Puerto Rico, 2020Rip Current in Puerto Rico, November 8, 2020
November 8, 2020 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Female swept by rip current and her partner tried to rescue her and both drowned at La Concha Beach in Condado. The couple were from Georgia.
- Deaths
- 2
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Female swept by rip current and her partner tried to rescue her and both drowned at La Concha Beach in Condado. The couple were from Georgia.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 8, 11:18 AM AST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 11:18 AM AST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1118 AM AST Sun Nov 8 2020
.UPDATE...Moderate to locally heavy showers have affected the
southern and eastern sections of Puerto RIco, while isolated
showers affected the USVI. The estimated rainfall has reached as
much as 3 inches across eastern PR, while other areas observed
around 1 inch of rain. This rain activity across south and east PR
as well as around the USVI is expected for the next several hours,
but showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the
northwestern quadrant of PR this afternoon. Some of the afternoon
showers could be heavy, and the possibility of urban and poor
drainage flooding will not be ruled out. No changes were made to
the inherited forecast as numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms are still expected for this afternoon.
&&
.AVIATION...SHRA across the local area will cause VCSH across most
of the local terminals today. VCTS possible at TJBQ after 08/16Z.
ESE winds with sea breeze variations at around 15kt for the rest
of today, decreasing after 08/22Z.
&&
.MARINE...No changes in the marine forecast. Seas will be up to 6
feet today and winds up to 15 knots. Risk of rip currents will be
low to moderate today.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 420 AM AST Sun Nov 8 2020/
SYNOPSIS...An unsettled weather pattern is expected to prevail
through the middle of the week as very deep tropical moisture
pulled up from Tropical Storm Eta moves over the area. This will
result in favorable conditions for periods of enhanced rainfall
activity. Improving weather conditions expected by the second of
the week and into the first half of next weekend as a drier air
mass moves overhead.
SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...
Tropical Storm Eta -which is located west of the forecast area- will
continue to pull a deep plume of tropical moisture across the local
islands. Based on the GFS guidance, the precipitable water content
associated with the aformentioned plume of moisture is expected to
exceed 2.3 inches by this evening. In addition to the deep tropical
moisture across the forecast area, the environmental conditions are
expected to become more favorable with a layer of convective instability
prevailing across the local islands through at least midweek. This
evolving pattern will assure passing showers across the eastern
coastal areas of Puerto Rico and the outlying islands as well as
afternoon convection across northwest Puerto Rico today. The intensity
and areal coverage of showers and thunderstorms, however, are expected
to increase Monday and Tuesday. As a result, expect morning showers and
thunderstorms across the US Virgin Islands and eastern Puerto Rico,
spreading across central and western portions of Puerto Rico by midday,
both days. This is resulting in an increasing risk for urban and small
stream flooding through at least midweek. Soils are already saturated,
therfore, mudslides and river flooding particularly across eastern Puerto
Rico and portions of the western interior are possible as well. At this
time, there is a potential for rainfall accumulations to exceed 3-4 inches
across east Puerto Rico. Elsewhere, the potential exists for rainfall
totals to exceed 2-3 inches.
LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...
Weather conditions will continue to remain unsettled on Wednesday
as deep tropical moisture will linger across the area. Therefore,
periods of enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity can be
expected with the heaviest activity expected across the eastern
half of Puerto Rico and the USVI during the morning hours followed
by additional activity across western Puerto Rico during late
morning into the afternoon hours. Urban and small stream flooding
as well as river flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain
will continue to be a threat. A surface high pressure over the
western and central Atlantic will then advect a drier air mass
into the region by late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.
Therefore, improving weather conditions can be expected during
this time period.
More tranquil weather conditions still expected Thursday through
Saturday as the aformentioned dry air mass will prevail. Patches
of low-level moisture embedded within the easterly trade wind
flow, however, will move across the area from time to time. This
will result in some passing showers across portions of eastern PR
and the USVI during the overnight and early morning hours followed
by the development of some afternoon convection across western
Puerto Rico. Rainfall accumulations for the most part should
remain limited. Breezy conditions are also expected as the
aformentioned surface high pressure will tighten the local
pressure gradient. Winds will be the strongest Thursday and
Friday.
The weather pattern looks to turn more unsettled by the end of
the long term period due to a mid to upper-level low moving over
the area. This will induce a low-level trough, which will advect
deeper moisture into the area from the southeast. Therefore, if
model guidance is correct with its current solution, an increase
in shower and thunderstorm activity can be expected.
AVIATION...Mostly VFR conds are expected to prevail at all TAF
sites with VCSH possible at PR and USVI terminals. Aft 08/17z
SHRA/TSRA development is expected in and around TJBQ/TJMZ. Sfc winds
less than 10 kt early this morning, becoming ESE 10-15 kt aft 08/14Z
with some sea breeze variations.
MARINE...Seas of between 3 and 6 feet will generally prevail
across the local waters through Monday, with the highest seas
expected across the offshore Atlantic waters. Seas are expected to
increase Monday night into Tuesday as winds increase due to a
surface high pressure building across the western and central
Atlantic. Choppy to hazardous seas are expected across the
regional waters by then and look to prevail through the end of the
work week. Small Craft Advisories are likely across portions of
the local waters. A moderate risk of rip currents will continue
across the north and east-facing beaches of the islands for today.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 76 86 75 / 50 50 60 60
STT 85 76 86 76 / 60 60 60 70
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...None.
VI...None.
AM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....CS
PUBLIC DESK...LIS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 4:45 AM AST, 10 hours 15 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020
AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-090830-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-
Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez
Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Aguas cercanas y mar afuera y del
Atlantico y Caribe-
423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020
Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras del Atlantico.
.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche
.Inundcaciones...Lluvias fuertes podrian ocasionar inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos pequenos.
.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y el pasaje de Anagada.
.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas para las playas del norte de Puerto Rico, Vieques y Culebra.
.Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado
Condiciones inestables son esperadas hasta mediados de semana.
Esto aumentara el potencial para inundaciones urbanas y de
pequenos riachuelos. El terreno esta saturado, por lo tanto,
existe el potencial de deslizamientos e inundaciones de rios
particularmente en el este de Puerto Rico y porciones del oeste
interior martes y miercoles. Riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas
continuara hasta temprano la proxima semana laboral.
.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...
No se anticipa activacion de observadores. Favor de reportar
cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje, y corrientes marinas al
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las
indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-090830-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020
Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes.
.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche
.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y el pasaje de Aneagda.
.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas para las playas locales.
.Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes hasta sabado
Condiciones inestables son esperadas hasta mediados de la semana.
Esto aumentara el potencial para inundaciones urbanas y de
pequenos riachuelos. Riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara
por los proximos dias.
.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...
No se anticipa activacion de observadores. Favor de reportar
cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje, y corrientes marinas al
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las
indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 8, 12:28 PM AST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1228 PM AST SUN NOV 8 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1226 PM FLOOD GUAYAMA 17.98N 66.11W
11/08/2020 GUAYAMA PR EMERGENCY MNGR
URBAN FLOODING IN VILLA REAL URBANIZATION.
1226 PM FLOOD GUAYAMA 17.98N 66.11W
11/08/2020 GUAYAMA PR EMERGENCY MNGR
URBAN FLOODING ON ROAD PR-179 KM 0.8. ONE LANE COVERED BY
FLOOD WATERS.
&&
JALAMORip Current, San Juan and Vicinity
- When
- November 8, 3:00 PM AST
- Where
- San Juan and Vicinity forecast zone
- Deaths
- 2 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Newspaper
Female swept by rip current and her partner tried to rescue her and both drowned at La Concha Beach in Condado. The couple were from Georgia.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 954729.