New Mexico, 2021

High Wind in New Mexico, December 27 to 28, 2021

December 27 to 28, 2021 · NWS ABQ · 4 events in 3 counties and zones

As a persistent troughing pattern remained in place across the western United States, a strong polar jet oriented across New Mexico resulted in another day with strong winds across the area starting late on December 27th and continuing through December 28, 2021. Due to increased cloud cover and cooler temperatures, less vertical mixing of the atmosphere kept the strongest winds mainly confined…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

As a persistent troughing pattern remained in place across the western United States, a strong polar jet oriented across New Mexico resulted in another day with strong winds across the area starting late on December 27th and continuing through December 28, 2021. Due to increased cloud cover and cooler temperatures, less vertical mixing of the atmosphere kept the strongest winds mainly confined to the high terrain and adjacent highlands. Wind speeds in excess of 58 mph were common in these areas with the strongest wind gust of 67 mph measured near Ruidoso. No damage reports were received with this round of high winds.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 27, 4:46 PM MST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 4:46 PM MST, 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
446 PM MST Mon Dec 27 2021

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Mid level cloud deck firmly in place across northern and central NM
this afternoon. Clouds will persist tonight across western and
central NM, with cigs lowering, while eastern NM will gradually clear
out. MVFR cigs will be possible at KGUP and KFMN overnight into
Tuesday morning. Snow showers will be likely across the northern
mountains and perhaps around KGUP with snow struggling to reach the
surface elsewhere. Areas of blowing snow, reduced visibility and mt
obscurations are likely across portions of northern and western NM.
Otherwise, main concern tonight will be increasing wind speeds. Gusts
near 30kts will be common, except along and just east of the Central
Mountain Chain where gusts btw 40 and 50kts will be possible. These
winds will persist through Tuesday.

34

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...315 PM MST Mon Dec 27 2021...
.SYNOPSIS...
An unsettled and progressively colder weather pattern will persist
through Saturday, with bouts of strong winds focusing across central
and eastern New Mexico and chances for snow focusing across western
and north central portions of the state. Temperatures across the
eastern plains will remain above normal this week, due mainly to
warming from downslope winds. A more potent winter storm will impact
the area Friday through Saturday, with snow levels dropping to valley
floors and the potential for significant accumulations. This storm
will be accompanied by a strong cold front as well, bringing
temperatures down below normal for the weekend before warming back up
closer to normal by Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
A longwave trough and preceding embedded disturbances will create
active weather once again for northern and central NM in the short
term. Wave clouds are evident on visible satellite imagery this
afternoon, lending to fast winds aloft over the Land of Enchantment.
A potent polar jet stream will descend into NM this evening,
bringing yet another round of brisk winds to the south central mts
and adjacent highlands. Winds over the Sacramento Mts strengthen to
80kts at 700mb and given the likelihood for turbulent mixing, high
winds are likely to plague the south central mountains again
tonight. As such, did issue a High Wind Warning for the Ruidoso and
Dunken areas.

Meanwhile, orographic lift will help to make use of abundant
subtropical moisture across the northern mts, where several inches
to over a foot of accumulation will be possible through Tuesday night.
Will issue a Winter Storm Advisory for the Chuska Mountains and
northwest highlands and Winter Storm Warning for the Tusas, Jemez,
and Sangre de Cristo Mountains for tonight through Wednesday morning.
Snowfall accumulation intensifies across the west central plateau
and west central mts Tuesday night, which includes the I-40 corridor,
and highlights may be warranted in future updates.

The accompanying Pacific front to this system will drop high
temperatures on Tuesday several degrees below normal across the
central mts and westward -- the exception being the RGV, where highs
will hover near normal. Temperatures will remain above average
across the eastern plains.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
Unsettled conditions continue Wednesday as the jet stream moves
directly overhead, with orographically forced precipitation favoring
the peaks and west slopes of the mountains and windy to very windy
conditions forecast along/east of the central mountain chain. Winter
weather impacts will be winding down Wednesday as wind impacts ramp-
up and a wind advisory will likely be required for eastern areas.
Otherwise, Wednesday will be colder, although the eastern plains will
still reach up above normal due to stronger downslope winds. Windy
conditions will return to the eastern plains Thursday due to a
deepening lee side trough as a potent upper level trough dives
southeast from the Pacific NW.

12Z medium range model solutions are in good agreement and have
shown some run-to-run consistency with an impactful winter storm for
Friday through Saturday. Pacific moisture will be a big player with
this one as an upper level low offshore of southern CA advances east
Thursday night through Friday and brings a well above normal PWAT
atmosphere into the Desert Southwest and NM. The upper low is
forecast to fill and open up, then race across NM Friday night as a
shortwave trough in advance of the much colder northern stream
trough. Widespread precipitation is forecast to break out Friday
across central and western NM, with mountain snow and valley rain.
However, snow levels will drop to valley floors Friday night and this
system may bring the first accumulating snow of the season to a
number of lower elevation locales including Albuquerque. The colder
upstream trough is forecast to close off a low at near 540dam at
500mb Friday night then move over NM Saturday along with a strong
cold front. Precipitation will come to an abrupt end late Saturday as
the upper low ejects east into far west TX, with a very cold airmass
settling in behind it. Some of the coldest temperatures so far this
winter season are forecast Saturday night into Sunday morning and may
even be colder that our current forecast with the potential for
fresh snow on the ground. Expect a warming trend beginning Monday,
with temperatures returning to near normal.

12/11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Persistent troughing pattern with daily precipitation chances over
western and northern NM is expected over the next week. The east
will remain mostly dry and while winds will be breezy to windy each
day this week, RH values will remain above criteria for critical
fire weather. Bouts of strong winds will continue, favoring the high
terrain and central highlands. More widespread precipitation is
expected Friday night through Saturday.

12

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 4 PM MST Tuesday for the
following zones... NMZ215-223-229-239.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 PM this evening to 11 AM MST Wednesday
for the following zones... NMZ210-211-213-214.

High Wind Warning until 8 AM MST Tuesday for the following zones...
NMZ226-240.

Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for the following
zones... NMZ226-240.

Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 11 AM MST
Wednesday for the following zones... NMZ202-203.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, South Central Mountains

When
December 27, 5:15 PM MST to 6:15 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Measured
58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An AWOS station near Ruidoso measured a peak wind gust of 67 mph.

High Wind, Northeast Highlands

When
December 28, 12:27 AM MST to 1:25 AM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An ASOS station near Las Vegas measured a peak wind gust of 62 mph.

High Wind, Far Northeast Highlands

When
December 28, 11:07 AM MST to 11:10 AM MST
Where
Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
36.308, -104.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An ASOS station near Raton measured a peak wind gust of 59 mph.

High Wind, South Central Mountains

When
December 28, 12:00 PM MST to 1:00 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A RAWS station near Ruidoso measured a peak wind gust of 58 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 991196, 991199, 991198, 991197.