California, 2021Excessive Heat and Heat in California, July 7 to 13, 2021
July 7 to 13, 2021 · NWS HNX · 21 events in 21 counties and zones
A large upper high pressure ridge built into central California between July 7 and July 9 and remained over the region through July 13 before shifting east and allowing for moderating temperatures across the area by July 14. This ridge was responsible for several days of near record heat across the area and resulted in the most significant hot spell across the area since the heat wave of July…
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 21
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A large upper high pressure ridge built into central California between July 7 and July 9 and remained over the region through July 13 before shifting east and allowing for moderating temperatures across the area by July 14. This ridge was responsible for several days of near record heat across the area and resulted in the most significant hot spell across the area since the heat wave of July 16-27, 2006. The main saving grace; however, was that humidity was not as high as it was during the 2006 heat wave which lessened it's destructive impact.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 1:51 AM PST, 8 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 1:51 AM PST, 8 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
251 AM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS...A strong ridge of high pressure will build into central
California during the next few days and remain in control through at
least Tuesday. Excessive heat is likely in the Kern county desert
through the period and at elevations below 5000 feet from Friday
afternoon through Monday afternoon.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Three heat waves have plagued the central California
interior so far this year and it won't be long before another one is
upon us. This next heat wave is looking pretty brutal and could bring
with it record setting maximum temperatures and possible records for
high minimum temperatures this weekend into early next week. Sadly,
our next spell of triple digit heat looks like it could be our longest
one yet this Summer. Its lengthy duration will most certainly stress
heat sensitive individuals and possibly livestock, especially if low
temperatures remain above 80 degrees. If the humidity increases a bit
this will only worsen the level of discomfort, but humidity trends
is something we're less confident as of this writing.
In the near term, temperatures, which so far this week have been
averaging pretty close to normal over much of our CWA, will remain
near seasonable levels again today except in the Kern county desert,
which has been baking in triple digit heat practically every day since
the 26th of June. The heat wave is already underway there and will
expand into the remainder of our CWA by Friday as a strong upper level
ridge of high pressure currently centered over the Great Basin builds
into central and southern California. The ensembles keep this 600 dm
ridge anchored right over central California through at least Tuesday.
It's best to think of this ridge as a very tall mountain of dry, stable
air. Tall mountains are difficult to move and the ensemble suggest that
no weather system will be strong enough to move this mountain of hot,
dry air before the middle of next week.
While this ridge is centered over us, we can expect skies to remain
mostly clear with little more than afternoon cumulus over the highest
elevations of the Sierra during the next several days. High temperatures
of at least 105 degrees will be widespread in the San Joaquin Valley
and lower foothills as early as Thursday. Friday through Monday will
surely be hotter with thermometer readings topping 110 degrees in many
locations of the valley and lower foothills. In the Kern county desert,
afternoon temperatures may approach 120 degrees in the hottest locations
Saturday through Monday.
As long as this strong area of high pressure remains centered over
central California, it will block any northward migration of moisture
from the tropics later this week into early next week. Nonetheless,
we will be keeping an eye on any westward moving tropical waves across
Mexico during this time. It wouldn't take much of a southerly flow to
bring monsoonal moisture this far north, but for now we're going to
rule that out in the 4 to 7 day period. Otherwise, our next heat wave
will peak in intensity this weekend before abating somewhat early next
week. Don't let it fool you, though. Tuesday and Wednesday will also
be downright hot with high temperatures averaging a good 5 to 8 degrees
above normal.
.PROBABILISTIC FORECAST...Here is the chance that the high temperature
will reach 110 degrees at various locations Friday through Monday:
AIRPORT JUNE 9 JUNE 10 JUNE 11 JUNE 12
MCE 5% 25% 25% 10%
MAE 10% 33% 25% 18%
FAT 26% 40% 50% 38%
HJO 25% 38% 63% 50%
BFL 18% 25% 50% 38%
IYK 85% 93% 95% 95%
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions can be expected throughout the central California
interior for at least the next 24 hours.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
On Wednesday July 7 2021... Unhealthy for sensitive groups in
Tulare County and Sequoia National Park and Forest.
Further information is available at Valleyair.org
&&
.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.
&&
.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT
Monday for CAZ198-199.
Excessive Heat Watch from Friday afternoon through Monday
evening for CAZ179>197.
&&
synopsis...Durfee
public/aviation/fw...Durfee
PIO/IDSS...Dudley
weather.gov/hanford
Excessive Heat, Indian Wells Valley
- When
- July 7, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Indian Wells Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 108 and 115 degrees on July 7-9 and between 112 and 120 degrees on July 10-13.
Excessive Heat, Kern County Desert
- When
- July 7, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Kern County Desert forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 108 and 115 degrees on July 7-9 and between 112 and 120 degrees on July 10-13.
Excessive Heat, West Side Hills
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- West Side Hills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, San Joaquin Confluence
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 11, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- San Joaquin Confluence forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11.
Excessive Heat, Merced and Madera
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 11, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Merced and Madera forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11.
Excessive Heat, Western San Joaquin Valley
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Western San Joaquin Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Foggy Bottom
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Foggy Bottom forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Fresno
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Fresno forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Tulare County
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Tulare County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Southern Kings County
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Southern Kings County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Western San Joaquin Valley in Kern County
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Western San Joaquin Valley in Kern County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Eastern San Joaquin Valley in Kern County
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Eastern San Joaquin Valley in Kern County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Excessive Heat, Bakersfield
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Bakersfield forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 107 and 113 degrees on July 9-11 and between 105 and 111 degrees on July 12-13.
Heat, Central Sierra Foothills
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Central Sierra Foothills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 105 and 110 degrees on July 9-13.
Heat, Southern Sierra Foothills
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Southern Sierra Foothills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 105 and 110 degrees on July 9-13.
Heat, Central Sierra
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Central Sierra forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 105 and 110 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
Heat, North Kings River
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- North Kings River forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 105 and 110 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
Heat, Sequoia Kings
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Sequoia Kings forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 105 and 110 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
Heat, Lake Isabella
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Lake Isabella forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 103 and 118 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
Heat, Tehachapi Area
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Tehachapi Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 103 and 118 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
Heat, Fort Tejon
- When
- July 9, 10:00 AM PST to July 13, 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- Fort Tejon forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Daytime highs ranged between 103 and 118 degrees at elevations below 5000 feet on July 9-13.
- Excessive Heat
- Heat at or above the local excessive heat warning criteria, or heat that caused deaths.
- Heat
- Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heavy Rain in Illinois, July 7, 20214 deaths · 1 injured · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Tropical Storm in Florida, July 7 to 8, 20211 death · $3,000 · EF1 · 26 events
- Tornado and Tropical Storm in Georgia, July 7, 202117 injured · EF1 · 9 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Pennsylvania, July 7, 2021$579,000 · 1 in hail · 55 events
- Tornadoes and Tropical Storm in South Carolina, July 7 to 8, 2021$1.1 million · EF1 · 8 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, July 7, 2021$2.0 million · 56 kt wind · 17 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New York, July 7, 2021$185,000 · 1 in hail · 32 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Texas, July 7, 2021$510,000 · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, July 7, 2021$103,000 · 1 in hail · 40 events
- Tropical Storm and Storm Surge in Florida, July 7, 2021$90,000 · 11 events
- Damaging Winds in Maryland, July 7, 2021$75,000 · 60 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, July 7, 2021$45,000 · 1 in hail · 14 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 960895, 960897, 960911, 960914, 960915, 960916, 960918, 960920, 960921, 960922, 960923, 960925, 960927, 960933, 960935, 960936, 960937, 960938, 960940, 960941, 960942.