Idaho, 2021Winter Weather in Idaho, February 19 to 23, 2021
February 19 to 23, 2021 · NWS PIH · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
Another wind event closed roads in eastern Idaho. Winds gusted 45 to 55 mph and closed US Highway 26 and Idaho Highways 32 and 33.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Another wind event closed roads in eastern Idaho. Winds gusted 45 to 55 mph and closed US Highway 26 and Idaho Highways 32 and 33.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 19, 1:17 PM MST, 6 hours 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 1:17 PM MST, 6 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
117 PM MST Fri Feb 19 2021
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday night.
We're sitting in the warm sector this afternoon with a
few isolated snow showers still drifting through the region. A cold
front will arrive Saturday morning. In advance of that front, expect
to see showers increase tonight. The eastern highlands still looks
like they receive the best snowfall amounts tonight into tomorrow
morning. But, the model qpf has picked up on the showery nature of
tonight's event and as a result the forecast snowfall amounts have
gone down in the valleys but remain reasonably high near pass level.
As mentioned in yesterday's discussion, expect snowfall tonight to
be feast or famine. Where the heavier bands/showers set up will see
the more impressive amounts but some areas will see very little.
With that said plan on expanding the advisory in the eastern
highlands to include the Ashton Hill to Island Park stretch. Expect
winds to increase late tonight into tomorrow morning which may
produce some blowing and drifting issues across the eastern highland
areas. Snow amounts look less in the Snake Plain south of Rexburg
where too much warm air will work in resulting in an inch or less of
snow. The central mountains from Bellevue up to Stanley should see 1
to 3 inches with an inch or less expected for the remainder of the
central mountains.
Light snow showers may persist across the high country through the
weekend as we remain in the moist northwest flow. But amounts look
fairly light. Temperatures in the forecast may be too warm for
Sunday as the models may not be fully accounting for current
snowpack.
13
.LONG TERM...Monday through next Friday night. Deterministic and
ensemble guidance remain in solid agreement through Friday before
some differences emerge. Overall, the forecast has changed little
through this time. Moist northwest flow is expected to remain in
place through Monday evening, maintaining high-elevation snow
showers, with local enhancement on northwest-facing slopes. Winds
will increase through the day, with a modest warm-up favored for the
downslope corridor across the southern Snake Plain from Burley to
Blackfoot, where highs in the 40s may be achieved. A strong cold
front will then swing through the area Tuesday morning, bringing a
chance for snow showers to the Snake Plain and eastern Magic Valley.
Combined with gusty winds and falling temperatures, this remains a
period where travel could get a bit dicey. Moist northwest flow will
once again become re-established by late Tuesday/early Wednesday
across the region in the face of low-level cold advection. Snow
showers will once again be favored for mainly high-terrain areas
with some local northwest-facing slope enhancement. Breezy
conditions will likely remain, especially across the southern Snake
Plain. High elevation snow showers should gradually taper off
through the day Wednesday as shortwave ridging gradually builds in.
Pattern recognition and WPC clusters indicate there is some
potential for temperatures to be a bit colder than currently
forecast in the Tuesday night-Wednesday night period -- especially
for typical cold spots where cold air drains/pools. By Thursday,
another low pressure system is seen approaching from the west, and
current indications suggest precipitation will develop from west to
east across the region by late Thursday. This system bears some
resemblance to our Tuesday system, with cold, moist northwest flow
expected to re-develop in its wake by Friday-Saturday. There remain
some differences in the strength and timing of trailing troughing
that is expected to develop across the Great Basin in this system's
wake, so future adjustments to precipitation timing, coverage and
temperatures are possible during this period.
AD
&&
.AVIATION...The aviation forecast through the period will be
challenging. To start things off this afternoon, freezing drizzle
and associated IFR CIGs has developed where mid-level moisture has
stripped away across the northern Snake Plain. This has impacted the
KIDA terminal this afternoon. High-resolution guidance suggests this
may continue through the 22-00Z timeframe. MVFR stratus remains in
place at KPIH and KDIJ -- and this may linger through a similar
timeframe, and possibly beyond. A shortwave trough will zip east
across the region tonight, bringing a round of showers to area
terminals tonight. Due to the spotty nature of this activity, have
timed the start and end of this activity using a high-resolution
ensemble blend, which places the most likely timeframe for showers
generally between 02-09Z across the area. It is possible for showers
to begin earlier than this (especially KBYI) and end later than this
(especially KDIJ). Went with a blanket MVFR predominant group, but
given the expected spotty/convective nature of the activity, there
will be times with VFR conditions overnight interspersed with
periods of IFR conditions, with briefly worse conditions possible
under the heavier showers. Will need to address this with TEMPOs and
amendments as necessary tonight. IFR or MVFR stratus is then
expected to build across the Snake Plain after the passage of the
shortwave disturbance, mainly after 09Z. A weak Snake Plain
convergence band is then expected to spread a renewed round of SNSH
activity across KIDA, KDIJ and possibly as far south as KPIH during
the mid-morning hours. Gusty W/SW winds will develop after the
passage of the shortwave trough as well, with winds expected to
increase into the 15-25kt range with occasionally higher gusts
through the day.
AD
&&
.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon MST
Saturday for IDZ060-063>066.
&&
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 19, 5:24 PM MST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
524 PM MST FRI FEB 19 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM AVALANCHE 7 W KETCHUM 43.69N 114.52W
02/19/2021 BLAINE ID BROADCAST MEDIA
*** 1 FATAL *** A SNOWMOBILER WAS KILLED IN AN AVALANCHE
IN THE SMILEY CREEK DRAINAGE, ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GALENA SUMMIT. TIME OF THE AVALANCHE IS ESTIMATED.
&&
MCKAUGHANWinter Weather, Caribou Range
- When
- February 19, 8:00 PM MST to February 20, 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Caribou Range forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 42.815, -111.502 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph caused blowing and drifting snow and whiteouts and US Highway 26 closed from Ririe to Swan Valley on the 23rd.
Winter Weather, Teton Valley
- When
- February 19, 8:00 PM MST to February 20, 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Teton Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 43.924, -111.450 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph caused blowing and drifting snow and whiteouts which caused Idaho Highway 33 to be closed from Newdale to Tetonia and Idaho Highway 32 to be closed from Ashton to Tetonia on the 23rd. Ashton Elementary and North Fremont High School closed on the 23rd due to road conditions.
Winter Weather, Upper Snake River Plain
- When
- February 22, 8:00 PM MST to February 23, 9:00 PM MST
- Where
- Upper Snake River Plain forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 43.805, -111.767 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph caused drifting snow and whiteout conditions. US Highway 26 closed from Ririe to Swan Valley on the 23rd and Idaho Highway 33 closed from Newdale to Tetonia.
- Winter Weather
- Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm and Avalanche in Idaho, February 19 to 20, 20211 death · 4 events
- Avalanche in Idaho, February 19, 20211 death · 1 event
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, February 19 to 20, 20216 events
- Winter Storm in Michigan, February 19 to 20, 20214 events
- Winter Storm in Wyoming, February 19 to 20, 20213 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, February 19, 202150 kt wind · 3 events
- High Wind and Winter Weather in Nevada, February 19 to 20, 202152 kt wind · 3 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, February 19 to 20, 20212 events
- Winter Weather in Michigan, February 19, 20211 event
- Marine Thunderstorm Wind in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, February 19, 20211 event
- Waterspout in Gulf of Mexico, February 19, 20211 event
- Marine Thunderstorm Wind in Gulf of Mexico, February 19, 20211 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 945340, 945346, 945337.