A deepening surface low centered near Arkansas caused high winds to occur across North and Central Texas. Some wind damage was reported as a result.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A deepening surface low centered near Arkansas caused high winds to occur across North and Central Texas. Some wind damage was reported as a result.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 28, 5:09 AM CST, 6 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 609 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: The previous forecast remains in good shape; therefore, no major changes were necessary with this update. A Wind Advisory is in effect until 7 pm this evening, as wind speeds will be between 25 and 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Additionally, there is an elevated threat for grass fires along and west of I-35 this afternoon. Barnes Previous Discussion: /Through Thursday Night/ A surface low continues to deepen to our northeast, tightening the surface pressure gradient over North and Central Texas. In response, wind speeds will be on an increasing trend over the next few hours. Despite the dry air, with dew points in the 30s and 40s, steady winds should keep temperatures in the upper 40s to mid 50s as they reach their diurnal minimums near sunrise. As the boundary layer begins to mix later this morning, wind speeds are expected to increase rather dramatically. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the day, as sustained wind speeds will be near 25 to 35 mph, with gusts between 40 and 50 mph possible for much of the day. If you haven't already, it would be very wise to secure any loose outdoor objects before you head out the door this morning. Additionally, extra precautions should be taken if traveling in a high-profile vehicle today. Wind speeds should decrease this evening, but will remain breezy through Thursday night. Despite the very windy conditions, it should feel rather pleasant across North and Central Texas today as high temperatures will be in the mid 60s to low 70s. However, we may be contending with near-critical fire weather conditions today as RH values fall to 15-25% along and west of I-35. Below-normal ERC-G values may mitigate some of the fire weather concerns, but drying of fine fuels will be a concern; therefore, an RFD will likely be necessary for this afternoon. Extreme care is encouraged with any outdoor activities to prevent grass fire starts. Barnes && .LONG TERM... /Issued 318 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021/ /This Weekend Through The Middle Of Next Week/ The broad and occluded upper low centered over the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys will begin weakening and accelerating northeast up into New England and Quebec this coming weekend as a deepening trough evolves over the central canadian provinces. We will see one more breezy and cooler than normal day (for some) on Friday, before flow aloft quickly dampens this weekend into a more zonal configuration. Meanwhile, surface pressure will begin waning late Friday with the approaching surface ridge, before it moves east of the area on Saturday, as pressure falls begin across the lee of the Southern Rockies. The gusty northwest winds should begin to wane later Friday afternoon, before decoupling and becoming light after nightfall Friday night in time for Friday night high school outdoor games. Keep the coats and jackets handy as the dry air will cool rapidly with lows falling into the lower to mid 40s around sunrise Saturday, with a few readings in the upper 30s not out of the question for those very rural and protected areas. Light northwest winds will begin your chilly Saturday morning, eventually becoming light southerly across the west Saturday night, then increasing southeast breezes and warmer temperatures on Sunday. Highs will be seasonal in the 70s on Saturday, before warming close to 80 degrees Sunday across western Central TX and areas west of US-281. With the nearshore waters of the western GOM remaining scoured by the recent strong cold front, any moisture return will be slow, shallow, and quite modified. Pleasantly low humidity values for your entire weekend, outside of the chilly early morning hours, afternoons and early evenings should be quite pleasant for those needing to escape the house and enjoy outdoor activities. It'll cool off quickly by sunset for trick or treating, so be sure those costumes are warm or have those coats and jackets handy for the young ones. Another system arrives into the Pacific Northwest on Monday, but will remain contained within the northern branch of the westerlies with flow across the Southern CONUS remaining mostly zonal. There will be occasional, fast-moving impulses overhead which will continue the northward transport of the modified moisture from the western GOM, but we're only talking surface dew point values in the 50s which compared to the weekend will feel more "humid" in a relative sense. An amplifying and broad upper trough building southward from eastern Canada and Great Lakes will support our next cold front through the area either late Tuesday or on Wednesday. More vigorous mid level impulses and sufficient moisture should bring our next realistic rain chances by then, especially across eastern counties where richer moisture will be in place. At this time, it would appear any convection would be post or ana-frontal, thus likely to be elevated in nature as the better ascent aloft lags behind. Plenty of uncertainty as one would expect being we're talking a week out, so just be sure to get out and enjoy the dry weather and low humidity this weekend into Monday. The weather goes downhill later in the week with cool and damp weather the latter half of the week with lows mostly in the 40s and highs only warming into the 50s, to maybe lower 60s across Central Texas. 05/Marty && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /12Z TAFs/ Wind speeds have begun to increase over the past couple of hours and will continue to do so through midday. LLWS should subside by 15Z, but NW winds will increase to 25 to 30 knots with gusts near 40 to 45 knots at approximately the same time. This will result in significant crosswind impacts for N-S oriented runways for much of the day. Wind speeds should slightly subside late this evening, but will remain near 18-23 kt with gusts near 30 kt or so overnight. Additionally, LLWS is expected again this evening through sunrise Friday morning. Barnes && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 72 51 68 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 71 50 69 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 64 50 64 44 70 / 10 5 0 0 0 Denton 71 47 68 40 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 70 48 68 42 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 71 53 69 47 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 71 49 69 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 73 50 69 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 73 47 71 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 71 45 69 40 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107- 115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 319 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-290830- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 319 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Very windy conditions are expected on Thursday with sustained northwest winds of 20 to 35 MPH and gusts 40 to 50 MPH possible by afternoon. The very windy conditions this afternoon will combine with low humidity values to create elevated fire weather conditions across areas mainly west of the I-35 and 35W corridor. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Low thunderstorm chances return by the middle of next week. Severe weather is not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 58 mph wind gust was measured at the Dallas Love Field.
A 60 mph wind gust was measured at the Fort Worth (KFTW) ASOS. In other parts of the county, broken utility poles and broken tree limbs were reported due to the high winds.
A 60 mph wind gust was measured at the DFW Airport ASOS.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 990834, 990832, 990833.