A quick moving upper level trough moved into the Northern Rockies and plains states. Strong winds on the southern periphery of the trough affected the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains in New Mexico and Texas.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A quick moving upper level trough moved into the Northern Rockies and plains states. Strong winds on the southern periphery of the trough affected the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains in New Mexico and Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 6:27 AM MST, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
727 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2020
.UPDATE...
Updated for earlier onset of High Wind Warning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
High winds have already been observed at Pine Springs and the
Bowl in the Guadalupe Mountains, thus the High Wind Warning is
now in effect immediately. High winds are expected to continue
through this afternoon across the mountains with strong winds also
expected across the adjacent plains. The rest of the forecast is
on track this morning.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 542 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2020/
DISCUSSION...
See 12z aviation discussion below.
AVIATION...
Low ceilings are expected to move out of MAF in a couple of hours
or possibly sooner with VFR conditions expected afterwards. Winds
will become southwesterly to westerly and will strengthen and
become gusty this afternoon. Winds will weaken around 00z and
become northwesterly to northerly this evening and overnight.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 309 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2020/
DISCUSSION...
Axis of upper trough moving across Mexico will merge with a stronger
trough swinging across the Rockies to produce windy conditions for
the area today. As the trough moves east weak ridging will build
across the Western US early next week before a West Coast trough mid
to late week displaces the ridge eastward.
Looking at a high wind event for the mountains today as the trough
moves across. Have upgraded the High Wind Watch for the Guadalupe
and Delaware Mountains today to a warning. Also based on 700 mb wind
of up to 45kts and 850mb wind of 30kts across SE NM, the Upper Trans
Pecos, and the Northwest Permian Basin have added a Wind Advisory
for those areas.
As of 08z low clouds cover the Permian Basin and parts of the Lower
Trans Pecos... these will erode from west to east as drier air
pushes in. After yesterdays cool and cloudy conditions today will
be a big change as sunny skies and a warm west wind drives
temperatures back into the mid 70s to mid 80s. This evening a weak
frontal boundary will sag into the region as a surface ridge builds
south knocking temps Sunday back to near normal. The wind will
return to the south by late Sunday resulting in above normal temps
in the 70s again for Monday. The rest of the week will remain warm
with above normal temperatures. The next front is not expected
until next Saturday night.
FIRE WEATHER...
Gusty, westerly winds are expected today across Southeast New Mexico
and West Texas. These west winds will result in above normal
temperatures and will contribute to further drying of the fuels.
Minimum relative humidity values of 15 percent or less will be
widespread across the area. Winds of 20 mph or more will also be
widespread across the area with the highest wind speeds generally
along and west of the Upper Trans Pecos as well as in northern Lea
County. RFTI values of 3 to 6 will be present today across Southeast
New Mexico and Culberson County eastward to Reeves County and the
western and northwestern Permian Basin. ERC values across these
areas will generally be 50 to 89 percent. This allowed for an
issuance of a Red Flag Warning across the above mentioned area for
this afternoon. Conditions improve on Sunday with lower wind speeds
and cooler temperatures.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 82 38 65 42 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 80 36 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 89 49 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 83 43 69 43 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 69 40 64 46 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 78 34 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 74 30 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 82 37 67 40 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 83 37 67 39 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 84 35 69 36 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 6 PM MST this evening for
Chavez Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and
Guadalupe Mountains.
Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for Central Lea
County-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea
County.
High Wind Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for Guadalupe
Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...Red Flag Warning from 1 PM CST /noon MST/ this afternoon to 7 PM
CST /6 PM MST/ this evening for Andrews-Dawson-Eastern
Culberson County-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Reeves County
Plains-Ward-Winkler.
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for Andrews-Dawson-
Eastern Culberson County-Gaines-Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
High Wind Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.
&&
49/89Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 324 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2020 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-150930- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 324 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2020 /224 AM MST Sat Nov 14 2020/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight High winds are expected this morning and afternoon in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. A High Wind Warning is in effect. A Wind Advisory is in effect for Culberson and Reeves Counties, the Southeast New Mexico plains, and the western and northwest Permian Basin. Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across eastern portions of Culberson County, Reeves County, the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, the Southeast New Mexico plains, and western and northwestern portions of the Permian Basin. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
728 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0538 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N PINE SPRINGS 31.90N 104.81W
11/14/2020 M72 MPH Culberson TX RAWS
0633 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE PINE SPRINGS 31.88N 104.79W
11/14/2020 M60 MPH Culberson TX MESONET
PEAK GUST 71 AT 704 AM
&&
GREGORY.MURDOCHThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, November 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 929875.