A tourist couple was swept by rip currents at La Concha Beach in Condado with the male victim drowning. A man drowned at Las Tortugas Beach in Dorado.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
A tourist couple was swept by rip currents at La Concha Beach in Condado with the male victim drowning. A man drowned at Las Tortugas Beach in Dorado.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 7, 2:31 PM AST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service San Juan PR
231 PM AST Sun Feb 7 2021
.UPDATE...As expected, a few light showers affected the local
waters, and briefly, the USVI and portions of eastern and central
PR in the morning hours. However, by the mid-morning onward, the
showers over land areas dissipated. Mainly fair weather is
expected for the rest of the day. That said, some cloudiness is
developing across the higher elevations of PR, which could then
observe light and brief rain showers in the afternoon. Therefore
isolated showers are in the forecast, which could cause minimal
accumulations. It is also a little breezy, with winds being
reported between 15 and 20 mph with occasional gusts, which are
expected to remain that way for the rest of the daytime hours.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR conds expected for the next 24 hours. Winds from
the east at around 15 to 20 KT are expected today, decreasing to
5-10 KT after 07/23Z. VCSH possible at TJBQ after 07/18Z.
&&
.MARINE...Seas are gradually improving, but we still have a small
craft advisory for most of the local waters. No changes were
introduced for the current marine advisories. Seas up to 7 feet
are expected today, decreasing across most waters tonight, but
remaining up to 7 feet for the offshore Atlantic waters into
Monday morning. Culebrita and Cramer Park both have a high risk of
rip currents today, most of the other beaches have a moderate
risk.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 408 AM AST Sun Feb 7 2021/
SYNOPSIS...
A ridge of high pressure will hold over the local area for most of
the workweek. At the low-levels a wind surge is bringing in patches
of moisture from time to time and will continue during the morning
hours with a drying trend afterwards. Hazardous marine conditions
are expected for portions of the local waters today. Therefore,
small craft advisories and high risk of rip currents are in
effect.
SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...
Ridge at the surface and at upper-levels will dominate the short
term period. Although, this will promote drier air and stable
conditions aloft, shallow areas of cloudiness with showers will move
from the Tropical Atlantic at times across the region. Breezy
conditions are expected today, with a few trade wind showers moving
early in the morning across portions of the U.S. Virgin Islands and
across the eastern half of Puerto Rico. A drier air mass moving from
the Leewards islands and the Anegada Passage should arrive around
noon across the local area, this air mass and the wind surge should
keep afternoon shower development at a minimum through the afternoon
hours.
For Monday, no significant change from previous forecasts as
another surge in low-level moisture is expected to move from the
east by midday across the region. This will increase trade wind
shower activity once again across the USVI/Eastern half of PR during
the morning hours, and provide better moisture content to support
afternoon shower activity over mainland PR. Similar conditions are
expected on Tuesday, but the trade winds will shift more from the
east to northeast as a surface ridge moves across the western
Atlantic, this will cause showers to focus mainly across the
northeastern sections of PR and northern USVI during the overnight
and early morning hours and over the southwestern quadrant of PR
during the afternoon hours.
LONG TERM...Wednesday through Saturday...
Model guidance continue to be consistent regarding the mid level
ridge over the forecast area with a surface high pressure in central
Atlantic dominating the region between mid-week and early weekend.
Throughout the forecast period an easterly trade wind cap will
hold over the region. GFS suggests that precipitable water values
will oscillate between 0.8 inches to 1.4 inches with variations
due to passing patches of moisture embedded in the trades confined
between 1000 to 700 mb levels. As the mid level ridge continues
evolving throughout the week, 500 mb northerly winds will cause
cold air advection dropping temperatures between -7 to -8 degrees
on Thursday through Saturday which could increase rainfall
development. One thing to note is that the pockets of dry air in
between will contain precipitable water values at or below 0.9
inches, which is near two standard deviations below normal for
this time of the year.
To summarize, expect mainly fair weather conditions with shallow
areas of moisture embedded in the easterly wind flow reaching the
islands from time to time. This will cause increased cloudiness and
passing showers across PR and the USVI subject to moisture
availability. Shower enhancement due to locally induced effects and
sea breeze convergence could develop over interior and western
portions of Puerto Rico during each late afternoon. For the latter
part of the workweek and Saturday, expect somewhat greater shower
activity due to greater instability aloft when pockets of moisture
embedded in the trades reaches the area. As a result, ponding of
water on roadways and in poor drainage areas will remain possible
in isolated areas.
Aviation...Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all
terminals through the forecast period. Winds are expected to
continue from the east at 15-20 kts with higher gusts at times.
Quick passing showers may result in brief areas of MVFR conds across
the USVI/Eastern PR terminals.
MARINE...Choppy wind driven seas will continue today across most of
the offshore waters and passages. Fresh to locally strong winds will
gradually decrease through tonight. Hazardous seas between 5-7 feet
will continue through this evening across most of the local waters,
except across the offshore Atlantic waters where seas up to 8 feet
may continue through at least Monday afternoon. There is a high risk
of rip currents across the eastern beaches of Culebra and St. Croix,
and a moderate risk across the rest of the islands.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 73 85 73 / 40 20 30 30
STT 84 72 84 73 / 40 20 30 30
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR... High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for Culebra.
VI...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for St Croix.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM AST this evening for Caribbean
Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Anegada Passage
Southward to 17N-Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and
Culebra out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques
and Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward to
17N.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Monday for Atlantic Waters
of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.
&&
SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....JA
PUBLIC DESK...ICPPerspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 406 AM AST domingo 7 de febrero de 2021 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-080815- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste- Este Interior-Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad- Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques- Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe- 406 AM AST domingo 7 de febrero de 2021 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras del Atlantico. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de la mayoria de las aguas regionales y areas costeras de las islas. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado y peligroso de hasta 8 pies mayormente a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y hasta 7 pies para el resto de las aguas locales. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las playas del este de Culebra. Hay un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas a traves del resto de las islas. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado El riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara hasta el jueves para la mayoria de las playas de las islas. Riesgo alto de corrientes marinas es posible el viernes, a traves de las playas del norte y este de Puerto Rico. El oleaje continuara picado y peligroso a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico hasta al menos el lunes y condiciones picadas continuaran para el resto de las aguas regionales debido a oleaje de hasta 6 pies y/o vientos de hasta 20 nudos, durante la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-080815- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes- Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 406 AM AST domingo 7 de febrero de 2021 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de la mayoria de las aguas regionales y areas costeras de las islas. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado y peligroso de hasta 8 pies mayormente a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y hasta 7 pies para el resto de las aguas locales. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las playas del este de Santa Cruz. Hay un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas a traves del resto de las islas. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas a traves de las playas de las islas. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado El riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara hasta el jueves para la mayoria de las playas de las islas. Riesgo alto de corrientes marinas es posible el viernes, a traves de las playas del norte y este de Santa Cruz. El oleaje continuara picado y peligroso a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico hasta al menos el lunes y condiciones picadas continuaran para el resto de las aguas regionales debido a oleaje de hasta 6 pies y/o vientos de hasta 20 nudos, durante la semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
2 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A tourist couple was swept by rip currents at La Concha Beach in Condado with the male victim drowning.
A man drowned at Las Tortugas Beach in Dorado.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, San Juan and Vicinity | 2021-02-07 | Male | In Water | Direct | |
| Rip Current, North Central | 2021-02-07 | 56 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, February 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 954745, 954747.