California, 2021High Wind and Heavy Rain in California, May 15 to 17, 2021
May 15 to 17, 2021 · NWS SGX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A closed upper-low pressure system produced widespread measurable rainfall across Southern California, breezy winds across the mountains and deserts and record low high temperatures.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A closed upper-low pressure system produced widespread measurable rainfall across Southern California, breezy winds across the mountains and deserts and record low high temperatures.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 14, 7:52 PM PST, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 7:52 PM PST, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
852 PM PDT Fri May 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure system from the northwest will move slowly across
California this weekend. This system will bring cooler weather,
along with gusty westerly winds across our mountains and deserts.
The marine layer will slowly deepen and generate patchy drizzle or
light rain showers at times, and fog on the coastal slopes of the
mountains. Warmer and drier weather will develop early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
Marine clouds cleared the coast again by afternoon, but began
filling back in from the south by 3 PM. At 7 PM PDT...the large
area of the California Bight that had cleared earlier, was rapidly
filling in and the clouds were spreading rapidly inland this
evening. Our 00Z Miramar sounding had a 6.5C inversion based near
2500 FT and winds wee light and variable below 6K FT. Onshore sfc
pressure gradients were strengthening and supporting strong and
gusty winds again, mainly near the passes. Strongest were near the
San Gorgonio Pass at 25-30 MPH with gusts nearing 50 MPH. No
forecast changes this evening.
From previous discussion...
Expect patchy drizzle late tonight and Saturday morning. A low
pressure trough will deepen today over Oregon and dive south through
California this weekend. It will enhance the marine layer, extending
clouds even farther inland and up the mountain slopes. A coastal
eddy circulation will develop to assist that process. Cooler air
aloft will replace the hot desert air in cold front fashion.
Temperatures near the coast won't change much, but they will fall
inland, especially in the deserts over the weekend. By Sunday, the
upper trough will be over California, and max temps will be in the
50s in the mountains, 60s and lower 70s in the coastal basin, lower
70s in the high desert and 80s in the low desert. Yes, it will be
that cool. Cloud coverage will be similar, filling at least the
coastal basin each night and morning. Coastal areas may struggle to
clear fully on Saturday, while inland areas will struggle to clear
fully Sunday. Winds will pick up in the mountains and deserts during
the afternoons and evenings Saturday and Sunday with the trough
passage. Right now they don't appear hazardous, with top gusts in
the favored mountain passes 40-50 mph. Actual light rain showers are
possible early Sunday morning, but then the chance of showers
appears to migrate inland into foothills later Sunday into the
evening. Total precipitation will be less than one tenth inch, but
locally higher in foothills. The trough moves out Monday, so the
deep marine layer will begin to tamp down Tuesday into Wednesday.
High pressure aloft will bring warmer weather, with temperatures
closer to normal by midweek, and the marine layer and its cloud
coverage a little more confined and less monstrous. Ensembles
indicate a western trough deepening Wednesday or Thursday, and
differ on exact timing and strength. Either way, we'll flip the see-
saw back toward the cooler, cloudier solution, just not as profound
as this weekend's outcome. Enjoy the May Gray.
&&
.AVIATION...
150315Z...Coast/Valleys...OVC018-023 tops 028 filling in all areas
west of the mountains through 14Z Sat. Areas of vis 2-4 miles in
FG/HZ in the eastern valleys through 19Z where clouds and terrain
intersect. Clearing from inland back to the coast 17Z-21Z.
Mountains/Deserts...Mostly clear with unrestricted vis through
Saturday.
&&
.MARINE...
No hazardous marine weather is expected through Tuesday.
&&
.BEACHES...
A long period south swell from 200 degrees will arrive late Saturday
and peak Sunday morning at 3 ft/17 sec. This will produce elevated
surf of 4-6 ft on south-southwest facing beaches of Orange County
and far northern San Diego County. Strong rip and longshore currents
are likely at most beaches Sunday into Monday. Swell and surf lower
through the day Monday. Another south swell arrives late Tuesday and
peaks Wednesday for another round of elevated surf and a high risk
of rip currents.
&&
.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC...10
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...Moede
Heavy Rain, San Bernardino
- When
- May 15, 12:00 AM PST to May 17, 11:59 PM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 0.93 mi S of Cedar Pines
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.236, -117.320
CRR1 Paivika Ridge (elevation 5298) reported a 48 hour precipitation amount of 0.84 inch.
High Wind, San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning
- When
- May 15, 9:00 AM PST to May 17, 6:00 AM PST
- Where
- San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning forecast zone
- Measured
- 63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 33.744, -115.994 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Strong westerly winds impacted the San Gorgonio Pass from mid-morning on May 15 through the early-morning hours on May 17. Widespread wind gusts of 40-65 mph occurred. The highest wind gust of the event occurred near Whitewater, where a 72 mph wind gust was reported at 0140 AM on May 17.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Cold in California, May 15 to 16, 20212 deaths · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nevada, May 15, 2021$500,000 · 1.5 in hail · 6 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in New Mexico, May 15, 2021$260,000 · 1.75 in hail · 7 events
- Flood and Hail in Nebraska, May 15, 2021$20,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Texas, May 15, 2021$900 · 2 in hail · 10 events
- Tornado and Hail in Iowa, May 15, 2021$13,000 · EF0 · 2 events
- Hail in Wisconsin, May 15, 20211.25 in hail · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Kansas, May 15, 20211.75 in hail · 3 events
- Tornado and Hail in Iowa, May 15, 20210.88 in hail · 2 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, May 15, 20212 events
- Flood and Hail in Texas, May 15, 20211.25 in hail · 2 events
- Tornado in South Dakota, May 15, 20211 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 960644, 960639.