Areas of far southwest New Mexico continued to remain dry in June, but the Sacramento Mountains and parts of south-central New Mexico did receive above normal precipitation. There was some improvement to drought conditions in these areas with above normal rainfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 14 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Areas of far southwest New Mexico continued to remain dry in June, but the Sacramento Mountains and parts of south-central New Mexico did receive above normal precipitation. There was some improvement to drought conditions in these areas with above normal rainfall.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 10:37 PM MST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1137 PM MDT Mon May 31 2021 .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE We will see mainly VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Active weather will be present for tomorrow. Ceilings are forecast to be FEW250-BKN250. The winds will be less than 8 kts, becoming southeast 10-15kts after 18z. Developing after 18Z... Scattered BKN080CB -TSRA, most frequent east of the Rio Grande Valley. Gusty winds to 45kts and small hail possibly with some off these storms. Additionally, 3 to 5 miles in blowing dust are possible. && .PREV DISCUSSION...250 PM MDT Mon May 31 2021... .SYNOPSIS... Thunderstorms will slowly diminish into the overnight hours, with another round of strong to severe storms expected Tuesday for areas east of the Rio Grande. Strong gusty winds and hail will be the main hazards with the strongest storms. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain through the end of the week with lowering storm chances Saturday, but especially Sunday, as temperatures warm into the mid to upper 90s. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM... Afternoon storms are ongoing at the moment primarily forming over Sierra and Otero counties where moisture and instability are greatest, however the strongest storms should remain to the north and east of our CWA. Areas south and west will likely stay dry and sunny for the remainder of the evening. During the evening and overnight hours, a backdoor cold front will push it's way westward into the CWA bringing a healthy surge of moisture along with it. Winds will gradually shift southwest to east as the front pushes through. Afternoon high temperatures for Tuesday will be lower than average topping out in the upper 80's for the Lowlands due to increased cloud cover. Winds will remain on the calmer side at around 5 to 10 mph. Storm chances will become more widespread Tuesday with the exception of extreme southwest Hidalgo county. Not expecting these storms to become severe due to the lack of shear but outflows could trigger gusty winds. && .LONG TERM... Stagnant pattern overall across the Borderland. Slow moving upper low will sit to the southwest across Baja Tuesday evening through the end of the week. This will allow for daily influxes of sfc moisture from the east and resultant thunderstorm chances each afternoon. The main focus will be north of El Paso, but any outflow boundaries from earlier activity could pop a few storms across the metro. Tuesday evening will feature the strongest storms given the shear in certain areas AOB 30+ kts, with the potential for hail and strong winds. Wednesday there could be an isolated stronger storm or two, but through the end of the week should feature more run of the mill storms given lower shear values, but the strongest cells will certainly contain a gusty wind and small to marginal hail threat. All the while, mildly breezy afternoon winds most locations with the highest values near the divide. By Saturday, and especially into Sunday, upper low shifts east, taking the moisture with it. Scattered storms still possible, especially on Saturday and along the higher terrain, but activity will be waning on Sunday as temps rise into the mid to upper 90s. Short wave approaches from the west early next week, but the higher moisture remains to the east. So expecting mostly dry conditions but we will watch this progression into the future as a long wave trough carves out the west coast in cohorts with a forecast -PNA pattern. && .FIRE WEATHER... Today started a bit of moistening aloft out west over the Gila/Blacks as mid-level saw some minor increases in moisture over the Gila. This was enough to spark a few showers and storms. Meanwhile the low-level moisture that has been in place, in the form of a ebbing dryline, across the far eastern portions of the region continued to produce storms over the Sacs and Otero mesa. Tonight will begin a trend toward moistening the lower levels across Northern and eastern portions of our region. A backdoor front will push in from the east overnight with gulf moisture fill in behind. The driest will continue to be the Southwest Deserts of SW New Mexico, but the Rio Grande Valley, Gila Region, Tularosa Basin, Otero Mesa, and Far West Texas will all see an increase in dewpoints resulting a more of the area seeing increased chances for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday the moistening trend continues as the moderate moisture increases continue to spread south and west across more of the region. For Wednesday through at least Saturday this moisture will remain in place over the area. This will mean daily chances for showers and thunderstorms for the entire region. Probablities and storm coverage should be higher over area mountains and northern and eastern lowlands, with the SW deserts seeing the fewest storms. Temperatures will run at or slightly below seasonal averages, depending on cloud cover and storm proximity. Wind speeds will generally stay below breezy, except near storms where strong gusty outflow will be possible. With the moisture in place expect better overnight RH recoveries, and daily minimums to stay above critical thresholds. && && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 93 65 89 64 / 0 0 20 20 Sierra Blanca 85 58 81 57 / 0 10 40 30 Las Cruces 92 59 88 60 / 10 0 30 20 Alamogordo 91 56 85 57 / 20 20 40 30 Cloudcroft 66 43 61 44 / 30 20 50 30 Truth or Consequences 88 58 84 59 / 10 10 40 30 Silver City 82 54 79 57 / 0 0 30 20 Deming 91 56 88 57 / 0 0 20 20 Lordsburg 88 57 87 58 / 0 0 10 20 West El Paso Metro 93 65 89 66 / 0 0 20 20 Dell City 90 59 83 57 / 20 20 40 30 Fort Hancock 93 62 90 60 / 10 0 40 30 Loma Linda 85 58 81 58 / 0 0 20 30 Fabens 93 64 90 63 / 0 0 20 20 Santa Teresa 91 59 88 60 / 0 0 20 20 White Sands HQ 91 63 86 64 / 0 0 30 30 Jornada Range 90 58 85 59 / 0 0 30 30 Hatch 91 57 88 59 / 0 0 30 30 Columbus 91 60 88 61 / 0 0 10 20 Orogrande 91 60 86 60 / 10 10 30 30 Mayhill 74 46 70 47 / 40 30 50 30 Mescalero 76 45 72 46 / 30 20 50 30 Timberon 75 43 70 44 / 20 20 40 30 Winston 81 44 77 46 / 20 10 50 30 Hillsboro 88 54 83 55 / 0 0 40 20 Spaceport 88 56 84 57 / 0 10 30 30 Lake Roberts 84 48 80 50 / 0 0 40 20 Hurley 85 50 83 52 / 0 0 20 20 Cliff 91 46 89 48 / 0 0 20 10 Mule Creek 85 54 83 55 / 0 0 30 10 Faywood 85 56 82 57 / 0 0 20 20 Animas 89 55 88 56 / 0 0 0 20 Hachita 89 54 87 56 / 0 0 10 20 Antelope Wells 88 56 87 58 / 0 0 10 20 Cloverdale 83 56 83 58 / 0 0 0 10 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 04-Lundeen/33/04
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 628 AM MDT Mon May 31 2021 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011230- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 628 AM MDT Mon May 31 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms will develop over eastern portions of Otero and Hudsepth Counties this afternoon. These storms will be isolated in distribution and will move off to the northeast as they develop. Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, dime sized hail, and wind gusts over 50 mph will be possible from these storms. The remainder of region of Southwest and South Central New Mexico and the El Paso metro area will remain dry. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Increasing moisture will also for greater coverage of thunderstorms as the week progresses. A few isolated storms may develop over the Gila Region and the Sacramento mountains late Tuesday afternoon. A similar pattern will occur Wednesday. However increasing moisture availability will result in more frequent thunderstorms for the latter part of week and the weekend with most areas having a chance of rain and storms at least one of this week. Storms may not be as intense with mainly periods of light to moderate rainfall, small hail, and wind gusts to 45 mph. Dry conditions will begin to occur on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
17 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought through June. The Cooperative Observer in Buckhorn received only 0.05 inches of rain which was 0.45 inches below normal.
No change was noted across the zone with Exceptional(D4) drought continuing west with some areas down to Severe(D2) drought east. The Gila Hot Springs Cooperative Observer reported a quarter inch of rainfall which was 0.41 inches below normal.
The southwest portion of the zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought with Extreme(D3) drought across the northeast.
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought through the month of June. The White Signal Cooperative Observer reported 0.68 inches of precipitation which was 0.10 inches above normal.
Exceptional(D4) drought continued through the month across the entire zone. The Cooperative Observer in Antelope Wells reported just 0.10 inches of precipitation which was 0.61 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought through the month.
The southern half of the zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought with improvement to the northeast corner of the zone where it was Severe(D2) drought conditions. The Deming Airport reported 0.67 inches of precipitation which was 0.12 inches above normal.
The zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month of June. The Hillsboro Cooperative Observer reported 1.55 inches of rain which was 0.72 inches above normal.
Severe(D2) drought conditions continued through the month for the entire zone. The Truth or Consequences Cooperative Observer reported 1.79 inches of precipitation which was 1.38 inches above normal.
The southern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought with the northern half in Severe(D2) drought.
The zone started with Exceptional(D4) drought over the south and Extreme(D3) drought over the north. By the end of the month, the entire zone was in Extreme(D3) drought except the far southeast which was in Severe(D2) drought conditions. The Cooperative Observer at New Mexico State University reported 1.28 inches of precipitation which was 0.63 inches above normal.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the west remained in Severe(D2) drought conditions.
The entire zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought conditions.
The zone started out with Exceptional(D4) drought across the north and Extreme(D3) over the south but improved to Extreme(D3) over the west and Severe(D2) drought east by the end of the month. The Mountain Park Cooperative Observer reported 3.64 inches of precipitation which was 2.47 inches above normal.
The entire zone started out June in Exceptional(D4) drought but improved to Extreme(D3) drought south to Severe(D2) drought by the end of the month. The Cloudcroft Cooperative Observer reported 3.40 inches of precipitation which was 1.18 inches above normal.
The zone started June in Exceptional(D4) drought and improved by the end of the month to Extreme(D3) drought south and Severe(D2) drought over the northern half of the zone.
The eastern half of the zone started in Exceptional(D4) drought with Extreme(D3) drought west. By the end of the month, the far east remained in Exceptional(D4) drought but improved to the west with the far southwest only in Abnormally Dry(D0) drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 968871, 968873, 968874, 968875, 968877, 968878, 968879, 968880, 968882, 968883, 968884, 968886, 968889, 968892, 968914, 968916, 968917.