Alaska, 2022

High Wind in Alaska, January 2 to 4, 2022

January 2 to 4, 2022 · NWS AJK · 4 events in 2 counties and zones

Strong pressure gradient driven winds from northern British Columbia cause impacts in the Haines Borough and the City and Borough of Juneau at the start of the new year.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

Strong pressure gradient driven winds from northern British Columbia cause impacts in the Haines Borough and the City and Borough of Juneau at the start of the new year.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 1, 8:16 PM AKST, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 8:16 PM AKST, 3 hours 44 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
816 PM AKST Sat Jan 1 2022

.SHORT TERM.../Through Sunday night/...The parent low from the
New Year's storm has morphed into several circulations over the
northern gulf, with the most robust circulation well SW of Yakutat
this afternoon. This has opened the door for onshore showers to
rotate into the Panhandle. In addition to the onshore flow, and
cold air advection aloft, there is local surface convergence and
terrain that will work to enhance the snow showers. The showers
are expected to continue through midnight for the northern zones,
Sunday morning for the central zones, and Sunday evening for the
southern zones. For the northern zones, precipitation type is
expected to be mostly snow with these showers with up to 3 inches
possible overnight. A Winter Weather Advisory was issued for
Juneau for 3-5 inches of new snow as there is higher confidence
that accumulating snow will fall there. For the central and
southern zones, as the band slides south, the forecast is for rain
to transition back to snow, with around 2 inches of snowfall
before ending. Trends will need to be monitored for precip-type
surprises - if rain transitions back to snow sooner than forecast,
snow amounts overnight into tomorrow will be higher. After the
areas of low pressure over the gulf slide south, support for snow
will shut off and we get into part two of the short term forecast.

The next forecast concern becomes the northerly outflow setup. An
upper level trough over the region will become highly amplified
opening the gates for deep arctic air to spill into the
panhandle. A surface high in the Yukon (modeled around 1052mb)
along with low pressure south of the panhandle makes for an
impressive North-South pressure gradient. Storm force northerly
winds are forecast to develop in Lynn Canal on Sunday with gales
in the other northern inner channels (Stephens, Icy Strait, Cross
Sound, Chatham Strait). Storm force winds are also in the forecast
for the outside waters in the outflow areas. Heavy freezing spray
will also become a concern for Lynn Canal, Glacier Bay, and the
outside waters. High winds are expected for Skagway and the Taku
wind area in Downtown Juneau / Douglas. There is less confidence
on timing for Downtown Juneau, but periods of high winds are
likely. See the high wind warnings for details on the timing.
Elsewhere it will be breezy / windy at times, and with all the new
snow on the ground, expect plenty of blowing snow. Add very cold
air (lows near or below zero Sunday night) and the weather is
expected to become very harsh, even for SE AK standards.

.LONG TERM.../Monday through Thursday Night/ As has been the case the past
several days, the forecast challenge for the long term will be the
winds, namely where and how long they will last. Winds look to be
far more impactful through the northern portion of the panhandle as
high pressure in the Yukon continues to build creating a rather
impressive pressure gradient. This should promote storm force winds
through Lynn Canal and gales through the inner channels to the
south. For downtown Juneau, cross barrier flow should be well
established and guidance is indicating that a critical level could
be fluctuating in and out which could be the precursors for a Taku
wind event for Downtown Juneau. This uncertainty regarding the CL
really only gives us enough confidence to carry a High Wind headline
for Juneau into Monday night. The High Winds blowing out of Skagway
and White Pass on the other hand, could very well carry on for a few
days if the pressure gradient remains at the current forecast
strength. While further extensions of the warning may become
necessary as new guidance comes in, have for now opted to extend it
to noon on Tuesday and then carry strong winds for the duration of
the forecast period. Fresh snow in many locations where these
stronger winds are expected will also bring about blowing snow which
will likely lead to decreased visibility and yet another hazard to
travel.

Aside from the winds, the only other notable feature of the forecast
is the much below normal temperatures featured in the forecast.
Offshore flow around the high will be pushing exceptionally arctic
air over the region. The forecast remains unchanged as no
qualitative adjustments could be determined with current model runs,
it's just too darn cold, try not to be out in it for much time if
you can help it. If you required any more prodding to stay indoors,
many areas could see very uncomfortable and in some cases dangerous
wind chills. One further impact for marine interests, the
combination of the wind and cold will also lead to freezing spray
which will likely become heavy in some locations.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 3 AM AKST Sunday through late Sunday night for
     AKZ026.
     High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 9 PM AKST Monday for
     AKZ025.
     Winter Weather Advisory until midnight AKST tonight for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     AKZ020>022.
     Strong Wind from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     AKZ023.
     Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through late Sunday
     night for AKZ019.
     High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to noon AKST Tuesday for
     AKZ018.
     Winter Storm Warning until 9 PM AKST this evening for AKZ017.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ053.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ051.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011-013.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012.
     Storm Warning for PKZ012-013-043-051.
     Gale Warning for PKZ011-021-022-031>034-052-053-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ035-036-041-042.

&&

BFL/JDR

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 1, 7:23 PM AKST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
723 PM AKST SAT JAN 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     SNOW             KETCHIKAN               55.36N 131.69W
01/01/2022  M4.5 INCH        KETCHIKAN GATEWAY  AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 TO 5 INCHES IN KETCHIKAN BY MIDNIGHT 1-1.
            WAS MOSTLY WASHED AWAY BY RAIN AFTER THAT
            POINT.

0719 PM     SNOW             1 WSW JUNEAU            58.30N 134.45W
01/01/2022  M17.3 INCH       JUNEAU             AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL OF 17.3 INCHES AT WEST JUNEAU.
            ELEVATION A FEW HUNDRED FEET.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 1, 10:45 PM AKST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1045 PM AKST SAT JAN 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     SNOW             6 W KLUKWAN             59.40N 136.07W
01/01/2022  M6.3 INCH        HAINES             AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            6.25 INCHES OVER THE LAST 22 HOURS IN THE
            CHILKAT VALLEY. 10 INCHES OVER THE LAST 40
            HOURS. MOST OF THAT WAS BEFORE 9 AM 1-1.

&&

Event by event

4 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
January 2, 12:00 AM AKST to January 3, 6:00 AM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

The Mesonet station on the AML Dock in Juneau recorded and wind gust of 61 mph.

High Wind, Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway

When
January 2, 12:00 AM AKST to January 3, 6:00 AM AKST
Where
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Klondike highway was closed due to blowing snow with heavy drifting.

High Wind, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
January 2, 4:00 AM AKST to 7:42 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

At 4 am a avalanche down snowslide creek went onto Thane Road in Juneau. The Road was already closed as a precaution. Power was also knocked out in Lemon Creek elsewhere in Juneau due to high winds. The AML Dock in Juneau reported wind speeds of 70 mph at 7:42 pm.

High Wind, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
January 3, 9:00 AM AKST to January 4, 7:00 AM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Frequent gusts at or above 60 mph on January 2nd and 3rd. Strongest gusts of 75 mph occurred at the Juneau AML Dock at 09:02 am on January 3rd and again at 7:00 am on January 4th.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, January 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1005107, 1005131, 1005108, 1005109.