Montana, 2021

Heavy Snow and High Wind in Montana, December 11 to 13, 2021

December 11 to 13, 2021 · NWS TFX · 19 events in 16 counties and zones

A strong pressure gradient, coupled with strong 60-80 knot winds at the mid levels, resulted in yet another round of gusty winds across the Plains of North-Central Montana, as well as a few areas in Southwest Montana, particularly in Madison County. Some snow also fell with this system, with 12 inches of snow reported at Teton Pass Ski Resort and 14 inches along the MT-ID border near West…

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
19

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A strong pressure gradient, coupled with strong 60-80 knot winds at the mid levels, resulted in yet another round of gusty winds across the Plains of North-Central Montana, as well as a few areas in Southwest Montana, particularly in Madison County. Some snow also fell with this system, with 12 inches of snow reported at Teton Pass Ski Resort and 14 inches along the MT-ID border near West Yellowstone.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 10, 10:07 PM MST, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 10, 10:07 PM MST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1007 PM MST Fri Dec 10 2021

...Aviation Section Updated...

.SYNOPSIS...

Strong southwesterly winds develop overnight and continue through
Saturday, accompanied by moderating temperatures. Most areas will
remain dry but accumulating snow is forecast along the eastern
slopes of the Rocky Mountain Front. Areas of snow will expand
across the Southwest Montana mountain ranges on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.EVENING UPDATE...

The Winter Storm Warning for the Northern Rocky Mountain Front was
upgraded to a Blizzard Warning, given all the criteria required are
anticipated tonight through Sunday morning leading to blowing snow
and drifting now, creating whiteout conditions. The High Wind Watch
for Madison County was canceled. All other known highlights remain
unchanged. Otherwise, the forecast is handling the current situation
well; therefore, not requiring any adjustments this update. - Pierce

&&

.AVIATION...
1007 PM MST Fri Dec 10 2021 (11/06Z TAF period)

VFR conditions prevail throughout the region this TAF period.
Mountain obscuration is forecast, especially along the Rocky
Mountain Front, as low- to mid-level cloudiness persist, and the
increase of wintry precipitation through the period. Predominately
southwesterly winds are expected to increase over the region tonight
and into the morning, introducing mountain wave turbulence across
the Rocky Mountain Front and immediate adjacent plains. Most
terminals may also experience periods of low-level wind shear.

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 430 PM MST Fri Dec 10 2021/

Cool but mainly sunny conditions prevailed today as an upper
level shortwave trough moved away to the east. Surface pressure
analysis is showing pressure falls over southern Alberta. This
trend will continue as upper level winds continue to strengthen.
Mid-level winds reach 60 to 80kt overnight, enabling downslope
surface winds to strengthen overnight. Surface winds are expected
to peak Saturday morning and through the afternoon hours, with
confidence for the strong wind remaining highest for the Rocky
Mountain Front, the highway 200 corridor from Great Falls into
Judith Basin county, and Chouteau county. Most of these areas have
a 60 percent or greater chance for gusts reaching or exceeding 48
kts, with 80% or greater chance for wind gusts reaching or
exceeding 56 kts in the Cut Bank, Browning, East Glacier, and
Heart Butte areas. High wind Warnings continue for these areas.
Strong winds are also expected across Southwest Montana on
Saturday. However, probabilistic guidance indicates the strongest
wind gusts exceeding 55mph are expected to remain over higher
terrain, with 35 to 50 mph gusts through the valleys. The high
wind watch that had been in effect for Madison County has been
cancelled. Those heading out for backcountry recreation should be
prepared for blowing snow and deepening wind loaded slabs on
leeward slopes.

Moisture is also increasing with the stronger westerly flow.
Orographic snow will develop up the Continental Divide, with
downwind transport out to the edge of the adjacent plains. Snow
amounts of 6-12 inches may be possible along portions of Highway
89 in western Glacier County. Snow amounts will increase rapidly
for those heading west on Highway 2 from East Glacier up to Marias
Pass. The combination of snow and blowing snow in high winds will
create very difficult conditions for travel in this area. A
winter storm warning remains in effect overnight through Saturday.
Snow may linger in this area through Sunday, while further
expanding across mountain areas of Southwest Montana. PN

Sunday night through next Friday...The pressure gradient relaxes
some by Sunday across the region for lighter winds with
temperatures cooling some, but remaining above seasonal averages
through Monday under a southwest flow aloft ahead of a trough
nearing the west coast. Medium range ensembles continue to bring
the Pacific trough inland by the middle of next week, spreading
better chances for accumulating snow and a period of colder
temperatures. The placement of the low pressure system will have a
big impact on how much snow falls and these details will be
worked out over the next few days. -RCG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  37  25  44  32 /   0   0   0  10
CTB  31  21  39  25 /   0  10  10  30
HLN  33  23  44  30 /   0   0  10  20
BZN  34  17  39  27 /  10   0  10  10
WYS  21   8  23  19 /  20  10  50  80
DLN  28  16  36  25 /   0   0  10  30
HVR  29  18  42  27 /   0   0   0   0
LWT  32  16  39  28 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM MST Saturday
Cascade...Chouteau...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Judith
Basin...Toole.

High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST Saturday Eastern Glacier...
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

Blizzard Warning from 2 AM Saturday to 11 AM MST Sunday Northern
Rocky Mountain Front.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 10, 8:31 PM MST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
831 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE BROWNING           48.54N 112.98W
12/10/2021  M66 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTBWG BROWNING (MT DOT).

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 10, 10:12 PM MST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1012 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W BYNUM              47.98N 112.61W
12/10/2021  M72 MPH          TETON              MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DELMT DELLWO (MCSCN).

&&

Event by event

16 high wind, 2 heavy snow, 1 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Broadwater

When
December 11, 1:15 AM MST
Where
Broadwater forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Sensor 14 miles east of Townsend recorded a wind gust of 60 mph. This was the only report in the county through the event.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 11, 1:30 AM MST to 9:30 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
76 kt (87 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Widespread high winds. Peak wind gust of 88 mph recorded by a mesonet station along the Rocky Mountain Front (dellwo).

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 11, 5:00 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
72 kt (83 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Wind gusts along the Rocky Mountain Front exceed 80 mph through the day, with isolated wind gusts over 90 mph at Deep Creek RAWS.

High Wind, Eastern Teton

When
December 11, 5:00 AM MST to 4:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) estimated sustained
Reported by
COOP Observer

Estimated high sustained winds of 40 mph from about 5 am until about 4 pm. Peak wind gust estimated around 55 mph during that time.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
December 11, 5:56 AM MST to 9:56 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Cut Bank ASOS reports high wind gusts through at least 10 am.

High Wind, Chouteau

When
December 11, 6:15 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Winds across Choteau County gusted over 60 mph, starting at 6:15 and lasting through at least noon. Highest report occurred at noon at a mesonet station 10.2 miles south of Loma.

High Wind, Judith Basin

When
December 11, 6:23 AM MST to 8:45 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Wind gusts to 65 mph were measured across Judith Basin County through the day, with the highest wind gust of 65 mph recorded at Benchland at 8:45 pm.

High Wind, Fergus

When
December 11, 7:52 AM MST to 9:52 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Sporadic high wind gusts over 58 mph were recorded across Fergus County, with the peak wind gust of 68 mph recorded 7 ENE of Denton at 8:58 am.

Heavy Snow, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 11, 8:00 AM MST to December 12, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Teton Ski resort in the mountains reported 12 inches of new snow.

High Wind, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
December 11, 8:15 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS

Isolated wind gusts to 60 mph occurred in Southern Lewis and Clark County.

High Wind, Toole

When
December 11, 10:00 AM MST to 2:00 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Multiple high wind gusts to 75 mph across the county. Highest wind gust (75 mph) was recorded 3 miles SE of Sunburst.

High Wind, Hill

When
December 11, 10:15 AM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station 6.4 miles SW of Havre reports wind gust of 66 mph.

High Wind, Gallatin

When
December 11, 10:30 AM MST to 2:45 PM MST
Where
Gallatin forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Wind gusts between 58-61 mph were recorded across Gallatin County between 10:30 am and 2:45 pm on 12/11/21.

High Wind, Madison

When
December 11, 11:27 AM MST to 12:27 PM MST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Norris hill recorded high wind gusts to 71 mph around for about an hour either side of noon.

High Wind, Cascade

When
December 11, 11:50 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Great Falls ASOS (kgtf) recorded a wind gust of 62 mph.

Heavy Snow, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 11, 12:00 PM MST to December 12, 1:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL

Automated SNOTEL equipment at Mount Lockhart estimated an event total of 16 inches of new snow. Equipment at Waldron estimated an event total of 11 inches of new snow. Equipment at Many Glacier estimated an event total of 7 inches of new snow. Equipment at Badger Pass estimated an event total of 9 inches of new snow.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
December 11, 1:00 PM MST to 2:45 PM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station 6 miles NW of Ledger reports high wind gusts to 71 mph.

High Wind, Liberty

When
December 11, 1:56 PM MST to 4:38 PM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Isolated wind gusts to 60 mph occurred in Liberty county.

Winter Weather, Gallatin

When
December 12, 5:40 AM MST to December 13, 5:40 AM MST
Where
Gallatin forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Social media report of 14 inches of snow west of West Yellowstone. Appears to have been an isolated report.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 995112, 996677, 996625, 996654, 996624, 996593, 996627, 996606, 996681, 996628, 996660, 996626, 996622, 996631, 995113, 1076197, 996645, 996630, 996684.