Arizona, 2021

Ice Storm in Arizona, December 24 to 27, 2021

December 24 to 27, 2021 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Near continuous low level moisture and sub freezing temperatures created ideal conditions for rim icing above 8500 feet across the Western Mogollon Rim.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

Near continuous low level moisture and sub freezing temperatures created ideal conditions for rim icing above 8500 feet across the Western Mogollon Rim.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 24, 2:40 PM MST, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 2:40 PM MST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
240 PM MST Fri Dec 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Areas of rain and snow will continue to decrease from
west to east today, becoming showery overnight and into Christmas
Day. Another period of wet weather and accumulating mountain snow
arrives Saturday night, through early Sunday. Yet another period
active weather arrives Tuesday and Wednesday, with more widespread
rain and snow showers spreading from west to east.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A sub-tropical moisture plume has moved southeast of
the CWA this afternoon, with a weak SFC cold front stretching from
Yuma to the Four Corners. Snow levels have somewhat stabilized in
the 7000-8000 foot range this afternoon, could drop slightly lower
in any locally intense convective bands through this evening.

Flow aloft flattens pretty quick tonight, with mild hght rises
heading into Christmas Day. This will limit any additional showers
to shallow, upslope activity, with further impacts becoming unlikely
after sunrise Christmas Day.

A second s/wv increase the upslope activity again Saturday night and
early Sunday, for widespread rain and snow showers over central and
western Arizona. Current QPF forecast will result in a few inches of
snow in the high country.

An even colder pattern and sustained period of upslope flow develops
Monday night through Tuesday night/early Wednesday. This will result
in round 3 of rain and snow showers, lower snow levels and perhaps
moderate snow accumulations in the high country.

Breezy to windy conditions exist nearly every day of this forecast
period and wind hazard products may be needed from time to time.
None are in effect at time of publication.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...MVFR/IFR conditions will continue
over the Kaibab Plateau, KGCN-KFLG-KSOW in low clouds and fog/mist.
Showers will decrease, with only isolated activity remaining after
03Z-05Z. South-southwest winds will continue throughout TAF period
with gusts 20-30kts over higher terrain. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A large trough of low pressure will to bring breezy
to windy southwest winds to the area through Sunday. Expect a period
of wetting rain and accumulating snow Saturday night/early Sunday.
Otherwise. isolated to scattered showers, mainly over the higher
terrain.

Monday through Wednesday...Cool and breezy with a chance of showers
on Monday, widespread wetting rain and snow likely by Tuesday and
Wednesday. The snow level will lower during the period as cold air
arrives.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Storm Warning above 7500 feet until 11 PM MST Friday for
AZZ004.

Winter Weather Advisory above 7500 feet until 11 PM MST Friday for
AZZ011.

Winter Weather Advisory above 7000 feet until 5 PM MST this
afternoon for AZZ015-016.

&&

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 24, 12:16 PM MST, 5 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1216 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     SNOW             MOUNTAINAIRE            35.09N 111.66W
12/24/2021  E5.0 INCH        COCONINO           AZ   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT WITH PHOTO FROM FACEBOOK.
            SNOWFALL CONTINUES AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&

NL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 12:19 PM MST, 5 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1219 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1206 PM     SNOW             6 N PARKS               35.35N 111.95W
12/24/2021  E6.0 INCH        COCONINO           AZ   PUBLIC

            FACEBOOK REPORT WITH SNOW ONGOING AT TIME OF
            REPORT.

&&

NL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 12:59 PM MST, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1259 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     SNOW             PARKS                   35.26N 111.95W
12/24/2021  E7.0 INCH        COCONINO           AZ   PUBLIC

            FACEBOOK REPORT WITH PHOTO. LIGHT SNOW
            SHOWERS AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&

NL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 1:04 PM MST, 4 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
104 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             SUNRISE PARK            33.97N 109.56W
12/24/2021  E9.0 INCH        APACHE             AZ   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ESTIMATED STORM TOTAL SO FAR WITH SNOW
            ONGOING AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&

NL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 2:24 PM MST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
224 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0214 PM     SNOW             1 E FOREST LAKES        34.34N 110.79W
12/24/2021  M10.0 INCH       COCONINO           AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AS OF 1414 MST - 10 INCHES WITH SNOW
            ONGOING. CORRECT PREVIOUS REPORT. AS OF 10
            AM - 0.78 INCHES RAIN OVERNIGHT 12/23 THAT
            TRANSITIONED TO SNOW AROUND 0500 MST. 8
            INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR. SNOW ONGOING.

&&

NL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 2:59 PM MST, 3 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
259 PM MST FRI DEC 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     SNOW             1 NNW PINETOP-LAKESIDE  34.16N 109.97W
12/24/2021  M2.2 INCH        NAVAJO             AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT FROM 1 NNW
            PINETOP-LAKESIDE. SPOTTER N297. STILL LIGHT
            SNOWFALL AFTER TIME OF REPORT.

&&

NL

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 ice storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Ice Storm, Western Mogollon Rim

When
December 24, 6:00 PM MST to December 27, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Rim ice coated NWR transmission equipment on Mt Elden just northeast of Flagstaff. This caused transition problems to at least one NWR station (Mt Ord near Payson).

What these are

Ice Storm
Freezing rain accumulating a quarter inch or more of ice, or less where it caused significant damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 990251.