Guam, 2021Drought in Guam, April 1 to 30, 2021
April 1 to 30, 2021 · NWS GUM · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Drought continues across portions of Micronesia.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Drought continues across portions of Micronesia.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Guam wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 8:11 AM UTC, 5 hours 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 8:11 AM UTC, 5 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
611 PM ChST Wed Mar 31 2021
.Marianas Synopsis...
Partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and gentle trade winds
prevail across the Marianas this evening. Buoys show seas between 5
and 6 feet.
&&
.Discussion...
An overall dry pattern continues across the Marianas. Portions of the
islands did receive a measurable rain today as light to gentle trade
winds allowed island convection to form. For Rota, Tinian and
Saipan, most of the rain fell over the center of the islands while
western Guam saw the most rainfall. Winds are expected to be a bit
stronger Thursday. This will likely limit island convection, with
the showers that do develop pushing off the west coast of the
islands. Therefore, drier conditions are expected over the next
couple of days. Latest model guidance does show decreasing winds
Sunday and Monday. If this pattern continues, the islands may see a
repeat of island convection on those days. The main limiting factor
could be moisture. For now, forecast soundings are showing PWAT
values increasing to nearly 2 inches by Monday. If this occurs,
rainfall could be greater than the islands saw today. Other than the
island convection, gentle winds, spotty showers and partly cloudy
skies are expected over the next week.
&&
.Marine...
Mainly gentle trade winds are expected through the beginning of next
week, with light winds possible Sunday and Monday. Combined seas of 4
to 6 feet tonight will subside slightly to between 3 and 5 feet by
Thursday, then remain at these levels through the weekend.
&&
.Fire weather...
A fairly dry pattern is expected to continue for the next several
days. Island convection did bring some needed rain to parts of the
island today, mainly western and southern Guam, with some locations
receiving a wetting rain. This will do little to mitigate the fire
danger over the next several days. The good news is that winds are
expected to remain fairly low, less than 15 mph, through the
beginning of next week. Therefore, no fire weather watches or red
flag warnings are expected. Island convection could bring a wetting
rain to portions of Guam again Sunday into Monday. The KBDI continues
to rise in the high category and now stands at 691.
&&
.Eastern Micronesia...
Moderate trade winds are seen across the region. Convergent trade
flow is linking up with upper-level divergent westerlies to maintain
showery weather at Pohnpei and Kosrae this evening. A surface trough
is seen well east of Majuro near the dateline.
The slight surge in the trade winds that passed through the
Marshalls yesterday pulsed through Kosrae today. This feature is
expected to reach Pohnpei on Thursday but in a weaker state.
Otherwise, bouts of showery weather are expected to continue for
both Pohnpei and Kosrae as the convergent trade flow meanders its
way westward between 4N and 8N. There is some support for a break on
Thursday for Kosrae and Thursday night for Pohnpei, but confidence
is not particularly high. The surface trough will increase clouds and
showers for Majuro on Thursday. Saw enough support in the model
guidance to mention the possibility of gusts to 30 kt near heavier
convection. That said, the brunt of the showers look to hold off
until the afternoon. Periods of showery weather may linger through
the weekend as convergent trade lingers in the area.
East to northeast trade swell and wind waves will continue to
dominate for the foreseeable future. A longer period northeast swell
will build Saturday into Sunday. Guidance suggests 4 to 5 feet at 12
to 13 seconds during the peak Sunday, before tapering off the first
part of next week.
&&
.Western Micronesia...
Gentle to moderate trade winds are seen across the region with
a fragmented near-equatorial trough south of the main islands.
Fair weather remains in place for Palau and Yap this evening while
pockets of convergent trade flow continue to generate patchy showers
around Chuuk lagoon.
Chuuk: Shower coverage is expected to remain isolated tonight and
Thursday as convection clings to western Chuuk state and deeper
convection around Pohnpei. Showery weather looks to return this
weekend as the disturbances across eastern Micronesia trek westward
and convergent trade flow consolidates near Weno. There is some
support that showery weather may return by Friday but guidance
between GFS and ECMWF differs. Longer period east-northeast trade
swell will maintain seas of 5 feet.
Palau and Yap: Fair weather is still expected the next few days as
evidenced by the 00Z soundings, satellite and model guidance.
Shallow island convection is likely around southern Babeldaob with
the light winds and ample boundary layer moisture. A weak, elongated
circulation is located across eastern Yap state near 4N142E.
Convergent trade flow north of this feature will likely increase
showers for Palau and Yap early next week. Seas fall about a foot
later this week to around 3 feet.
&&
.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&
Marianas: Kleeschulte
Micronesia: Bukunt
Drought, Micronesia
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM GST to April 15, 12:00 AM GST
- Where
- Micronesia forecast zone
- Reported by
- Local Official
A very wet April brought much needed relief to Kapingamarangi. 3.53 inches of rainfell fell over Kapingamarangi which is 108 percent of average. This rainfall allowed this location to go from D2 to D1. Crops and vegetation continue to recover after nearly a year of |inadequate rainfall. Quality of well water is unknown.
Drought, Marshall Islands
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM GST to April 30, 11:59 PM GST
- Where
- Marshall Islands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
February was a dry month for Kwajalein with rainfall only 60 percent of average. 6.21 inches fell both in March and again in April which is 174 and 107 percent of average respectively. Even though rainfall amounts have improved the earlier dry condition weigh on the area and Kwajalein went from D1 to D2
Water conservation measures are in place across the far northern Marshall Islands. The most impacted islands have strict drinking water conservation measures in place while reserving well water for other needs. Residents from the remote islets of Mejatto and Ebadon are collecting water from RO units on Kwajalein. Some crops are yellowing.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Drought in New Mexico, April 1 to 30, 202141 events
- Drought in North Dakota, April 1 to 30, 202129 events
- Frost and Freeze in Kentucky, April 1 to 3, 202122 events
- Drought in Colorado, April 1 to 30, 202121 events
- Frost and Freeze in Illinois, April 1 to 3, 202119 events
- Drought in New Mexico, April 1 to 30, 202117 events
- Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 202115 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, April 1, 202114 events
- Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 202114 events
- Drought in Arizona, April 1 to 30, 202114 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 949404, 949406.