South Dakota, 2021

Winter Weather in South Dakota, December 15, 2021

December 15, 2021 · NWS UNR · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Strong winds, combined with moderate to heavy snow showers, produced brief periods of very hazardous travel conditions across portions of south central South Dakota during the late afternoon hours.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS UNR wrote it up.

Strong winds, combined with moderate to heavy snow showers, produced brief periods of very hazardous travel conditions across portions of south central South Dakota during the late afternoon hours.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Rapid City, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 3:17 PM CST, 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 3:17 PM CST, 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
217 PM MST Wed Dec 15 2021

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Wednesday)
Issued at 214 PM MST Wed Dec 15 2021

WV imagery this aftn shows a robust shortwave/vort max across the
cntrl Plains ahead of broader troughing over the wrn CONUS. Shield
of mid-to-upper-level moisture is in place across wrn SD and much
of the region, but notable drying has been observed over the last
hour or so across ern WY, consistent with a decrease in the
satellite-derived 850-700 mb advected layer PWATs. Rapid lee
cyclogenesis and subsequent motion of a powerful cyclone across
the cntrl Plains thru the day has supported an impressive
tightening of the pressure gradient across the region and analyzed
pressure rise/fall couplet of +/- 6 mb/3 hr or greater on either
side of the low. This has led to high winds across much of wrn SD
and portions of nern WY, now extending into s cntrl SD, with
current gusts of 60-70+ mph over those areas. These winds have
also facilitated strong CAA, with temps in the teens to 20s for
most and a few lingering 30+ degree readings over far s cntrl SD.
Wind chills across the area are mostly in the single digits
above/below zero.

As noted in the AM update, primary concerns for the remainder of the
day in terms of precip are over s cntrl SD, in the vicinity of
strong 850-700 mb fgen and some MUCAPE per the SPC mesoanalysis, and
across nwrn SD, where locally higher 850-700 mb layered PWATs, jet
forcing associated with a weak trailing shortwave over srn CN, and
700-500 mb fgen are supporting a band of snow. Beginning with the
latter feature: based on trends in high-res guidance, fairly high
confidence that this band will translate ewd with time across nwrn
SD, with generally light accums but likely impacts to travel
owing to falling and blowing snow. Relatively low confidence in
terms of how far south the band will extend. Given continued
downslope flow along the ern/srn peripheries of the Black Hills,
suspect that it will be difficult to realize much--if any--precip
at the sfc in these locations. As such, have expanded the Winter
Weather Advisory across nwrn SD but have omitted areas immediately
east and south of the Black Hills. Winter Weather Advisory across
s cntrl SD is in good shape, with generally minor changes in the
fcst from this AM. Will need to monitor potential for a longer-
lived band with high snowfall rates (0.5-1" per hour) this
evening, which continues to be suggested by some HREF/HRRRTLE
solutions. Snow should exit the area rapidly in the 00-03z time
frame as parent cyclone races ewd toward the Great Lakes.

Modest return flow develops tomorrow as sfc ridging builds over the
nrn Plains and another lee trof develops east of the Rockies. Weak
thermal ridging tries to follow, though above 0C 850 mb temps do not
progress far into SD. Another quick-moving shortwave and attendant
cold front arrive on Friday, again knocking temps back a few degrees
and bringing a period of breezy conditions. Remainder of the fcst
period is characterized by largely zonal flow aloft, with brief
occasional warmups (such as on Sunday) but otherwise mostly dry
conditions and near-average temps.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Thursday)
Issued At 1058 AM MST Wed Dec 15 2021

Cold front has moved through all of northeast WY and most of
western SD as of 18Z, with very gusty northwest winds (gusting
over 60 mph on the plains of western SD). Band of snow across
northeast WY is producing IFR conditions, and these conditions
will be spreading into western SD by this afternoon. Fairly
widespread IFR conditions, with some LIFR conditions in heavier
snow/blowing snow, will continue through the afternoon, with
winds/snow decreasing from west to east this evening. VFR
conditions expected by early evening in northeast WY and midnight
in western SD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for SDZ001-
     012-024-025.

     High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for SDZ001-002-
     012>014-026>032-041>044-072>074.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ this evening
     for SDZ002-013-014-032-042>044-046-047-049.

     High Wind Warning until 11 PM CST this evening for SDZ046-047-
     049.

WY...Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for
     WYZ054>057-071.

     High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for WYZ058.

&&

DISCUSSION...Sherburn
AVIATION...Johnson
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 3:10 AM CST, 12 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
210 AM MST Wed Dec 15 2021

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>074-WYZ054>058-
071-161400-
Harding-Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-
Northern Black Hills-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-
Southern Foot Hills-Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-
Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains-Haakon-Fall River-
Oglala Lakota-Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Todd-Tripp-
Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills-Southern Meade Co Plains-
Hermosa Foot Hills-Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-
Western Crook-Wyoming Black Hills-Weston-Northeastern Crook-
210 AM MST Wed Dec 15 2021 /310 AM CST Wed Dec 15 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South
Dakota and northeastern Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A fast moving cold front will cross the area early today. See the
latest High Wind Warnings (FSDNPWUNR) and Winter Weather
Advisories (FSDWSWUNR) for more detailed information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 15, 10:11 AM CST, 5 hours 49 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 15, 11:20 AM CST, 4 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1020 AM MST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE ECHETA             44.47N 105.84W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          CAMPBELL           WY   MESONET

0926 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW SCENIC            43.82N 102.58W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0939 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY ARPT         44.05N 103.05W
12/15/2021  M66 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   ASOS

0945 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E STURGIS             44.42N 103.38W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          MEADE              SD   SDSU

0946 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 W EDGEMONT           43.30N 104.02W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          FALL RIVER         SD   MESONET

0948 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 N REDIG               45.38N 103.55W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          HARDING            SD   MESONET

0948 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WASTA              44.10N 102.50W
12/15/2021  M57 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0949 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW NEW UNDERWOOD     44.12N 102.93W
12/15/2021  M63 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0951 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ELLSWORTH AFB           44.16N 103.10W
12/15/2021  M62 MPH          MEADE              SD   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

JJ
Local storm report, Dec 15, 12:09 PM CST, 3 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1109 AM MST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ELLSWORTH AFB           44.16N 103.10W
12/15/2021  M64 MPH          MEADE              SD   OTHER FEDERAL

1005 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 25 ESE WRIGHT           43.55N 105.09W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          CAMPBELL           WY   MESONET

1006 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W UNION CENTER        44.56N 102.72W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

1006 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N BUFFALO             45.60N 103.55W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          HARDING            SD   ASOS

1012 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MUD BUTTE         45.01N 102.86W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

1020 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S WALL                43.88N 102.24W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1026 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 W EDGEMONT           43.30N 104.02W
12/15/2021  M59 MPH          FALL RIVER         SD   MESONET

1034 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NNE RALPH             45.86N 102.98W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          HARDING            SD   MESONET

1035 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW NEWCASTLE         43.88N 104.32W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          WESTON             WY   AWOS

1040 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E STURGIS             44.42N 103.38W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          MEADE              SD   SDSU

1041 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW SCENIC            43.82N 102.58W
12/15/2021  M60 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1043 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSW FOLSOM            43.73N 102.91W
12/15/2021  M65 MPH          CUSTER             SD   MESONET

1045 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E COTTONWOOD          43.96N 101.85W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          JACKSON            SD   SDSU

1046 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WASTA                   44.07N 102.45W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1049 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E CACTUS FLAT         43.84N 101.82W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

1049 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW NEW UNDERWOOD     44.12N 102.93W
12/15/2021  M67 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1052 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY ARPT         44.05N 103.05W
12/15/2021  M71 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   ASOS

1054 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WASTA              44.10N 102.50W
12/15/2021  M75 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1055 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WASTA                   44.07N 102.45W
12/15/2021  M58 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1055 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E PHILIP              44.05N 101.60W
12/15/2021  M54 MPH          HAAKON             SD   ASOS

&&

JJ
Local storm report, Dec 15, 1:12 PM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1212 PM MST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1059 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW NEW UNDERWOOD     44.12N 102.93W
12/15/2021  M68 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1105 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 25 ESE WRIGHT           43.55N 105.09W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          CAMPBELL           WY   MESONET

1105 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E WANBLEE             43.58N 101.52W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

1105 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY ARPT         44.05N 103.05W
12/15/2021  M74 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   ASOS

1108 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSW FOLSOM            43.73N 102.91W
12/15/2021  M66 MPH          CUSTER             SD   MESONET

1110 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E COTTONWOOD          43.96N 101.85W
12/15/2021  M54 MPH          JACKSON            SD   SDSU

1112 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W UNION CENTER        44.56N 102.72W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

1114 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WASTA              44.10N 102.50W
12/15/2021  M79 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1120 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S WALL                43.88N 102.24W
12/15/2021  M64 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1129 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW RED ELM           45.05N 101.80W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          ZIEBACH            SD   MESONET

1131 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WASTA                   44.07N 102.45W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1136 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW SCENIC            43.82N 102.58W
12/15/2021  M71 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1138 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E PHILIP              44.05N 101.60W
12/15/2021  M62 MPH          HAAKON             SD   ASOS

1141 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 W EDGEMONT           43.30N 104.02W
12/15/2021  M64 MPH          FALL RIVER         SD   MESONET

1143 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE MIDLAND            44.08N 101.14W
12/15/2021  M61 MPH          HAAKON             SD   MESONET

1147 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MUD BUTTE         45.01N 102.86W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

1154 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E CACTUS FLAT         43.84N 101.82W
12/15/2021  M56 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

&&

JJ
Local storm report, Dec 15, 3:10 PM CST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
210 PM MST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SSW REVA             45.36N 103.16W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          HARDING            SD   MESONET

1159 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E CACTUS FLAT         43.84N 101.82W
12/15/2021  M59 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

1205 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 25 ESE WRIGHT           43.55N 105.09W
12/15/2021  M57 MPH          CAMPBELL           WY   MESONET

1220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E STURGIS             44.42N 103.38W
12/15/2021  M57 MPH          MEADE              SD   SDSU

1220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E WANBLEE             43.58N 101.52W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

1224 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW RED ELM           45.05N 101.80W
12/15/2021  M56 MPH          ZIEBACH            SD   MESONET

1233 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 9 ENE BELVIDERE         43.90N 101.10W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

1237 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MUD BUTTE         45.01N 102.86W
12/15/2021  M58 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

1237 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W LEMMON              45.93N 102.22W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          PERKINS            SD   MESONET

1240 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E COTTONWOOD          43.96N 101.85W
12/15/2021  M58 MPH          JACKSON            SD   SDSU

1243 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE MIDLAND            44.08N 101.14W
12/15/2021  M64 MPH          HAAKON             SD   MESONET

1243 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SW PARMELEE          43.23N 101.20W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          TODD               SD   MESONET

1249 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW NEW UNDERWOOD     44.12N 102.93W
12/15/2021  M74 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

1250 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 15 SSE MISSION          43.10N 100.60W
12/15/2021  M52 MPH          TODD               SD   MESONET

0102 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W UNION CENTER        44.56N 102.72W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          MEADE              SD   MESONET

0103 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SW PARMELEE          43.23N 101.20W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          TODD               SD   MESONET

0105 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 25 ESE WRIGHT           43.55N 105.09W
12/15/2021  M58 MPH          CAMPBELL           WY   MESONET

0106 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW SCENIC            43.82N 102.58W
12/15/2021  M78 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0120 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S WALL                43.88N 102.24W
12/15/2021  M67 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0121 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE FAITH             45.03N 102.02W
12/15/2021  M54 MPH          MEADE              SD   ASOS

0126 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 W EDGEMONT           43.30N 104.02W
12/15/2021  M65 MPH          FALL RIVER         SD   MESONET

0128 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W PARMELEE            43.32N 101.15W
12/15/2021  M61 MPH          TODD               SD   MESONET

0129 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW RED ELM           45.05N 101.80W
12/15/2021  M56 MPH          ZIEBACH            SD   MESONET

0129 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E PHILIP              44.05N 101.60W
12/15/2021  M63 MPH          HAAKON             SD   ASOS

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 15 SSE MISSION          43.10N 100.60W
12/15/2021  M59 MPH          TODD               SD   MESONET

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E WANBLEE             43.58N 101.52W
12/15/2021  M53 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

0132 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WASTA                   44.07N 102.45W
12/15/2021  M57 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   MESONET

0133 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N BUFFALO             45.60N 103.55W
12/15/2021  M56 MPH          HARDING            SD   ASOS

0139 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 9 ENE BELVIDERE         43.90N 101.10W
12/15/2021  M58 MPH          JACKSON            SD   MESONET

0139 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NNE RALPH             45.86N 102.98W
12/15/2021  M54 MPH          HARDING            SD   MESONET

0142 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE WINNER             43.39N  99.85W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          TRIPP              SD   ASOS

0145 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WEWELA                  43.01N  99.78W
12/15/2021  M51 MPH          TRIPP              SD   MESONET

0149 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E DWTN RAPID CITY     44.07N 103.21W
12/15/2021  M55 MPH          PENNINGTON         SD   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0153 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SSE MEADOW            45.44N 102.17W
12/15/2021  M50 MPH          PERKINS            SD   MESONET

&&

JJ

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Mellette

When
December 15, 4:00 PM CST to 5:30 PM CST
Where
Mellette forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
43.581, -100.760 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

SNOW SQUALL. Snow squalls produced very low visibilities and dangerous driving conditions over the eastern half of Mellette County, especially east of White River along SD Highways 44 and 53.

Winter Weather, Todd

When
December 15, 4:00 PM CST to 5:30 PM CST
Where
Todd forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.193, -100.718 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

SNOW SQUALL. Snow squalls produced very low visibilities and dangerous driving conditions across much of Todd County, including US Highway 18 and US Highway 83 south of Mission.

Winter Weather, Tripp

When
December 15, 4:30 PM CST to 5:30 PM CST
Where
Tripp forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.346, -99.884 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

SNOW SQUALL. Snow squalls produced very low visibilities and dangerous driving conditions over western portions of Tripp County, mainly west of Winner along US Highways 18 and SD Highways 44/53, and portions of US Highway 183.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Dakota in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in South Dakota, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1000229, 1000233, 1000236.