Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a surface trough produced damaging winds across portions of central Virginia.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a surface trough produced damaging winds across portions of central Virginia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 1:23 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 223 PM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Weak high pressure will linger just offshore this week, resulting in typical summer conditions. A cold front will approach from the northwest late in the week, and move into the local area by the upcoming weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1020 AM EDT Tuesday... Late this morning, sfc high pressure was centered well off the Mid Atlc coast, resulting in a southerly flow and a very warm and humid airmass across the region. The sky was sunny or mostly sunny and temps ranged from the upper 70s to mid 80s. Upper ridge strengthens a bit this aftn off the Carolina coast as a lee trough sets up just east of the higher Appalachian terrain. Hi-res guidance shows the potential for aftn tstms to our west making some eastward progress towards our area. Will maintain chance PoPs across the NW counties for late this aftn, tapering to slight chance up to the Richmond metro. Almost no guidance maintains these showers/storms as they near the I-95 corridor into early this evening. But, will still include slight chance PoPs into early this evening, mainly along and west of I-95. With the ridge building at the surface and aloft, high temps and heat indices will inch upward this aftn. Highs rise into the lower to mid 90s with dew points in the lower/mid 70s, resulting in heat index values ranging from the upper 90s to low triple digits. Warm and muggy tonight with low temps in the lower to mid 70s. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday... Hot and humid conditions prevail into the mid week period with high pressure remaining in control of the local weather. Temps and dewpoints increase a bit further by Wednesday afternoon with highs in the low to mid 90s. Will need to consider the potential for a Heat Advisory Wednesday afternoon as area heat indices creep up into the 100-105 degree range. Chance to slight chance for showers and thunderstorms across the western half of the area on Wednesday with continued lee troughing east of the mountains. Lows Wednesday night will remain quite warm in the mid to upper 70s. The heat will likely peak on Thursday with low to mid 90s and dew points in the low to mid 70s, again resulting in heat index values 100-105 over a good portion of the area. Surface trough over the Piedmont will not be as pronounced on Thursday and chance for showers and storms across the west will generally be aob 25%. Muggy again on Thursday night with lows falling into the mid 70s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday... The heat will persist into the late week period with highs on Friday again in the low to mid 90s. Lee troughing will be a bit more prevalent on Friday with the western third of the region favored for afternoon showers and storms as stubborn ridging aloft off the SE coast gets nudged eastward by an approaching trough over the Great Lakes. More clouds and showers will limit heat indices by a degree or two but should still top out in the 100-105 range. Lows Friday night will be a touch cooler, generally in the low to mid 70s. Not quite as hot on Saturday as a cold front approaches the region from the NW, high temps will make it into the low 90s. Greater chances for showers and storms across the NW half of the area by Saturday afternoon will spread eastward into the overnight as the front makes slow progress across the area. Overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Much cooler for Sunday into early next week with afternoon highs generally in the low to mid 80s. Guidance suggest the front stalls near/just south of the region with continued chances for showers and thunderstorms. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 215 PM EDT Tuesday... VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites this aftn into Wed aftn. SCT to BKN CU expected into early this evening, with slight to sml chance of showers or tstms affecting NW or wrn counties into early this evening. RIC will be the only TAF site possibly affected by pcpn, but left out of TAF fcst for now. S or SW winds around 10 kt or less through the period. Outlook: Predominantly VFR conditions and only isolated to sctd late aftn/evening showers/tstms through the remainder of this week. Highest chances will be along/W of I-95 corridor. && .MARINE... As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday... Typical summertime pattern expected through the end of the week. Southerly flow of 10-15 kt will continue to varying to SSE during the aftns and SSW overnight/mornings. Slightly more prevalent lee troughing from late Wed onward will allow for a slight uptick in winds with 10-15 kt in the Bay/Sound/rivers and 15-20 kt offshore. Most model guidance continue to show a cold front moving into the region late this week or this weekend. This weak cold front will likely stall over the region, but it's unclear how far south. As of now, most guidance shows the front stall north of the local area. Waves will generally stay 1-2 ft through the period with seas 2-3 ft through Thu. Thereafter, seas average 2-4 ft into this weekend. Low rip current risk expected at the beaches through Wed. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...TMG NEAR TERM...RHR/TMG SHORT TERM...RHR LONG TERM...RHR AVIATION...TMG MARINE...CP
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 401 AM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021 MDZ021>023-NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093- 095>098-509>525-110815- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank- Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Fluvanna- Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland- Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent- Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City- Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake- Virginia Beach-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 401 AM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Heat indices of 100 to 105 degrees are possible each afternoon Wednesday through Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ024-025-NCZ102-VAZ099-100-110815- Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Eastern Currituck-Accomack- Northampton- 401 AM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021
VAZ048-509-101945-
Fluvanna VA-Western Louisa VA-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Louisa
and Fluvanna Counties through 345 PM EDT...
At 303 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Orange to near Lake Monticello to near
Centenary. Movement was east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Palmyra, Fork Union, Lake Monticello, Columbia, Ferncliff,
Boswells Tavern, Kents Store, Troy, Gordonsville, Scottsville, Green
Springs, Shores, Central Plains, Bremo Bluff, Cohasset, Waldrop,
Trevilians, Hardware and Wilmington.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3806 7826 3813 7821 3813 7818 3815 7809
3813 7805 3814 7801 3812 7798 3812 7791
3811 7791 3788 7808 3775 7816 3773 7821
3769 7824 3774 7842 3776 7847 3780 7849
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 277DEG 11KT 3819 7818 3796 7836 3774 7860
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ButnerThe Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 155 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:41 UTC.
9 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree was downed on a power line.
Tree was downed on a power line.
Tree was downed on Three Chopt Road.
Tree was downed along Wood Haven Trail resulting in a power outage.
Tree was downed along Cooks Road.
Tree was downed at Route 617 and South Genito Road and was blocking the roadway.
Tree was downed.
Trees were downed throughout the county, especially around Crewe.
Tree was downed resulting in a power outage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, August 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 981807, 981798, 981809, 981810, 981814, 981812, 981813, 981811, 981816.