Severe drought conditions developed across parts of Central Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across parts of Central Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 9, 5:42 PM CST, 6 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 542 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2020 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Tuesday Night/ Low level southerly flow will continue overnight as a surface low near the TX/OK Panhandles slowly moves eastward tonight. This will lead to another warm night, although a cold front will be on the way for early Tuesday morning. Clouds will increase again overnight tonight ahead of the frontal boundary helping to keep temperatures in the low to mid 60s. As a strong shortwave trough ejects into the Central Plains early Tuesday, a cold front will slide through North Texas. Ample low level moisture will be capped beneath a fairly stout inversion around 800 mb, but rain chances will remain generally low through the morning hours on Tuesday. With the bulk of the stronger forcing pulling off to the northeast, forcing along the front will be the main source of lift. While the strong cap will eventually erode, a quick surge of cooler and drier air will filter into the region behind the front. Weak lapse rates should limit any threat for thunder through the morning hours, and we'll keep mainly showers as the prevailing precip type. Rain chances will generally be 20% or less across the region. Rapidly clearing skies and northwest winds will prevail behind the front resulting in a cooler day on Tuesday. Highs will top out in the upper 60s in the northwest and low/mid 70s elsewhere. Winds will diminish during the evening with lows falling into the 40s areawide Tuesday night. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 216 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2020/ /Tuesday Evening through the Weekend/ Despite generally zonal to southwesterly flow aloft, the remainder of the work week appears rain-free with temperatures trending toward normal values. The next chance for rain and storms arrives this weekend. A dry and stable airmass at the surface is expected Tuesday Night and into parts of the day on Thursday. Surface high pressure will remain rooted across the Midwest and this will induce dry air advection into the area from the northeast. Despite the northeasterly breezes, ample sunshine and a dry airmass should allow temperatures to still climb above normal values by 5 to 8 degrees. Overnight lows will moderate through the week as well, especially as low level flow responds to the eastward shift in the aformentioned surface high pressure and lee-side pressure falls to the northwest. Thursday into Saturday appear to be the warmest days overall in the long term forecast period. Stronger lee-side pressure falls thanks to the the approach of a broad upper trough will allow moisture to funnel northward, mainly west of I-35. As a diffuse frontal boundary lifts northward, there could be the potential for some isolated convection late Thursday into Friday. I expect that this initial slug of moisture that streams northward will be shallow and with no strong forcing for ascent, I've elected to go with silent 10 PoPs. Highs on Thursday and Friday will climb into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Mid 70s and low 80s will be the rule on Friday with increasing south to southeast winds. We'll likely see morning stratus with afternoon cumulus. Mild conditions can be anticipated as we end the work week with veering flow on Saturday. An upper level trough will move eastward in concert with a sharpening Pacific front across the Big Country. Despite the limited surface convergence, impressive upper level dynamics associated with the upper wave (70 knot mid level speed max at 500mb | 120 knot jet streak at 300 mb) should spread lift across the area. With the slower evolution of the upper system now more apparent, I feel confident that a greater degree of moisture return is more probable. I've nudged dewpoints upward toward some of the raw model guidance and bumped up cloud cover and PoPs to reflect a slower and stronger upper level trough. Forecast PoPs now stand at 30-50% with the best rain/storm chances across North Texas. Instability does increase some across North Texas during the overnight hours into early Saturday. Forecast soundings indicate very modest "skinny" instability profiles (values near 800 J/kg), which are not overly conducive for stout, robust updrafts. Still, deep layer shear near 30 knots, combined with steepening mid- level lapse rates (approaching 7.5 C/km) may foster at least some organized storm modes. Given this low potential, I'll only mention the threat here. If additional guidance supports more in the way of strong to severe storms, we'll advertise in graphics/outlooks. The Pacific front will move through the area on Saturday afternoon, resulting in favorable downslope conditions. These downslope conditions will continue into the day on Sunday and I've nudged temperatures upward on both days. The true cold front should plow through the area late Sunday ushering in blustery northerly winds (10 to 20 MPH with higher gusts). With moisture being scoured out thanks to Saturday's front, I anticipate a rain- free FROPA. We will see temperature trend toward near normal values as we start the new work week. Bain && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR prevails across the region this evening but another round of low clouds is expected late tonight into early Tuesday morning ahead of a cold front. We'll have BKN013 by 9Z at all locations with improvement to VFR by late Tuesday morning. Southerly winds will prevail ahead of the front through late tonight with a gradual veering to the west during the morning hours. Frontal passage is expected by mid morning with winds becoming more northerly through the day. VFR will prevail by late morning. Rain chances will be 20% or less through the period and we've kept any mention of precipitation out of the current TAF. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 73 44 72 50 / 5 10 0 0 0 Waco 64 76 45 74 51 / 5 10 0 0 0 Paris 65 73 42 68 45 / 10 20 0 0 0 Denton 60 73 38 72 46 / 10 10 0 0 0 McKinney 63 73 40 71 46 / 5 10 0 0 0 Dallas 65 74 47 73 52 / 5 10 0 0 0 Terrell 63 74 42 71 47 / 5 20 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 77 47 74 51 / 5 20 0 0 0 Temple 62 77 45 76 52 / 5 10 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 58 72 39 74 46 / 10 10 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 102 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2020 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-101245- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 102 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms Friday night through Saturday. Severe weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. Bain
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions developed across southern Milam County and continued through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 928444.