A tourist staying at the Carambola Beach Resort near Cane Bay on St. Croix drowned Sunday morning while diving in choppy waters near the resort’s beach.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
A tourist staying at the Carambola Beach Resort near Cane Bay on St. Croix drowned Sunday morning while diving in choppy waters near the resort’s beach.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 4:13 AM AST, 4 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
413 AM AST Sun Feb 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Windy conditions continue across the area, resulting in hazardous
seas through the first half of the workweek. No major rain events
are in the forecast through the next several days, but the trade
winds will carry some areas of showers across the area from time
to time.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...
A surface high pressure over the southwestern Atlantic will continue
to promote strong east to northeast winds through at least Monday
morning. Sustained winds between 20-25 mph and gusts up to 35 mph
are expected through this period, mainly across the northern and
eastern coastal areas. Moderate trades are expected to return on
Tuesday. These winds will promote an advective pattern across the
region, and shower activity is expected mainly across the northern
and eastern sections of Puerto Rico and across the U.S. Virgin
Islands, mainly during the nights and early morning hours. Low-level
moisture and instability peaks between 03z-09z Monday, as the
remnants of a frontal boundary will move across the area. A drier
air mass will follow during the day on Monday as a mid-level ridge
builds from the west and strengthens the inversion layer, while an
upper-level trough lies northeast of the Leeward Islands. Therefore,
more stable conditions are expected. For Tuesday, fair weather
conditions should continue across the islands, however, another area
of trade wind showers is forecast to move from the northeast during
the overnight/early morning hours.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Monday...
A relatively dry weather pattern is expected for the middle of the
workweek. At the low to mid-levels, a high pressure will be the
dominant feature. This will maintain a trade wind cap around 800
to 850 mb to at least Friday. The forecast soundings are showing
precipitable waters near 1.0 inch or less, hence very limited
shower activity is expected to prevail through this forecast
period. Some shallow patches of moisture may be advected across
the islands from time to time, resulting in a few passing showers.
At the surface, a high pressure will begin to migrate toward the
eastern Atlantic, while a cold front exists the eastern coast of
the United States. Although the cold front is not expected to
affect the islands, the wind flow is expected to shift from the
southeast by late Thursday and continuing into the weekend. This
will pull some moisture over the area, increasing somewhat the
chances of showers. In general, this shower activity should affect
the local waters, as well as the eastern half of Puerto Rico and
the U.S. Virgin Islands, while enhancing afternoon activity across
western Puerto Rico.
&&
.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all
terminals during the next 24 hours. However, quick passing -SHRA may
cause brief MVFR conds at TJSJ/TJBQ/TIST/TISX through the period.
Surface winds from the east-northeast at 15-25 kt with higher gusts.
&&
.MARINE...
Fresh to strong winds, 20 to 25 knots, are causing hazardous
marine conditions, with seas up to 10 feet expected. These
conditions are expected to continue through early in the workweek.
As a result, Small Craft Advisories are in effect. For the
beaches, there is a high rip current risk for most of the coastal
areas across the islands.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 83 72 / 50 50 40 40
STT 85 73 85 72 / 50 50 20 40
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for Culebra-
North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for Central
Interior-Southeast.
High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST this morning through late
tonight for Mayaguez and Vicinity-Ponce and Vicinity-
Western Interior.
High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Vieques.
VI...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for St Croix.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for
St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Monday for Coastal Waters of
Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM AST Tuesday for Caribbean Waters
of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Anegada Passage Southward
to 17N-Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM
to 19.5N-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-
Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-
Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto
Rico out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward to 17N.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Tuesday for Coastal Waters
of Northwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.
&&
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM....ERGPerspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 423 AM AST domingo 28 de febrero de 2021 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-010830- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central- Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior- Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe- 423 AM AST domingo 28 de febrero de 2021 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras del Atlantico. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos entre 20 a 30 mph on rafagas mas altas a traves de las aguas locales y gran parte de las areas costeras. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje peligroso de 6 a 10 pies hoy, con el oleaje mas alto a traves de las aguas mar afuera y los pasajes. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para todas las islas. .Fuegos...Se espera peligro elevado de fuegos forestales a traves de la costa sur y oeste de Puerto Rico. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las costas expuestas hacia el norte continuara hasta el martes. Oleaje peligroso continuara hasta el martes en la manana. Se espera que los vientos sobre 20 mph/17 nudos terminen el lunes. Una marejada del norte aumentara el oleaje y riesgo de corrientes marinas nuevamente para finales de la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-010830- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes- Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 423 AM AST domingo 28 de febrero de 2021 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos entre 20 a 30 mph on rafagas mas altas a traves de las aguas locales y gran parte de las areas costeras. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje peligroso de 6 a 10 pies hoy, con el oleaje mas alto a traves de las aguas mar afuera y los pasajes. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para todas las islas. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara para las playas del noroeste de San Tomas y algunas playas del sur de San John hasta el lunes. Un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara para Santa Cruz hasta por lo menos el martes. Una marejada del norte aumentara el oleaje y riesgo de corrientes marinas nuevamente para finales de la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A tourist staying at the Carambola Beach Resort near Cane Bay on St. Croix drowned Sunday morning while diving in choppy waters near the resort’s beach.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, St. Croix | 2021-02-28 | Male | Unknown | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in U.S. Virgin Islands in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in U.S. Virgin Islands, February 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 954749.