By late December, drought conditions continue to worsen across North and Central Texas, with Severe Drought conditions expanding across parts of North and Central Texas.
Every event with a place to put it; 14 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
By late December, drought conditions continue to worsen across North and Central Texas, with Severe Drought conditions expanding across parts of North and Central Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 27, 6:47 PM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 647 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Tuesday/ The stationary front currently along a Breckenridge to Decatur to Paris line will retreat northward overnight in response to pressure falls in the Plains ahead of the next upper level system. Temperatures may cool enough in the dry air north of the front so that the moist advection with the warm front could result in some advection fog overnight along the Red River. These pressure falls will also result in increasing southerly winds with speeds of 10 to 20 mph expected after midnight. Otherwise another unseasonably warm and muggy night is expected over the region with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Low stratus should develop after midnight and spread across the entire region. As the next upper level system moves eastward across the Plains Tuesday it will drag a dry line through the region. This will cause winds to veer to the southwest and bring some drier air into the region and clear out the low clouds. Normally this pattern would result in very warm temperatures, and possibly into record high temperature territory, however it looks like we'll see abundant high clouds during the afternoon hours. This should keep highs in the upper 70s, a few degrees shy of the record of 83 at DFW and Waco. TR.92 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 410 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021/ /Tuesday Night through the Weekend/ The remainder of the workweek should be rather mundane to the laity with continued warm weather under partly to mostly cloudy skies. However, there will be a lot of interesting meteorology ongoing. A weak cold front -- that functionally acts more like a dryline given the negligible cold advection -- will be flirting with the forecast area through Thursday. It should first approach Tuesday (as mentioned above) and stall across the forecast area overnight, roughly from Paris to Comanche. South flow just above the surface will promote low-level isentropic ascent, helping to develop isolated to scattered showers Tuesday night into Wednesday morning over North Texas. The low-level flow aloft will veer during the day, shunting a majority of the precip into East Texas. Instability will be weak, but we can't rule out an occasional rumble or two of thunder. The clinging front/dryline will lift back north to the Red River by daybreak Wednesday, before moving east through the entire forecast area Wednesday afternoon, effectively ending our precip chances and drying things out a bit through Thursday. The front will stall just to the south of our forecast area before lifting north, again, as a warm front Thursday night into Friday. The warm front should eventually stall near the Red River and attach to a deepening surface low near the Panhandles Friday night/Saturday morning. Meanwhile, a cold and deep upper trough will overspread the Southern Plains and enhance frontogenetic forcing near the stalled warm front. This should help develop scattered to widespread showers over far North Texas Friday night with most rain occurring generally east of I-35. As the upper trough ejects east, it will drive a strong cold front south late Saturday. A dryline, which will likely precede the cold frontal passage, may develop additional showers/thunderstorms over the eastern parts of the forecast area Saturday afternoon. At this time range, it's too soon to know if the dryline will convect and/or how strong the potential storms would be. Much cooler temperatures and gusty north winds will trail behind the cold front Saturday night into Sunday. The upper trough should lag behind the cold frontal passage by several hours, and the timing and depth of this trough will prove consequential to the sensible weather forecast. If the upper trough remains progressive and largely attached to the mean flow, all precip should end by the time temperatures become cool enough to support wintry precip. If the upper trough's vorticity maximum becomes detached and is slower, then there is a good chance of snow across North Texas Saturday night and Sunday morning. We did not include the mention of snow in the official forecast at the moment since calibrated NBM precip-type probabilities are less than 15%. We will have to closely monitor the evolution of the upper trough passage over the next couple days since temperatures will likely be cold enough to support snow. Speaking of cold temperatures, we are projecting everyone in the forecast area to drop below freezing both Saturday night and Sunday night. We are not anticipating a hard freeze, but many north of I-20 should drop into the upper teens/lower 20s both nights, with areas across Central Texas falling into the upper 20s Sunday night. It would be a good idea to turn off your sprinkler systems and protect any exposed outdoor plumbing that may freeze. The cold temperatures shouldn't last long as the high shifts east and another strong ridge builds over the central/southwest CONUS next week. Bonnette && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00z TAFs/ VFR conditions will prevail this evening, but MVFR CIGs will return along with increasing south winds after midnight. Will bring the MVFR CIGs around 7z at KACT and 9z for the Metroplex sites. Winds will veer to the southwest in the mid morning hours as a dry line moves across, which will sweep the MVFR CIGs off to the east. This clearing will be later and around midday for KACT. After the passage of the dry line VFR will prevail with southwest winds around 10-15 knots Tuesday afternoon and evening. TR.92 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 79 57 75 49 / 0 0 20 50 0 Waco 64 79 60 76 51 / 0 0 10 20 0 Paris 64 76 55 68 45 / 0 0 20 50 0 Denton 60 78 50 72 42 / 0 0 20 40 0 McKinney 63 78 55 72 45 / 0 0 20 50 0 Dallas 64 78 57 72 50 / 0 0 20 50 0 Terrell 64 78 58 73 47 / 0 0 20 50 0 Corsicana 65 79 61 76 51 / 0 0 10 40 0 Temple 63 79 61 79 50 / 0 0 5 10 0 Mineral Wells 58 80 50 75 44 / 0 0 20 30 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 605 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-290015- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 605 PM CST Mon Dec 27 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Some patchy fog will be possible near the Red River overnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday, and again late Friday into Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
14 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions impacted northern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted northern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted most of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted northern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted southern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted northern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted western parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted western parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted southwestern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted most of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted eastern parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted western parts of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted western parts of the county through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, December 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 999462, 999463, 999464, 999465, 999466, 999467, 999468, 999469, 999470, 999471, 999472, 999473, 999474, 999475.