Basically
more convection with a much earlier start, likely first over central
Pima county around or shortly after noon. The question is how
vigorous will the convection be.

CAPE and shear values don't point toward wild storms however DCAPE is
up there enough from mainly central Pima county northward toward
Phoenix that a few strong outflows may be a problem. Of course over
the lower deserts early in the season that could bring about blowing
dust issues. Coordinated with Phoenix office (Thanks PHX) about
possibility of including parts of the lower desert in Marginal severe
area on SPC outlook. Will see on that, either way there is some
threat of greater than 50 mph gusts that part of AZ.

Other issue is precipitable water. It has dropped over the last 24hrs
so the heavy rain threat is less, but it is just high enough west of
Tucson with slow moving storms that local areas may have heavy rain
and runoff. Not a great day for that given the marginal PW but will
need to watch for training storms or those with little if any
movement.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 24/12Z.
AFT 19Z, SCT SHRA/TSRA with SCT-BKN clouds 8-10k ft ABV valley
floors. Lowering cloud bases in/around storms to FEW/SCT 4k-6k ft
AGL with brief MVFR conditions possible. Erratic wind gusts in excess
of 45 kts possible with storms and outflows. Otherwise, expect E-SE
winds 5-15 kts through the period. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Abundant moisture over the region on a steady monsoon
flow pattern will result in high humidity levels and daily rounds of
showers and thunderstorms into next week. There should be a notable
uptick in storm coverage across the entire SE Zone this afternoon
and evening. Due to the deep moisture in place, expect a good chance
of wetting rains.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 157 AM MST Thu Jun 23 2022/
Some showers were lingering across portions of Cochise county early
this morning. Would expect this activity to dissipate by day break.
Otherwise, models continued to depict more widespread shower and
thunderstorm activity this afternoon and evening compared to
Wednesday. Thereafter, the overall flow pattern remained favorable
for daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Models did point to
Sunday as being a significant upswing in showers and thunderstorms.
This uptick in activity will be in response to an upper low/inverted
trough interacting with the deep moisture over AZ as it approaches
from the east. Otherwise, high temperatures will hover near
seasonable readings.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Public...Cerniglia
Aviation...Cerniglia
Fire Weather....Cerniglia

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 93 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 debris flow, 1 dust storm, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Debris Flow, Pima

When
June 23, 1:30 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 3.07 mi ENE of Gu Chuapo to 1.77 mi S of Pan Tak
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
31.911, -111.619

Nearly 2 inches of rain in less than 2 hours over the Contreras burn scar caused a 1-2 ft debris flow across State Highway 386 to Kitt Peak.

Dust Storm, South Central Pinal County

When
June 23, 2:35 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
South Central Pinal County forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
32.904, -111.345 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Thunderstorm outflow winds produced a wall of dust that reduced visibility to less than a quarter mile across I-10 northwest of Picacho.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
June 23, 3:30 PM MST to 4:30 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 7.21 mi ESE of Chiuli Shaik to 6.97 mi NW of Las Guijas
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
31.773, -111.540

Heavy rain of 1.5 to 3 inches in less than 3 hours caused flash flooding along Empire Ranch Rd.

What these are

Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
Dust Storm
Blowing dust that reduced visibility to a quarter mile or less.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1041278, 1041277, 1041279.