California, 2021

Drought in California, January 1 to 31, 2021

January 1 to 31, 2021 · NWS STO · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

Northern California typically experiences a wet season, October through May, and a dry season May through September. Last year's water year, October 2019 through September 2020, was one of the driest on records.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

Northern California typically experiences a wet season, October through May, and a dry season May through September. Last year's water year, October 2019 through September 2020, was one of the driest on records. This likely contributed to the U.S. Drought Monitor's decision to place portions of interior northern California into extreme drought on September 29, 2020. Portions of Shasta, Tehama, Butte, Glenn, Colusa, Yolo, Solano, Yuba, Nevada, and Sacramento counties remain placed extreme drought. The rest of interior northern California was placed into severe drought (D2) on December 8; however, the state of California has not announced that these locations are in drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 10:20 PM PST, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 10:20 PM PST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
1020 PM PST Thu Dec 31 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather is expected across the region today and New Year's
with fog development possible tonight into tomorrow morning.
Another weak system will bring a chance of rain and mountain snow
on Friday night into Saturday before the pattern becomes more
active Sunday into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The Evening Update: Skies mostly clear, other than some high clouds
drifting S over Norcal this evening, as the ridge axis along the W
Coast drifts inland. Northerly winds from high pressure lowered the
dewpoints over the region, but the winds should decrease later this
evening as the lower atmosphere decouples. With light Sly winds
returning over the Srn portion of the Vly, the HREF suggests some
IFR wx will return to the Nrn SJV and Srn Sac Vly by/after 12z as
moisture slowly recovers.

Weekend wx system progged to stay mainly N of the I-80 corridor,
with more significant precip holding off until Mon. We may have to
re-adjust the timing of our WSW product in later forecasts.  JHM

Previous Discussion...

Visible satellite shows mostly clear skies over interior Northern
California this afternoon with a few upper level clouds over the
northern counties. Upper level ridging is building over California
early this afternoon which is creating locally gusty north to east
winds. Generally gusts up to 20 to 30 mph will continue through the
afternoon, weakening in the evening hours. Light winds overnight
will allow for Valley fog formation tonight into tomorrow morning,
especially in the southern Sacramento Valley and northern San
Joaquin Valley.

Dry weather is expected through most of the day tomorrow before a
weak weather system makes it's way through the area tomorrow
night through Saturday morning. Mostly light precipitation is
forecast with this system with the majority remaining north of
Highway 50. The upper level flow flattens out over California
Saturday into Sunday. Warm air advection with enough moisture flow
could allow scattered showers to linger Saturday into Sunday.
Best chances of precipitation will be over the mountains and
foothills north of Highway 50. Precipitation amounts of half an
inch to an inch and a half are possible Friday night through
Sunday over the foothills and most of Shasta County except for the
Burney Basin area in eastern Shasta County. Elsewhere,
precipitation amounts are expected to be around a few hundredths
to a quarter of an inch. Snow amounts will remain fairly light at
pass level, generally around a couple of inches, with local
amounts up to 5 to 10 inches over Lassen Park.

The next weather system approaches the west coast later Sunday.
This is expected to be a stronger storm that is expected to begin
impacting interior NorCal late Sunday night. More details below.
-HEC

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Monday THROUGH Thursday)...
Winter storm will likely affect the area Monday and a winter
storm watch has been issued. Some model timing differences remain
with this system, as the GFS depicts an upper low moving across
the Northern Sacramento Valley Monday evening, while the Euro has
a more progressive trough pattern. GFS solution is heavier with
precip and would keep it going through Monday night while Euro
would taper things earlier. In any event expect a significant
winter storm, especially at pass level and above. The heaviest
snow is expected for elevations above 5500 feet with light
accumulation possible down to 4500 feet late Monday night.
Hazardous mountain travel conditions are anticipated with this
storm. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 18 inches, with localized
amounts up to 2 to 3 feet at higher peaks, are possible.

Active pattern continues next week with another significant storm
system possible around Wednesday. Changes in timing and strength
are still possible, so the main takeaway for the extended period
should be that there will be periods of hazardous mountain travel
early next week and possibly multiple feet of snow by mid-week. In
the Valley, expect periods of rain showers with some breaks in
the precipitation. If traveling in the mountains, pay close
attention to the forecast and adjust plans appropriately.

&&

.AVIATION...
Wind gusts to 25 mph possible over the Southern Sacramento and
Northern San Joaquin Valleys through 00z. Winds will diminish to
less than 10 mph overnight. Fog formation possible late night and
early Fri morning hours, although confidence is low given possible
drying from afternoon north winds.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Watch from Sunday evening through Monday evening
for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas
County/Lassen Park.

&&

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Shasta Lake/North Shasta County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Shasta Lake/North Shasta County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

For the month of January, the U.S. Drought Monitor kept the majority of zone 13, which covers Shasta County, in extreme drought (D3). The California Department of Water Resources continues the water allocation of 10% for the State Water Project that started on December 1st.

Drought, Northern Sacramento Valley

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Northern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

For the month of January, the U.S. Drought Monitor kept all of zone 15, portions of Shasta and Tehama counties, into extreme drought (D3).They also noted on this month's call the following impacts for the Sacramento Valley: low groundwater levels, dry stock pond, and poor range-land and pasture conditions. Some ranchers have even stated they've started selling livestock. Additionally, the California Department of Water Resources continues the water allocation of 10% for the State Water Project that started on December 1st.

Drought, Central Sacramento Valley

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Central Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

For the month of January, the U.S. Drought Monitor kept most of Glenn and Colusa, and Sutter counties along with the western portions of Butte and Yuba counties in extreme drought (D3). They also noted on this month's call the following impacts for the Sacramento Valley: low groundwater levels, dry stock pond, and poor range-land and pasture conditions. Some ranchers have even stated they've started selling livestock. Additionally, the California Department of Water Resources continues the water allocation of 10% for the State Water Project that started on December 1st.

Drought, Southern Sacramento Valley

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Southern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

For the month of January, the U.S. Drought Monitor kept all of Yolo County, and portions of Sacramento, Sutter, Solano counties in extreme drought (D3). They also noted on this month's call the following impacts for the Sacramento Valley: low groundwater levels, dry stock pond, and poor range-land and pasture conditions. Some ranchers have even stated they've started selling livestock. Additionally, the California Department of Water Resources continues the water allocation of 10% for the State Water Project that started on December 1st.

Drought, Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

For the month of January, the U.S. Drought Monitor kept all of zone 63, which covers western Tehama, Glenn, and Colusa counties in extreme drought (D3). They also noted on this month's call the following impacts for the Sacramento Valley: low groundwater levels, dry stock pond, and poor range-land and pasture conditions. Some ranchers have even stated they've started selling livestock. Additionally, the California Department of Water Resources continues the water allocation of 10% for the State Water Project that started on December 1st.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in California, January 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 938994, 938995, 938996, 938997, 938998.