California, 2021

Winter Storm and Winter Weather in California, March 14 to 19, 2021

March 14 to 19, 2021 · NWS STO · 6 events in 2 counties and zones

An active weather pattern set up over northern California from March 14-19, with a series of troughs passing over the region. The main impacts reported from these storms systems were moderate amounts of mountain and foothill snow, which lead to chain controls and travel delays.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

An active weather pattern set up over northern California from March 14-19, with a series of troughs passing over the region. The main impacts reported from these storms systems were moderate amounts of mountain and foothill snow, which lead to chain controls and travel delays. Light to moderate Valley rain and thunderstorms were forecast as well; however, no significant reports were received.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 2:54 AM PST, 8 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 2:54 AM PST, 8 hours 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
354 AM PDT Sun Mar 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A weather system will move into northern California late Sunday
and into Monday, bringing with it the next opportunity for Valley
rain and mountain snow showers. Dry weather is forecast for
Tuesday and Wednesday before renewed precipitation chances return
on Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered to broken high clouds are traversing over northern
California this early Sunday morning as the next storm system
approaches the coast. The effects of these high clouds are already
realized at the surface as temperatures are generally running a
few/several degrees warmer compared to 24 hours prior. In the
immediate short-term over the next 6-12 hours, weather-related
impacts will remain minimal as we wait for the onset of
precipitation.

Upper level trough positioned west of California will dig south
and east over the next 24 hours, and will bring with it our next
chance of precipitation. Initially, rain and snow will develop in
the afternoon hours across far northwest California, first
impacting parts of Shasta, Tehama, and Glenn Counties in our area.
As the evening and overnight hours progress, precipitation will
expand south and east over the Valley and into the Sierra Nevada
and southern Cascades. Winter Storm Warning goes into effect for
the mountains of Shasta County, the southern Cascades and the
northern Sierra at 5 pm PDT today, while a Winter Weather Advisory
goes into effect for the Coastal Range at 5 pm PDT. While
portions of the Coastal Range will likely see snow begin before 5
pm, the ever-increasing March sun angle as we approach the equinox
plus the warmer pavement temperatures will likely prevent
immediate snow accumulations on roadways until the sun lowers and
temperatures cool.

High resolution models advertise the heaviest precipitation
overnight Sunday and into early Monday as the front pushes through
northern California. Additionally, snow levels will plummet
overnight with some minor snow accumulations as low as 1,000 to
1,500 ft in Shasta County, and 1,500 ft to 2,000 ft in the
northern Sierra Nevada. It isn't completely out of the question
that snow levels may drop below 1,000 ft around sunrise Monday in
parts of Shasta County. That said, majority of accumulating
snowfall will occur above 2,500 ft in Shasta County with 6 to 12
inches (locally higher), and above 3,000 ft in the southern
Cascades and northern Sierra Nevada with 6 to 18 inches (locally 2
feet). Rain totals will generally range from 0.25 to 1.25 inches
in the Valley and lower foothills. Motorists with mountain travel
plans today should plan accordingly as road conditions will begin
to deteriorate in the afternoon/evening hours from northwest to
southeast. As always, travelers are encouraged to check with
CalTrans for the updated road conditions.

Precipitation coverage will decrease through the day on Monday
across northern California. Ample cold air aloft and minor
instability will provide opportunity for afternoon showers and
isolated weak thunderstorm development across the Valley. With wet
bulb temperatures at 925 mb (~2700 ft MSL) at/below 0 deg C on
Monday afternoon, convective showers with even minor vertical
growth will have the potential to drop small hail -- similar to
the showers/thunderstorms experienced across portions of the area
last week.

Clearing skies and cold airmass will allow temperatures to drop
off quickly Monday night and into Tuesday morning. Completely
plausible some places in the Valley will see temperatures fall
into the low 30s, possibly even upper 20s. The National Blend of
Models already gives Redding Airport a 62 percent chance of
falling to/below freezing. Temperatures will start to rebound on
Tuesday as a weak ridge builds overhead with afternoon highs in
the low 60s. Dry conditions will continue on Wednesday before the
next opportunity for precipitation arrives overnight/early
Thursday. // Rowe

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Thursday THROUGH Sunday)...
Rossby analysis showing 4 wave pattern across NH Thursday with
longwave off West Coast to progress, per upstream longwave
position. Pacific frontal system modeled to spread widespread
light to moderate precipitation into the CWA Thursday into Friday.
Several short wave troughs progged to follow main baroclinic zone
Saturday and Sunday. Best chances for post-frontal showers
modeled in the foothills, mountains, and northern/central
Sacramento Valley. High temperatures expected to be slightly below
normal through the extended forecast period.

PCH

&&

.AVIATION...
Pac fntl sys movs thru intr NorCal nxt 24 hrs. Dtrtg
conds sprdg fm NW to SE acrs fcst area tda into tngt. Wdsprd MVFR
with areas IFR and lcl LIFR omtns dvlpg aft 18z. Isold aftn tstms
poss in lwr elev.  Areas of Sly sfc wnd gsts to 25 kts in Cntrl Vly
aft 00z Mon with SWly sfc wnd gsts up to 40 kts poss ovr hyr mtn
trrn.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Monday
for Burney Basin / Eastern Shasta County-West Slope Northern
Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas County/Lassen Park.

Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to noon PDT
Monday for Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western
Colusa County.

Winter Storm Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to noon PDT Monday
for Shasta Lake Area / Northern Shasta County.

&&

Event by event

4 winter storm, 2 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
March 14, 11:00 AM PST to March 15, 1:20 PM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Manzanita and Mineral COOP sites reported 14 and 11 inches new snow respectively.

Winter Storm, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
March 14, 11:00 AM PST to March 15, 1:20 PM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

Observers from CoCoRaHS reported located 2.5 E of Shingletown reported 8 inches of snow accumulation.

Winter Storm, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
March 14, 11:00 AM PST to March 15, 4:00 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Caltrans reported 9 inches of new snow accumulation at Kingvale, 12 inches at Soda Springs and Eagle Lakes, and 10 inches at Donner Summit.

Winter Storm, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
March 14, 11:00 AM PST to March 15, 4:00 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Ski resorts across the Sierra Nevada reported between 6 and 14 inches of new snow by 9AM March 15. Dodge Ridge reported 14 inches, Kirkwood and Sierra-at-Tahoe reported 12 inches, Bear Valley reported 10 inches, Squaw/Alpine reported 8 inches, and Sugar Bowl reported 7 inches.

Winter Weather, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
March 18, 7:00 AM PST to March 19, 2:27 AM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Manzanita and Mineral COOP sites reported 3 and 1 inch new snow respectively.

Winter Weather, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
March 18, 10:00 AM PST to March 19, 11:00 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Caltrans reported 8 inches of new snow accumulation at Kingvale, 16 inches at Soda Springs, 4 inches Eagle Lakes, and 18 inches at Donner Summit. These are the storm totals.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in California, March 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 951382, 951383, 951384, 951385, 951386, 951387.