A combination of moderate winds and a northeasterly swell resulted in breaking waves of 6 to 11 feet along the northern coast of Puerto Rico.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
A combination of moderate winds and a northeasterly swell resulted in breaking waves of 6 to 11 feet along the northern coast of Puerto Rico.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 2, 4:12 AM AST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
412 AM AST Sun Jan 2 2022
.SYNOPSIS...Fair weather conditions are expected to prevail
through at least Monday, when moisture content will filter into
the area. Seas will remain choppy today. High rip currents risk
continues in effect along the northwest to northeast coasts of
all the islands for the next several days.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...
Today, a mid-level high pressure will hold over the islands,
promoting dry air and subsidence and a strong trade wind inversion.
Also, the below-normal moisture content will continue with total
precipitable water ranging around 0.90 inches. Therefore, a similar
pattern with stable weather and pleasant temperatures will return
over the islands today. Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands will
observe a mix of clouds and sunshine each day, with a few passing
showers making their way across the windward sections at times. The
combination of sea breeze variations and topography could result in
a few showers across the interior and western areas of Puerto Rico
during the afternoon.
The mid-level ridge will weaken tomorrow into Tuesday, weakening the
trade wind inversion and allowing better mixing. The remnants of an
old frontal boundary will sink southward, pushed by the trade winds,
which will increase the frequency and intensity of showers Monday
and Tuesday. Although showery weather should be possible, no
significant rainfall event is anticipated.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Monday...
Overall a showery weather pattern prevails over the forecasted area.
A mid-level ridge west of the region will move and weaken under
pressure from a trough. The remnants of a frontal boundary will
bring moisture content, and is expected to enhance the potential for
showers over portions of northern and eastern Puerto Rico from time
to time, followed by afternoon convection over the western area.
East to northeasterly trade winds are forecast to persist over the
local area and active weather will be seen by Wednesday through the
next several days.
The latest GFS model guidance continue forecasting patches of
moisture pulled from the Atlantic. Those patches will place over the
islands, enhancing unstable conditions aloft and shower
formation. This pattern will linger through the end of the long
period. A pre- frontal band is expected to arrive before Sunday,
bringing more instability before a cold front reaches the local
area on Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR conditions will persist across the local flying
area, with a few VCSH from time to time. Surface winds will continue
from the NE at 10 kt or less, increasing at 15 to 20 kt with gusty
winds up to 30 kt and sea breeze variations after 02/13z and onward.
&&
.MARINE...Choppy seas up to 6 feet and east to northeast winds up
to 20 knots are expected to prevail across the regional waters. For
the beachgoers, a high risk of rip current is in effect for all
the north coast of Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques, St. Thomas and
the eastern tip of St. Croix. For the rest of the local beaches,
the risk will remain moderate.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 83 72 84 74 / 10 30 30 30
STT 83 72 84 73 / 10 20 20 20
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for Culebra-
Mayaguez and Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San
Juan and Vicinity-Vieques.
VI...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for St Croix-
St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.
AM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...CAM
LONG TERM....GRSPerspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 435 AM AST domingo 2 de enero de 2022 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-030845- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste- Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra- Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe- 435 AM AST domingo 2 de enero de 2022 Esta Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche. .Viento...Se espera viento sostenido en exceso de 20 MPH (17 nudos) a traves de las aguas locales y algunas areas costeras. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las aguas locales mar afuera. .Corrientes Marinas...Hay un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para todas las playas desde la costa norte y este de Puerto Rico, incluyendo Vieques y Culebra. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado Es probable que el riesgo entre moderado a alto de corrientes marinas persista durante la semana. Se espera oleaje entre 4 y 6 pies persistiendo durante gran parte de la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-030845- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes- Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 435 AM AST domingo 2 de enero de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche. .Viento...Se espera viento sostenido en exceso de 20 MPH (17 nudos) a traves de las aguas locales. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies mayormente a traves de las aguas mar afuera. .Corrientes Marinas...Hay un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las playas del norte de St. Thomas y St. John y el este de Santa Cruz. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado Es probable que el riesgo entre moderado a alto de corrientes marinas persista hasta la proxima semana. El oleaje persistira entre 4 y 6 pies durante gran parte de la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 21-year-old male was swept away by a rip current in Playa Los Tubos, Manati. The body was found 3 days laters.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, North Central | 2022-01-02 | 21 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, January 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 998857.