Nebraska, 2021

Winter Storm in Nebraska, January 25, 2021

January 25, 2021 · NWS GID · 24 events in 24 counties and zones

During a roughly 36-hour stretch between the evening of Sunday January 24th and the morning of Tuesday the 26th, a major winter storm took direct aim on the entire NWS Hastings coverage area, dropping a widespread 6-12 of heavy snow, with unofficial higher reports of up to around 15. For all areas, the majority of snow piled up between 6am-6pm on the 25th, snarling travel and shutting down…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 24 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
24

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.

During a roughly 36-hour stretch between the evening of Sunday January 24th and the morning of Tuesday the 26th, a major winter storm took direct aim on the entire NWS Hastings coverage area, dropping a widespread 6-12 of heavy snow, with unofficial higher reports of up to around 15. For all areas, the majority of snow piled up between 6am-6pm on the 25th, snarling travel and shutting down countless schools and businesses at the start of the work-week. For some areas, this was the biggest winter storm (in terms of snow amounts) in at least five years, since at least the Groundhog Day storm/blizzard of Feb. 2, 2016. For at least one official NWS coop observer station (Hebron), the storm total of 12.0 was technically the largest in thirty-four years (since march 1987)! Although snow amounts varied somewhat across the area (generally highest within counties along/east of the Highway 281 corridor and lowest farther west), this event was a bit unique in that the entire coverage area received several inches of snow, with no truly sharp divide between low amounts and high amounts. Only far western portions of south central Nebraska (primarily portions of Dawson/Gosper/Furnas counties) accumulated less than 6, but still managed at least 3-5. Snow was the only precipitation type for south central Nebraska during this event. From a moisture (melted liquid) perspective, this storm was actually very beneficial, featuring widespread totals of mainly 0.50-1.20. This was not a bad thing considering that south central Nebraska was in at least moderate drought going into this storm. Despite causing significant disruptions to travel, fortunately this storm was not a true/crippling blizzard, as sustained winds speeds through most of it averaged 15-25 MPH/gusts up to 30-35 MPH. Snow became dry enough, though, to promote at least moderate drifting towards the end of the event. Temperatures were also not extreme during this event, generally in the teens and 20s.

Briefly covering the meteorological background and timing: The primary feature was a potent mid-upper level low pressure system that gradually tracked east-northeast from the CO/KS border area on the morning of the 25th, across the heart of our local area during the daylight hours (promoting the heaviest snow during that time), and then departing into IA by daybreak on the 26th. The first flakes started flying across southern portions of our local area on the evening of the 24th, while the last few flurries faded away no later than 6-8am on the 26th. From a forecasting perspective, this storm was a little bit sneaky in the sense that it was not obvious several days beforehand that it would end up being a major storm in terms of snowfall amounts. In fact, as little as 3 days before the event some computer models still suggested a weaker storm, with generally light to moderate amounts. However, by Saturday afternoon (Jan. 23), concern had grown enough in the potential for a bigger storm that the first Winter Storm Watch was issued for southeastern portions of the area. By early Sunday morning (Jan. 24), it was finally very apparent that this system was indeed going to be a major snow-maker, and a Winter Storm Warning was issued for all but the extreme northern fringes of our area (this north area was eventually added to the Warning as well on the early morning of the 25th).

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 25, 12:16 AM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 12:16 AM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1216 AM CST Mon Jan 25 2021

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 258 PM CST Sun Jan 24 2021

The main story in this forecast package is clearly the winter
storm late tonight through Monday. Confidence remains high that
this will be a significant event for the portions of the area. Of
secondary concern is another light snow event late Tuesday
afternoon through Tuesday night.

For tonight, we are expecting precipitation to gradually develop
from south to north, mainly after midnight. As it develops,
saturation aloft will lag behind, therefore a brief period (3 to 6
hours) of light freezing drizzle is possible before snow
develops. Most locations should be seeing all snow by sunrise on
Monday, and southern portions of the forecast area could already
have 1 to 3 inches of snow on the ground.

On Monday, the surface low will track trough eastern KS into MO,
allowing a broad band of snow to persist across the area. The
majority of the snow will fall during the daylight hours, and
models continue to be in good agreement in a significant, heavy
snow event for at least the southeastern half of the area. In
fact, the GFS, which had previously been much farther southeast,
has come more in line with the Euro and Euro ensemble showing a
broad band of 6 to 12 inches of snow impacting our forecast area.
Confidence in amounts decreases as you move northwestward, and
there will almost certainly be a very sharp cutoff in amounts,
likely somewhere northwest of the tri-cities.

Total QPF has remained pretty consistent with this forecast
package, generally ranging from 0.30-1.10" from north to south,
which results in 3-12" of snowfall. Despite the relatively cold
air, a somewhat shallow dendritic growth zone may keep snow ratios
a little on the lower side....probably in the 9-13:1 range
overall. Therefore, this snow will be on the wetter, heavier side
which will make it more difficult to move.

Snow will gradually wind down Monday evening, and accumulating
snow will come to an end for most areas by late Monday night. That
said, some light snow or flurries could hang on during the
daytime on Tuesday, aided by upslope flow in the low to mid
levels. Then, the snow rates will increase again late Tuesday
afternoon as the next upper trough pushes into the area. The bulk
of this snow will fall during the evening and overnight, ending by
daybreak on Wednesday. This still appears to be a 1-3" event, and
hasn't shown any signs of overproducing at this point.

Dry conditions return for the rest of the work week. With
clearing skies and fresh snowpack, we could easily see low
temperatures dip to the low single digits Wednesday night.
Temperatures will then slowly trend upward Thursday and Friday,
with highs reaching the upper 30s and low 40s by Friday afternoon.
Another system may impact parts of the area with rain and snow on
Saturday, but at this time it appears to be primarily an issue for
eastern Kansas and Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Tuesday)
Issued at 1215 AM CST Mon Jan 25 2021

General overview:
Sub-VFR conditions throughout the period. BY FAR the main issue is
a fairly major winter storm that will peak in intensity during
the heart of this valid period (mainly Monday daytime),
potentially dumping 6+ inches of relatively dense (not very
fluffy) snow on both KGRI/KEAR. Overall no significant changes
from 00Z issuance.

Precipitation/visibility:
The overall-lightest snow will surely occur during the first few
and then final hours of the period, during which time no worse
than IFR to MVFR visibility is expected. Some of the reduced
visibility right away early this morning will also be from light
fog. During the daytime hours Monday the peak of the snow storm
will hit, with much of the 13-00Z time frame featuring at best
low-end IFR visibility, and likely several hours of at least LIFR
particularly 17-00Z, during which time prevailing 1/2SM is
advertised in moderate snow. At least brief/very poor 1/4SM
cannot be ruled out, but have not included as prevailing at this
time.

Ceilings:
Ceilings are already in IFR/LIFR territory, and expect these
categories to be the prevailing story throughout the vast majority
of the period. Late in the period Monday evening as the "main
event" starts to fade, will attempt to advertise a return to low-
end MVFR, but this is medium-confidence at best.

Winds:
As Central Plains snow storms go, this one is a "medium"
intensity/impact in terms of winds. For sure, the lightest speeds
(sustained only around 10KT from the east-northeast) will occur
right away early this morning. But by around sunrise and after,
intensifying low pressure will kick up northerly winds through
much of the remainder of the period, often sustained at least
15-18KT with frequent gusts up to around 25KT. Obviously this will
be enough to cause at least modest blowing snow/drifting snow as
well.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Storm Warning until 3 AM CST Tuesday for NEZ046>049-
     060>064-072>077-082>087.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Monday to 3 AM CST Tuesday for
     NEZ039>041.

KS...Winter Storm Warning until 3 AM CST Tuesday for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

&&

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Pfannkuch
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 8:31 PM CST, 6 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
831 PM CST Sun Jan 24 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
251215-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
831 PM CST Sun Jan 24 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Freezing drizzle and light snow are expected tonight and a Winter
Storm Warning goes into effect at midnight for the majority of the
outlook area. Please refer to the warning statement for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Heavy snow is expected on Monday, gradually tapering off in the
evening and overnight. A Winter Storm Warning or a Winter Weather
Advisory is in effect for the entire outlook area. Please refer
to the Warning and Advisory statements for further details.

Another, weaker storm system is expected to bring an additional 1
to 3 inches of snow to the area Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but any
snow measurements are always appreciated.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

24 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Polk

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Polk forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.187, -97.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 16 inches across the county. The highest totals included 15.8 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 1 E of Stromsburg, 11.5 inches from a trained spotter located in Shelby, 10.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Osceola, and 9.7 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 3 NE of Shelby.

Winter Storm, York

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
York forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.873, -97.597 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 15 inches across the county. The highest totals included 13.1 inches from a trained spotter located in McCool Junction, 12.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 6 N of Bradshaw, and 11.9 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 3 N of York.

Winter Storm, Fillmore

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Fillmore forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.525, -97.596 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 15 inches across the county. The highest totals included 15.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 3 NW of Milligan, 12.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 3 SSE of Grafton, 11.8 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 2 WSW of Tobias, and 10.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Geneva.

Winter Storm, Thayer

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Thayer forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.176, -97.595 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 11.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Hubbell, 11.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 6 SE of Davenport, and 9.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Hebron.

Winter Storm, Nance

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Nance forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
41.397, -97.992 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 8 to 11 inches across the county. This was based off reports from neighboring counties and a total of 8.9 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 3 WSW of Genoa.

Winter Storm, Merrick

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Merrick forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
41.170, -98.038 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. This was based off reports from neighboring counties and a public report of 10 in Central City.

Winter Storm, Hamilton

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Hamilton forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
40.874, -98.023 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. This was based off reports from neighboring counties and a total of 10.5 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 1 ESE of Aurora.

Winter Storm, Clay

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Clay forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.524, -98.051 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 11.8 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 6 ESE of Clay Center and 10.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Clay Center.

Winter Storm, Nuckolls

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Nuckolls forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.176, -98.047 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 7 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 12.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located near Lawrence, 11.0 inches reported by CoCoRaHS observers located 8 NW and 6 NE of Superior, and 9.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Nelson.

Winter Storm, Howard

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Howard forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.220, -98.517 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 8 to 10 inches across the county. The highest totals included 9.4 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 2 W of Elba, 9.0 inches reported from a CoCoRaHS observer located 1 ENE of St. Paul, and 8.3 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in St. Paul.

Winter Storm, Hall

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Hall forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
40.873, -98.502 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 10.4 inches from NWS Official Observer located in Grand Island, 10.0 inches reported from an NWS Hastings employee located in Doniphan, and 9.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 3 ENE of Doniphan.

Winter Storm, Adams

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Adams forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
40.525, -98.501 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 10.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 7 WSW of Juniata, 9 to 10 inches from multiple reports in Hastings and 9.1 inches measured at the NWS Hastings office located 4 N of Hastings.

Winter Storm, Webster

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Webster forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
40.176, -98.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 9 to 12 inches across the county. The highest totals included 11.0 inches from a public report in Blue Hill and 9.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 4 E of Red Cloud.

Winter Storm, Buffalo

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Buffalo forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.855, -99.075 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 7 to 11 inches across the county. The highest totals included 10.3 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 3 SE of Ravenna, 8.4 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Ravenna, and 8.0 inches from an NWS Hastings employee on the northeast side of Kearney.

Winter Storm, Kearney

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Kearney forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.507, -98.948 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 6 to 10 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties and a report of 8.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Minden.

Winter Storm, Franklin

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
40.176, -98.953 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 6 to 10 inches across the county. The highest totals included 10.5 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 2 ENE of Franklin and 10.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 6 S of Wilcox.

Winter Storm, Phelps

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Phelps forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.511, -99.414 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 6 to 10 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties and report of 9.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Holdrege.

Winter Storm, Harlan

When
January 25, 3:00 AM CST to 2:00 PM CST
Where
Harlan forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.177, -99.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 6 to 9 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties and report of 7.6 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 1 W of Orleans.

Winter Storm, Greeley

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Greeley forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.567, -98.521 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 7 to 9 inches across the county. The highest totals included 8.0 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 8 NNE of Scotia, 7.5 inches reported from a CoCoRaHS observer located 4 E of Scotia, and 6.8 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Greeley.

Winter Storm, Valley

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Valley forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.567, -98.982 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 7 to 9 inches across the county. The highest totals included 8.5 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 5 SW of Elyira, 8.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Ord, and 7.2 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 2 W of Arcadia.

Winter Storm, Sherman

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Sherman forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.221, -98.976 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 7 to 9 inches across the county. The highest totals included 8.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Loup City and 8.3 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 2 NW of Rockville.

Winter Storm, Dawson

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
40.870, -99.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 5 to 9 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties, a report of 8.5 inches from a CoCoRaHS observer located 6 SW of Lexington, and a public report of 5.0 inches from 8 SE of Gothenburg.

Winter Storm, Gosper

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 2:00 PM CST
Where
Gosper forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.515, -99.831 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties, a report of 6.7 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 8 S of Elwood, and 6.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 6 SSE of Lexington.

Winter Storm, Furnas

When
January 25, 5:00 AM CST to 2:00 PM CST
Where
Furnas forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.177, -99.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two-day storm total snowfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches across the county. The highest totals are based off reports from neighboring counties, a report of 6.5 inches from the Cooperative Observer located 6 NNW of Oxford, and 6.0 inches from the Cooperative Observer located in Wilsonville.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, January 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 931444, 931445, 931446, 931447, 931448, 931449, 931450, 931453, 931454, 931456, 931457, 931458, 931459, 931464, 931465, 931467, 931468, 931469, 931455, 931461, 931463, 931470, 931472, 931473.