What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 1, 12:01 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 12:01 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
101 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will slowly move through the region today and shift
offshore by Friday. A couple waves of low pressure will likely track
along the front over the weekend as troughing and upper level low
pressure remain in place over the Northeast. High pressure should
start to build into the region by Sunday and will generally dominate
the pattern early next week. Another cold front may approach by mid
next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Unlike the last several days, the main story today will not be
the heat, but rather the potential for severe thunderstorms,
heavy rain, and flash flooding. there will be two main features
we will be watching closely today. First is a mid level trough
which is expected to dig south out of Quebec as it intensifies
and eventually becomes a closed low. Secondly is a surface cold
front which is already tantalizingly close to the region (in
central NY this morning), which will approach our region
eventually arriving and moving through our region tonight. The
combination of these two features, along with the still very
moist air mass in place will lead to widespread showers and
thunderstorms starting later this morning and continuing through
the overnight hours, though the prime period for thunderstorms
and significant impacts looks to be from mid afternoon through
late this evening. As for the hazards:
Heavy rain/flash flooding: As mentioned above, thanks to the
maritime tropical airmass already in place over our region,
precipitable water values remain well above normal (00Z RAOBs from
around the region show values of 1.7 to 1.9 inches). Low level
southerly return flow, especially this afternoon, means that values
could increase by the time we see widespread storms. Additionally by
this afternoon, the cold front should be nearly stalled or at least
very slow moving. At the same time, mid and upper level flow should
be mostly parallel to the orientation of the front. This sets the
stage for training storms. By the time this develops, it appears
that the best lift is along and east of the fall line. Did not make
any changes to the flash flood watch at this time as the threat for
heavy rain is lower west of the current watch, and although heavy
rain is a concern south and east of the watch, flash flood guidance
remains quite high in these areas, limiting the risk for flash
flooding.
Severe Thunderstorms/damaging winds: By the time the mid level jet
develops this afternoon (which will be a key player in increased
effective shear and thus more organized convection in our region),
there could be a very sharp gradient in instability thanks largely
to mid and low level clouds limiting heating and thus low level
lapse rates. Where exactly this gradient will be remains to be seen
as there is some disagreement between models as to where it will set
up. Given the current satellite trends, I agree with the previous
shift and SPC, that the higher instability is likely going to be
confined to areas generally along and south/east of I-95 by the
time the jet develops. This reflects SPC's 9 AM update which
shifted the Slight Risk area farther north to include the I-95
corridor. It does appear that the primary threat is damaging
winds as even in areas that manage to stay clear for much of the
day, mid level lapse rates and instability in the hail growth
region will be limited, thus limiting the risk for large hail.
Low level flow is expected to be very weak and the LCL should be
relatively high, limiting the risk for tornadoes. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch has been issued until 8 PM for the Philly
metro area and all other counties along and south/east of I-95.
Heat: Although the air mass has not changed yet (and won't until at
least tonight), temperatures should be somewhat limited thanks to
increasing cloud cover through the day. Areas that will stay clear
the longest (mostly Delmarva and SE NJ) will get into the upper 80s
and could even reach 90 before the storms arrive. With the humid
air, heat index values above 90 are possible along and east of the
95 corridor. Still, that is a bit better than the upper 90s air
temperatures and heat index values above 100 that many locations saw
yesterday. Thus, no heat advisories or excessive heat warnings are
in effect.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
The main story of Friday and Saturday will be upper level low
pressure tracking overhead of the region. By Friday morning, the
cold frontal boundary which is expected to bring heavy rain on
Thursday should be moving offshore. Trends overall have been more
progressive with this front. This is good news in terms of bringing
an end to steady rain heading into the holiday weekend. However, the
overall setup is still a somewhat unsettled one. Initially, a wave
of low pressure forming along the offshore boundary may allow steady
rain to continue over eastern areas on Friday morning. That area of
rain should push offshore by Friday afternoon, and there's a good
chance it won't even take that long. From there, the upper low will
become the forcing mechanism for any rainfall. Several shortwave
impulses will likely rotate through the broadly cyclonic flow aloft
on Friday and Saturday. Combined with steep lapse rates, additional
shower and thunderstorm development is possible on both days. This
should be mostly diurnally driven activity with the afternoon and
evening hours favored for any convection.
Presently, my thinking is that Friday will be the drier day overall.
Once any morning rain moves offshore, it looks like the best lift
from the upper level disturbance(s) will stay mainly north and west
of the area. Certainly cannot rule out a scattered shower or storm,
especially to the north and west, but there will likely be a lot of
dry hours on Friday and it would not be surprising if much of the
area sees no rain at all. With the lower heights building in aloft
and a fair amount of cloud cover, temperatures will run below
normal, struggling to reach 80.
Saturday looks like the more unsettled day, though by no means a
washout, as the core of the upper low moves overhead along with a
shortwave or two rotating through. I think this added forcing will
bring a better chance for scattered showers and storms to develop.
This despite Saturday also likely being the coolest day of the
stretch, with highs mainly in the low 70s north to upper 70s south.
But the steeper lapse rates and better forcing should compensate for
this. Activity should diminish fairly early on Saturday night with
the loss of daytime heating and as the upper low starts to shift
east. Many areas outside the urban corridor will drop into the upper
50s on Saturday night, on the cool side for the season.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Overview...
Warming temperatures will be the story of the long term as upper
level low pressure departs and a more typical summerlike pattern
sets up over the East. Trends are very positive overall for the
Independence Day holiday, with the rain risk looking minimal and the
warming trend getting underway. This trend will become more
pronounced by Monday as a Bermuda high pattern develops, but it does
not look like next week will be as hot as the recent weather
pattern. By the middle of next week, it is possible we will be
keeping an eye on what becomes of Tropical Depression 5 over the
Atlantic, but it is much too soon to say if that system will have
any impacts on the local area.
Dailies...
Independence Day... Upper level low pressure will be shifting
offshore by the time we get to Sunday. This will bring improving
weather for the holiday. Upper level heights remain below normal, so
temperatures will still run cooler than average, but should recover
into the upper 70s and low 80s in most areas. More notably, the rain
risk drops even further as the air mass dries out and forcing for
ascent is lost. Still cannot rule out a pop-up shower due to
lingering steep lapse rates, but coverage should be limited at most.
Overall, despite the temperatures a little below average, it should
be a very nice day and all indications are positive for outdoor
holiday events. A dry and rather cool night is expected with lows
dropping into the upper 50s and low 60s.
Monday-Wednesday... A more zonal flow pattern develops over the East
with Bermuda high pressure offshore. This will bring a return of
warmer and more humid weather to the area as southwesterly return
flow develops. This setup does not look as excessively hot as what
the region has been dealing with recently. Currently the forecast is
for more typical summer fare, with highs in the upper 80s and low
90s on all three of these days. Mainly dry weather for this stretch
as well with little forcing over the area. An isolated storm is
possible on Monday and Tuesday, mainly over far northwestern parts
of the area. By Wednesday, a cold front may approach and bring a
better chance for scattered showers and storms. Should any moisture
from Tropical Depression 5 affect the region, its earliest potential
arrival would likely be towards Wednesday or Thursday, but we will
have plenty of time to watch that.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Today...MVFR ceilings are expected to move in from the west
through 18Z as showers and thunderstorms approach the region.
Once the rain begins, thunderstorms will be possible for much of
the day, but for now have only included a TEMPO group in each
TAF for the most likely period of thunderstorms. Have also added
VCTS to ILG and PHL as the convection moving into the area from
Maryland has a history of producing some occasional lightning.
Ceilings should continue to lower through the afternoon, and a
few sites may see IFR ceilings develop by late afternoon. Mostly
westerly and northwesterly winds at 5 to 10 knots. Moderate
confidence on the overall pattern, but low confidence on timing
details.
Tonight...Ceilings may lower to IFR through the evening across much
of the region. Showers should generally move east of the TAF sites
after 06Z. Areas of fog will be possible, especially for any
locations that receive heavy rain today. Winds will be light
and variable but direction should favor southwesterly. Low
confidence.
Outlook...
Friday-Friday night... MVFR/IFR conditions still appear likely to
start the day on Friday, especially east of PHL. Latest indications
are that VFR conditions will likely be prevailing for much of the
later morning, afternoon, and evening. However, areas of sub-VFR
remain possible through the day and night due to scattered showers
and thunderstorms. Westerly winds around 5 kt becoming light and
variable overnight. Low confidence.
Saturday-Saturday night... Varying flight conditions are likely. VFR
may be prevailing, but scattered showers and thunderstorms will
likely bring periods of restrictions especially near and northeast
of PHL. North to northwest winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming light and
variable overnight. Low confidence.
Sunday-Sunday night... Mainly VFR. West-northwest winds around 5 kt
becoming light and variable overnight. Moderate confidence.
Monday-Monday night... Mainly VFR. Winds shifting from west to
southwest at 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.
&&
.MARINE...
For most of the area waters, seas and winds should stay below Small
Craft Advisory conditions through tonight. However, locally higher
seas and winds will be possible in the vicinity of any thunderstorms
especially this afternoon and evening.
For the Atlantic coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Fenwick Island
DE...A period of wind gusts above 25 kt is likely this afternoon.
Therefore, an SCA has been issued from 2 PM to 8 PM EDT.
Outlook...
Friday-Monday... No marine headlines are currently anticipated.
Winds will vary in direction but will generally maintain an offshore
component, with gusts mostly 20 kt or less. Seas mostly 3 to 4 ft,
but may approach 5 ft late Saturday into early Sunday. An SCA is not
anticipated. Showers and thunderstorms possible Friday and Saturday.
Rip Currents...
South to southwest winds continue into Friday. There should be a
short to medium period southerly swell both days. The more favorably
oriented central/southern New Jersey coast has a MODERATE risk for
rip currents, while a LOW risk remains for Delaware and for the
Monmouth County coast.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for PAZ070-071-
101>106.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for NJZ009-010-012-
013-015>019.
DE...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ454-
455.
&&
Synopsis...O'Brien
Near Term...Johnson/Staarmann
Short Term...O'Brien
Long Term...O'Brien
Aviation...Johnson/O'Brien/Staarmann
Marine...Johnson/O'BrienHazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 12:05 PM EST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
DEZ001-021705-
New Castle-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ002-021705-
Kent-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ003-021705-
Inland Sussex-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ004-021705-
Delaware Beaches-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ054-021705-
Carbon-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ055-021705-
Monroe-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ060-021705-
Berks-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ061-021705-
Lehigh-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ062-021705-
Northampton-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ070-021705-
Delaware-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ071-021705-
Philadelphia-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ101-021705-
Western Chester-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ102-021705-
Eastern Chester-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ103-021705-
Western Montgomery-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ104-021705-
Eastern Montgomery-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ105-021705-
Upper Bucks-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ106-021705-
Lower Bucks-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ001-021705-
Sussex-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ007-021705-
Warren-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ008-021705-
Morris-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ009-021705-
Hunterdon-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ010-021705-
Somerset-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ012-021705-
Middlesex-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ013-021705-
Western Monmouth-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ014-021705-
Eastern Monmouth-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ015-021705-
Mercer-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ016-021705-
Salem-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ017-021705-
Gloucester-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ018-021705-
Camden-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ019-021705-
Northwestern Burlington-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ020-021705-
Ocean-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ021-021705-
Cumberland-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ022-021705-
Atlantic-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ023-021705-
Cape May-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ024-021705-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ025-021705-
Coastal Atlantic-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ026-021705-
Coastal Ocean-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Friday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ027-021705-
Southeastern Burlington-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ012-021705-
Kent MD-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ015-021705-
Queen Annes-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ019-021705-
Talbot-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ020-021705-
Caroline-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ430-021705-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ431-021705-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ450-021705-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ451-021705-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ452-021705-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ453-021705-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ454-021705-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ455-021705-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0105 PM EDT Thu Jul 01 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 12:10 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
110 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
NJZ013-014-020-026-011800-
Eastern Monmouth-Coastal Ocean-Ocean-Western Monmouth-
110 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN OCEAN AND MONMOUTH
COUNTIES...
At 110 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Vista Center,
or 15 miles northwest of Toms River, moving northeast at 45 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Long Branch, Asbury Park, Lakewood, Jackson, Howell,
Marlboro, Manalapan, Tinton Falls, Holmdel, Red Bank, Manasquan,
Highlands, Point Pleasant Beach, Lakehurst, Farmingdale, Roosevelt,
Mantoloking, Allenwood and East Freehold.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 13 and 34.
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 87 and 112.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 4043 7396 4012 7397 4001 7398 4001 7452
4007 7455 4025 7447 4041 7400 4041 7398
4042 7398
TIME...MOT...LOC 1710Z 247DEG 39KT 4019 7434
DavisSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 12:16 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
116 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
NJZ020-022-025>027-011745-
Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-Ocean-Atlantic-Southeastern
Burlington-
116 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ATLANTIC...SOUTH CENTRAL
OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTIES...
At 115 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over
Elwood-Magnolia, or 14 miles east of Vineland, moving east at 40 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Egg Harbor City, Tuckerton, Weymouth, Port Republic, Pomona,
Elwood-Magnolia, Wading River, Warren Grove, Bass River State Forest,
Batsto, New Gretna, Mizpah, Mays Landing, Mystic Island and Folsom.
This includes the following highways...
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 41 and 62.
Atlantic City Expressway between mile markers 13 and 25.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 3946 7484 3958 7482 3977 7433 3945 7421
TIME...MOT...LOC 1715Z 251DEG 33KT 3954 7473
Davis
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 12:31 PM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
131 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
NJZ021-023-011800-
Cumberland-Cape May-
131 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND AND
NORTHWESTERN CAPE MAY COUNTIES...
At 130 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Bivalve, or 12
miles south of Millville, moving east at 20 mph.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Woodbine, Mauricetown, Belleplain Forest, Leesburg, Goshen, Bivalve,
Port Norris, Dividing Creek and Eldora.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
LAT...LON 3914 7485 3918 7518 3929 7512 3931 7480
3931 7479
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 275DEG 19KT 3920 7506
CMSSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 1:51 PM EST, 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
DEZ001-PAZ060-061-070-101>103-105-011930-
New Castle-Upper Bucks-Lehigh-Western Montgomery-Delaware-Western
Chester-Eastern Chester-Berks-
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...
SOUTHEASTERN BERKS...SOUTHEASTERN LEHIGH...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...
WEST CENTRAL BUCKS...CHESTER AND WEST CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTIES...
At 251 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over New Morgan, or
9 miles south of Reading, moving east at 55 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Reading, West Chester, Pottstown, Phoenixville, Coatesville, Emmaus,
Westtown, Wyomissing, Downingtown, Kennett Square, Birdsboro,
Collegeville, Oxford, Royersford, Laureldale, Parkesburg, Trappe,
East Greenville, West Grove and Honey Brook.
This includes the following highways...
Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 296 and 324.
Northeast Extension between mile markers 37 and 52.
Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 61 and 62.
Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 11.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 3976 7606 3987 7599 3995 7600 4004 7593
4011 7594 4014 7588 4023 7602 4036 7598
4057 7541 4021 7537 4018 7541 4016 7540
4011 7543 4010 7546 4009 7544 3972 7565
3972 7613
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 249DEG 49KT 4020 7591
Davis