After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect. Lake Amistad was 47.8 feet below normal.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 28, 5:59 AM CST, 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 559 AM CST Tue Dec 28 2021 .AVIATION... Similar to the last several mornings, we're dealing with an assortment of low-level cloud coverage at the current hour. A BKN-OVC deck currently shrouds our I-35 terminals. Ceilings of said deck vary, but have consistently held at MVFR levels through the overnight hours at KSAT and KSSF. Cig of the deck has raised to VFR levels over the last hour at KAUS, though short-term model guidance strongly suggests that it will fall back to MVFR territory. Have thus held cigs at MVFR levels at KAUS until early afternoon. KDRT by far is the biggest problem spot this morning. A soupy combination of very low cloud coverage and fog has kept visibilities to around 1SM for the last couple hours, while ceilings have dropped to the field minimum. This has translated to LIFR conditions, which are expected to persist through the mid to late morning hours. Cigs and vis values should return to VFR levels after 18Z. Rising ceilings should spell a return to VFR flying conditions at KAUS, KSAT, and KSSF by the early afternoon hours. These should persist into the predawn hours Wednesday morning, before fog chances creep back into the picture at these sites. Have accordingly added BR groups and dropped cigs to MVFR levels after 08Z Wednesday, and model trends will continue to be monitored should further reductions need to be made. This threat should stay to the east of KDRT, where VFR conditions are anticipated throughout the remainder of the forecast period. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 AM CST Tue Dec 28 2021/ SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)... A similar weather picture to last evening is currently in place across the CWA. A mixed bag of low cloud base stratus and patchy fog is currently being observed along a line extending from roughly Austin to San Antonio and west to Del Rio. Said fog has been locally dense, especially across northern Maverick county, as well as Edwards, Kinney, Real, and Uvalde counties. The new addition is some low-level cloud coverage with embedded pockets of light drizzle to the east of San Antonio and Austin in response to a moist southerly low-level wind field coming off the Gulf of Mexico. Current thinking, supported by trends in the short term models, is that any areas of dense fog should remain to the west of the Austin and San Antonio areas through the remainder of the overnight hours. Similar to today, any fog should burn off by mid-late morning as daytime heating and boundary layer mixing kick into effect. Given the entrenched southerly flow and moist surface layer across the region, patchy fog could develop once again overnight tomorrow. Have accounted for this in the grids, and added drizzle chances along and east of Interstate 35, during the period. A frontal boundary will approach from the northwest on Wednesday. Current model guidance brings this front to the Interstate 35 corridor by the lunch hour, and areas to the southeast after. Brisk northwesterly winds will usher in a drier airmass in the wake of this frontal passage, which should provide a brief reprieve from the muggy conditions of the last several days. Expect dewpoints in the lower 40's, perhaps even the upper 30's across the far northwest, by Wednesday evening. LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)... The weak front moving through the area Wednesday is forecast to stall somewhere across the Coastal Plains and into the Brush Country and Winter Garden region Wednesday night, then lift back north during the day Thursday. The GFS continues to generate some light QPF Thursday along the front, while other models are dry. We continue to carry a silent PoP in the forecast for this, and as this period gets into the high resolution suite of models we may need to introduce explicit mention of light rain. The low level moisture increases significantly into Thursday night, with another round of low stratus and fog possible Friday morning. Above average temperatures will continue Thursday through Friday. An upper level trough is forecast to deepen into the Rockies Friday night and move out into the Plains Saturday. This will send a pre- frontal trough through the area early New Years Day. A southern stream shortwave is forecast to merge back into the main trough Friday night as well. At this time the greatest chances for showers with the trough look to remain across the northern Hill Country and Central Texas late New Year's Eve. Farther south, low clouds and patchy drizzle could develop New Year's Eve night, with temperatures in the low to mid 60s west and upper 60s to near 70 east forecast at midnight. Behind the pre-frontal surface trough, drier air will filter into the region New Year's Day, with highs currently forecast in the upper 70s north to mid 80s south. We will have to watch closely fire weather conditions across western areas of the CWA New Year's afternoon, as gusty west winds develop and RH values possibly drop below 20% across the Hill Country, southern Edwards Plateau, and Rio Grande. A stronger cold front is forecast to move through the region Saturday night, bringing sharply cooler temperatures and windy conditions to the region Sunday. Highs Sunday are forecast to only be in the 50s for much of the area. Wind speeds are forecast to gradually decrease late Sunday afternoon and evening, eventually becoming light to calm early Monday morning. This will set up a good radiational cooling night given the clear skies and dry air in place as well. A widespread freeze is forecast Monday morning, with many spots in the Hill Country in the mid 20s, and upper 20s to low 30s elsewhere. Some isolated spots near the Rio Grande may remain just above freezing. A low level return flow is forecast to set up Monday night into next Tuesday, with temperatures gradually modifying into the middle of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 77 62 80 56 77 / 10 10 - 0 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 78 61 81 54 77 / - 10 - 0 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 79 61 83 55 77 / - - 0 0 10 Burnet Muni Airport 77 59 79 52 75 / - 10 - 0 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 82 60 83 56 79 / - - 0 0 - Georgetown Muni Airport 78 61 80 54 76 / - 10 - 0 10 Hondo Muni Airport 79 58 84 55 80 / - - 0 - 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 78 61 82 55 78 / - - - 0 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 81 66 82 60 79 / 0 - - 0 - San Antonio Intl Airport 77 62 82 58 77 / - - 0 - 10 Stinson Muni Airport 81 63 84 60 81 / 0 - 0 - 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for Bandera- Gillespie-Kerr-Kinney-Maverick-Real-Uvalde-Zavala. && Short-Term/Aviation...Quigley Long-Term...76
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 407 AM CST Tue Dec 28 2021 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-291015- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 407 AM CST Tue Dec 28 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Patchy to areas of dense fog are expected west of Highway 281 this morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Fog is expected again Wednesday morning, although it should be less dense. Elevated to near critical conditions for the spread of wildfires are possible on Saturday and Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect. Lake Amistad was 47.8 feet below normal.
After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect. Lake Amistad was 47.8 feet below normal.
After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect. Lake Amistad was 47.8 feet below normal.
After several months of below normal rainfall Val Verde, Edwards, Dimmit, and Maverick Counties moved into Severe (D2) Drought category. Val Verde, Maverick, and Dimmit Counties had outdoor burn bans in effect. Lake Amistad was 47.8 feet below normal.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, December 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 992084, 992092, 992093, 992094.