Montana, 2021Damaging Wind in Montana, August 30, 2021
August 30, 2021 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
On August 30, a weak shower moved over Bozeman, MT, and collapsed in the very dry air mass near the surface. The resulting downburst winds were measured at 79 mph at the Belgrade Airport.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
On August 30, a weak shower moved over Bozeman, MT, and collapsed in the very dry air mass near the surface. The resulting downburst winds were measured at 79 mph at the Belgrade Airport.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 30, 1:57 PM MST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 1:57 PM MST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
257 PM MDT Mon Aug 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
An increasing southwest breeze will bring haze and wildfire smoke
back into Southwest Montana. An isolated overnight light rain
shower is possible near or east of the Havre area. Otherwise,
mild, dry, and breezy conditions continue through Tuesday.
Temperatures turn cooler on Wednesday following a dry cold front.
This front will also help clear the haze and smoke from the
region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Satellite imagery shows increasing wildfire smoke returning to
Southwest Montana on the dry southwesterly flow aloft. Scattered
cumulus are developing over mountain ridgetops. These most likely
do not have enough moisture to develop into showers, but some of
the latest CAM guidance carries a slight chance for light showers
into north-central Montana overnight. Although excessively dry,
there is a subtle upper level shortwave that may be able to
support some of this activity.
On Tuesday the southwesterly flow aloft strengthens with a
deepening synoptic scale trough over the Pacific Northwest.
Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions develop Tuesday
afternoon, especially over ridgetop areas exposed to the
increasing mid-level winds and where humidity will remain low.
Most areas on Tuesday afternoon should see minimum relative
humidity drop well into the teens. A dry cold front works through
the region on Tuesday, turning winds to west or northwest and
increasing for a short time due to pressure rises behind the
front. PN
Wednesday through next Monday...The low pressure trough axis
is forecast to generally remain over Alberta through the Pacific
Northwest to off the California coast at least through the day on
Thursday. This will keep the forecast area under the southwesterly
flow aloft, which will keep a chance for showers and
thunderstorms at times mainly over the area along and east of a
Havre to Dillon line, but it will also keep temperatures below
normal. Forecast models then diverge on solutions for Friday
through the Labor Day holiday weekend, so will stay with the
consensus solution of the National Blend of Models (NBM). This
keeps a chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly over southwest
Montana on Friday, likely due to a more westerly flow aloft
returning to the area as weak high pressure ridging moves into the
area. This ridging should help keep the area dry through Sunday,
as temperatures warm back up to near normal with periods of breezy
westerly winds. However, a weak low pressure trough will then
cool temperatures a bit as it brings a chance for showers for
Labor Day (Monday).
-Coulston
&&
.AVIATION...
1125 AM MDT Mon Aug 30 2021 (30/18Z TAF period)
VFR conditions will continue through at least the next 24 hours.
Visible satellite imagery shows dispersed wildfire smoke drifting
towards SW Montana, but should not result in visibility restrictions
below 8SM at area terminals. High clouds begin to develop later this
afternoon and evening, particularly across SW Montana, with a slight
chance for isolated light rain showers, mainly over mountain areas.
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 49 82 42 74 / 0 0 10 0
CTB 48 72 39 68 / 0 0 0 0
HLN 52 83 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
BZN 47 86 42 76 / 0 0 0 0
WYS 33 76 35 72 / 0 0 0 10
DLN 45 82 39 76 / 0 0 0 0
HVR 53 83 46 74 / 10 0 20 0
LWT 51 83 46 72 / 10 10 20 0
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
Thunderstorm Wind, Gallatin
- When
- August 30, 4:16 PM MST
- Where
- Gallatin County, 0.84 mi NW of (Bzn)gallatin Fld Bo
- Measured
- 69 kt (79 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 45.790, -111.160
Wind gust came from convective clouds with no lightning observed. KTFX/KBLX radars showed only 20 to 25 DBZ echoes.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in Mississippi, August 30, 20213 deaths · 7 injured · $1.8 million · 2 events
- Flash Flooding in Virginia, August 30, 20211 death · $2.5 million · 2 events
- Lightning Strike in New Jersey, August 30, 20211 death · 6 injured · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Hail in North Dakota, August 30, 2021$2.3 million · 3 in hail · 23 events
- Hail in Iowa, August 30, 2021$233,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in West Virginia, August 30, 2021$115,000 · 12 events
- Hail in South Dakota, August 30, 2021$76,000 · 1.75 in hail · 15 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in California, August 30, 2021$90,000 · 50 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Virginia, August 30, 2021$36,000 · 50 kt wind · 20 events
- Tropical Storm in Louisiana, August 30, 2021$80,000 · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flow in Kentucky, August 30, 2021$65,000 · 6 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Nebraska, August 30 to 31, 20212.5 in hail · 29 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 971538.