Texas, 2020

Rip Current in Texas, October 18, 2020

October 18, 2020 · NWS HGX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Man drowns off Galveston beach due to rip current.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HGX wrote it up.

Man drowns off Galveston beach due to rip current.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 18, 3:06 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:06 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
406 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2020

.UPDATE...
Resent to update the temperature/POP table.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 326 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2020/...
.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night) ...

A very warm day will lead into an unseasonably warm night as low
level moisture continues to stream into the area. Cloud cover and
a bit of wind will keep temperatures near 70 over the north and
lower/mid 70's south. Moisture may deepen enough tonight to get
some showers beneath the cap after 08z. On Monday, a weak cold
front will approach SE TX in the morning and will probably make it
into the region before stalling out somewhere between College
Station and Houston. The front will likely serve as an additional
focus for showers and isolated thunderstorms. Leaned toward a
NAM/NMM/ARW and TT WRF blend on the frontal position. Have lowered
MaxT values for College Station and bumped up rain chances
areawide. The front washes out as it slowly retreats north on
Monday night. Moisture levels drop on Monday night and cloud cover
could be less than the past couple of nights leading to slightly
cooler overnight low temperatures. With wet ground and clearing
skies, there will be some potential for fog by Tuesday morning. 43

.LONG TERM [Tuesday through Sunday]...

In a nutshell, the long-term forecast features above normal
temperatures, chances for rain/storms and the potential for a cold
front passage next weekend.

A few disturbances embedded in the quasi-zonal flow aloft will
continue to move across the area, bringing chances of showers and
storms. It won't be a complete washout, but enough for some isolated
to perhaps, scattered precipitation at times. Onshore flow persists
and will continue to bring a warm and moist Gulf airmass inland.
Capping remains weak; therefore, decent instability and moisture
will help to spark a few showers/storms along the coast in the
morning and farther inland in the afternoon.

An upper-level trough will develop over the Northern Rockies,
dragging a cold front over TX Friday into the weekend. While
deterministic models now are in better agreement on bringing this
front at/close to our region; there are still discrepancies on its
amplitude and phase. The EC brings the front close to our
northwestern counties late Friday night, then moving through the
Gulf waters on Saturday. The GFS suggests a slightly slower front,
reaching the KCLL/KUTS region by Saturday morning. This front may
not bring a significant change in temperatures, but at least, we
will go back to seasonal temperatures and will have a relief in
humidity. Given these solutions, the forecast from Friday night
through Sunday is a blend between the GFS, EC and NBM to obtain
temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s and dewpoints from the
upper 50s to upper 60s. While models are in good agreement, we are
still a few days out, so confidence is still low to moderate.

Temperature-wise, it will remain above normal throughout the week
with forecast highs mainly in the 80s and overnight lows in the
upper 60s to low 70s. 05

.MARINE...

High pressure over the eastern U.S. will maintain an onshore wind
overnight. A weak cold front will move into SE TX on Monday but
the front will stall out before reaching the coastal waters. The
flow will weaken as the pressure gradient slackens. The front will
dissipate and the pressure gradient will tighten again Tuesday
and Tuesday night as pressures fall over West Texas. Winds will
back to the east mid week as low pressure develops over the
southern Gulf. An east wind will then persist through Friday
night. A cold front is then expected to cross the coastal waters
next Saturday.

Water levels will remain slightly elevated this week with the
persistent onshore flow. Tides could reach 3.4 feet above MLLW on
Wednesday. There will also be a risk for strong rip currents as
the winds back to the east. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  70  78  69  86  69 /  20  30  10  10  10
Houston (IAH)          73  85  70  85  70 /  20  40  10  20  10
Galveston (GLS)        76  81  75  83  76 /  30  20  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula

When
October 18, 8:30 PM CST
Where
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Lifeguard
Coordinates
29.298, -94.811 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A man who struggled in the water near the 53rd Street rock groin Sunday evening died between 7 pm and 8 pm.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula2020-10-1842MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 919903.