Strong winds developed in the wake of a cold front. These strong winds resulted in a roof getting ripped off of a barn in Herkimer county.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ALY wrote it up.
Strong winds developed in the wake of a cold front. These strong winds resulted in a roof getting ripped off of a barn in Herkimer county. Wind gusts reports of 57 mph were also recorded in Montgomery county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 3, 7:23 PM EST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 723 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 .SYNOPSIS... A strong low pressure system and a cold front will bring a period of widespread showers through tonight. Cooler and windy conditions are expected on Wednesday with isolated to scattered rain and snow showers from the Capital Region north and west. High pressure builds back in from the Ohio Valley for Thursday with fair and dry weather. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... As of 700 pm, leading batch of light rainfall associated with isentropic lift/poleward exit region of strong upper level jet is located north of I-90 and moving north. Areas along and south of I-90 are mild and mainly dry. A line of showers associated with a strong cold front is located from the eastern end of Lake Ontario down through Ithaca, NY and into Williamsport, PA. A sharp wind shift, winds gusting 30-40 kt, a temperature drop of around 10F in an hour, and brief heavy downpours have been observed in NYS Mesonet stations over western and central NYS. With this forecast package, we have dialed in the PoPs and beefed up wind gusts behind the line. The showers are timed to cross the forecast area from west to east roughly 01-05Z, with the wind shift and gusty winds lagging the start of the rain by around an hour. The trend in the observations has been for winds to diminish after a brief gusty period associated with the frontal passage, but guidance and observations to the west support a secondary increase in winds after a couple hours. So will continue the mention of 30-40 kt gusts during the overnight hours, although the actual gusts may be somewhat variable and not constant. It's not out of the question to get a lightning strike or two particularly south of the Capital District, but the lightning activity in central/northern PA has diminished over the last hour or so, so we will not add thunder to the forecast at this time. Previous discussion... Rain moving in and all areas will see rain through the evening, then another band of showers in western NY/PA will track through our region late this evening and exit during the early morning hours. The band of showers along the cold front could have some quick bursts of heavy rain and gusty winds. Once the showers exit along with the cold front, winds shift to west and become very gusty, up to 40 mph and temperatures will fall. Lows by daybreak should be in the 30s with around 40 southern areas and around 30 northern areas. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Cold advection through the day Wednesday with gusty west winds, up to 45 mph in some areas. Lingering upper energy and low level flow off the Great Lakes will produce considerable cloud cover north of I-90 into the northern Berkshires and southern VT with scattered shower and snow shower activity. Intervals of clouds and sun elsewhere with decent mixing due to the strong winds. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s but mid 50s southern areas and mid 30s to around 40 southern Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley. Winds stay steady and slowly diminish Wednesday night through Thursday. Increasing sunshine Thursday with the core of the colder air in our region. Still, with the sunshine and decent mixing, highs in the mid to upper 40s but lower 50s southern areas and mid to upper 30s northern areas. A complex system begins to develop and move toward our region Thursday night with increasing clouds later Thursday night. There could be a period of light winds and clear sky in the evening, allowing temperatures to drop quickly before the clouds arrive. Just slight chances for some snow showers in western areas by daybreak Friday. Lows Thursday night in the 20s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... We continue to monitor the possible interaction between a stronger northern stream upper-level low and a weaker, faster-moving southern stream upper-level trough to start the long term period. Most model guidance today, including ensembles, show little if any phasing between these systems until it reaches well off the East coast. Still, the northern stream upper low would pass over the region with mixed rain and snow showers Friday into Friday night. With marginal temperatures (highs in the 30s and 40s), the best chance for a light accumulation of snow will be across the higher elevations. It continues to appear that we will miss out on a blockbuster event. This system will pull away Friday night as high pressure builds across the region and remains anchored across the mid-Atlantic states into Monday of next week. It will be a cooler and breezy day on Saturday despite some sunshine with highs only reaching the 20s and 30s. As the low-level wind flow shifts to the south and west Sunday and Monday, a quick moderation in temperatures is expected with highs reaching the 40s and 50s. Some locations could reach the 60-degree mark, especially around the Capital District and mid- Hudson Valley. Our next system looks to affect our region early next week. Model agreement is poor with regards to the speed of the system. The GFS is more progressive and faster with its arrival than the ECMWF. We and surrounding offices trended more to the ECMWF solution as it has had a better handle with the speed of these mid- to long range systems most of this winter. With this, Monday was kept dry with increasing PoP's Monday night into Tuesday. Precipitation looks to be mostly rain but some snow may mix in across the higher elevations. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Light rain has mostly cleared all the terminals except for KGFL as of 00Z, but MVFR ceilings are moving in from the south. Attention is turning to a strong cold front approaching the area from the west. The front will be associated with brief heavy downpours resulting in IFR visibilities, as well as a sharp increase in winds with a wind shift to westerly. The wind shift will lag the beginning of the showers by around an hour. That wind shift is expected around 04Z at KALB/KGFL and 05Z at KPSF/KPOU. Winds gusting to 25-40kt from the west will be expected behind the front, and these stronger winds may continue for much of the night, although there may be a lull at times. There is a nonzero chance of an isolated lightning strike at KPOU, but confidence is not high enough to put in the TAFs. Once the front clears, some of the lower clouds will likely scatter out, so we will trend the forecast back to VFR (except at KPSF which may continue to see MVFR overnight. Diurnal heating will continue to raise cloud bases during the day on Wednesday, with a scattered to broken coverage of VFR stratocumulus expected. Winds will continue to gust to 25-40 kt from the west throughout the day. Outlook... Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA...SHSN. Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .HYDROLOGY... Widespread hydrological problems are not expected the next several days in the ALY Hydro Service Area. A low pressure system and its associated frontal boundary will bring about a quarter to half inch of rainfall through tonight. Some minor snow melt is possible before colder temperatures return. Some Lake Effect or westerly upslope rain and snow showers Wednesday through Wednesday night will bring a few hundredths to a few tenths of an inch of liquid equivalent. High pressure brings a period of dry weather on Thursday. The next system brings some rain and snow showers Friday into Friday night before dry weather returns on the weekend. Overall, the precipitation the next several days is not expected to cause significant rises on the main stem rivers. For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && SYNOPSIS...NAS NEAR TERM...NAS/Thompson SHORT TERM...NAS LONG TERM...Rathbun AVIATION...Thompson HYDROLOGY...NAS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albany NY 358 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-041200- Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene- Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- 358 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts, east central New York, eastern New York and southern Vermont. .DAY ONE...Tonight. West winds will gust up to 45 mph late tonight. If confidence increases that there will be widespread wind gusts of 50 mph or greater, a wind advisory may be issued. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. West winds will gust up to 45 mph Wednesday. If confidence increases that there will be widespread wind gusts of 50 mph or greater, a wind advisory may be issued. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A barn roof was ripped off due to strong winds near the town of Schuyler.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, March 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 881396.