Some weak rain showers occurred during the late evening hours over the Gila region and moved toward Truth or Consequences. A dry low-level environment and the shower moving off the higher elevation brought a wind gust of 70 mph to the airport.
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The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Some weak rain showers occurred during the late evening hours over the Gila region and moved toward Truth or Consequences. A dry low-level environment and the shower moving off the higher elevation brought a wind gust of 70 mph to the airport.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 10:24 PM MST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1124 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 ...Update for 06Z TAF Cycle... .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions expected until 21Z, thereafter TSRA chances may cause temporary IFR conditions. Skies SCT120-140 clearing slightly throughout the nighttime hours. SCT-BKN100-120CB development after 18Z tomorrow. VCTS and subsequent TEMPOs may be needed in future TAF issuances at KELP/KLRU/KTCS, focusing on the 21-03Z timeframe. Winds generally 260-300 at 06-10KT with gusty outflow winds after 21Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION...155 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020... .SYNOPSIS... Temperatures will be slowly falling from the 105 to 110 degree range of recent days, but will likely remain in the mid 90s to near 100 for much of the week with coolest highs near Arizona border. Monsoon moisture will start to seep into western areas and bring some scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms, with more isolated coverage east. Upper high strengthens again over Oklahoma for the weekend with drier air moving into the east with storm chances remaining west of the Rio Grande. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Tomorrow... A couple more days with the subtropical high right on top of southern NM. Temperatures are expected to rise above advisory level today and tomorrow in the lowland areas. A thermal low over east central NM has tightened the pressure gradients in the western zones and turn winds west to southwesterly this evening. Wind speeds will be light, however low level moisture from southeastern AZ will start to wade into Hidalgo and Grant counties. I didn't rule out mountain convection seeping into the lowlands, but my confidence is low on any lowland convection forming east of Luna county tonight. Tomorrow, favorable dynamics set up to our south in MX over the Sierra Madres. If heavy convection forms, then outflows moving north could give the area another surge of moisture. Models hint at the surge pushing in over much of the area tomorrow, so slight chances of late popcorn storms cover most of the CWA. && .LONG TERM... While upper ridge will be weakened over coming days with upper trough moving across northern Rockies, temperatures will still remain above normal. MOS guidance and NBM numbers look a little low looking at all the models and with GFS Ensembles supporting warmer H85 temps than operational run. Still looks like 100-103 will be common along the Rio Grande Valley. Convective debris clouds could from the south and west could help to keep temperatures warm overnight Wednesday and Thursday mornings with mid 70s to lower 80s common over the lowlands. Upper high will become elongated across the from eastern NM and across the Gulf states through the end of the week. This will allow for some monsoon moisture to move into at least western half of the CWA where storms will form daily over higher terrain and a surface convergence zone between the divide and the Rio Grande. Outflow from these storms will allow storms to develop over eastern areas through Friday. After Friday, some drier air gets pushed into the eastern zones as upper high tries to get reestablished over the OK/KS border region. This is a little further north than is typical for a good monsoon fetch of moisture into our area with gulf moisture trajectories remaining to our south and then pushed up into AZ. This drier air could also mean a few degree increase in highs for eastern zones, but definitely a little less confidence in exact placement of high and this jump occurring so went above guidance still, but not as warm as ensemble mean would indicate. && .FIRE WEATHER... Showers and thunderstorms will be possible today across area mountains, and the NM Bootheel with very isolated chances across northern and western lowland locations with the addition of isolated eastern areas Tuesday. Dry lightning and gusty outflow winds will be the main threats with any thunderstorms that develop. Min RH across area mountains will increase above 15 percent today, and continue to increase to 30 percent by Friday. Winds will remain light to mildly breezy at best through the period outside of thunderstorm outflow. Good to at least Very Good ventilation expected through Thursday, and a Haines index of 5-6 will decrease to 4-5 Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 79 106 78 103 / 0 20 20 10 Sierra Blanca 71 104 71 98 / 0 20 20 10 Las Cruces 75 103 73 102 / 0 10 10 20 Alamogordo 74 104 74 103 / 0 20 20 30 Cloudcroft 59 79 57 78 / 0 30 30 50 Truth or Consequences 73 102 75 99 / 20 20 20 20 Silver City 69 94 68 93 / 10 20 20 30 Deming 72 104 71 101 / 10 20 20 20 Lordsburg 72 101 71 98 / 10 20 20 20 West El Paso Metro 79 104 78 103 / 0 20 20 10 Dell City 73 107 73 104 / 0 20 20 10 Fort Hancock 77 106 76 104 / 0 20 20 10 Loma Linda 75 101 75 97 / 0 20 20 20 Fabens 79 105 78 104 / 0 20 20 10 Santa Teresa 75 104 75 102 / 0 20 20 10 White Sands HQ 79 103 77 101 / 0 20 20 20 Jornada Range 74 102 72 101 / 10 20 20 20 Hatch 74 104 73 102 / 10 20 20 20 Columbus 76 103 75 101 / 10 20 20 20 Orogrande 75 104 75 102 / 0 20 20 20 Mayhill 65 89 63 89 / 0 40 30 50 Mescalero 62 90 61 89 / 0 30 30 50 Timberon 61 90 59 87 / 0 30 30 40 Winston 62 94 62 92 / 10 30 20 30 Hillsboro 70 99 68 99 / 10 20 20 30 Spaceport 71 102 70 100 / 20 20 20 20 Lake Roberts 61 93 60 93 / 10 30 30 30 Hurley 66 97 66 96 / 10 20 20 30 Cliff 61 100 61 98 / 10 30 30 30 Mule Creek 69 96 68 94 / 10 30 20 20 Faywood 69 98 68 97 / 10 20 20 30 Animas 71 101 70 99 / 10 20 20 20 Hachita 69 101 68 99 / 20 20 20 20 Antelope Wells 71 99 70 98 / 20 20 20 20 Cloverdale 68 95 67 93 / 20 20 20 30 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...Heat Advisory until 6 AM MDT Wednesday for NMZ407-409>413-417. TX...Heat Advisory until 6 AM MDT Wednesday for TXZ418>424. && 31/26/30
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1124 AM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-141730- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1124 AM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Excessive heat will again be the primary weather hazard today across most of New Mexico and Texas. High temperatures will range from 103 to 106 degrees this afternoon followed by warm overnight temperatures. This prolonged period of heat will increase the risk of heat related illnesses and heat stroke, especially for sensitive populations and people engaging in outdoor activities. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over area mountains with the focus over the Gila Wilderness. The main impacts will be gusty outflow winds to 40 mph and brief heavy rains. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Daily afternoon thunderstorm activity is expected over area mountains throughout the week, with a rain chances possibly extending down to the International Border by Wednesday. Brief heavy rain and gusty outflow winds will be the primary threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. ED
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 807 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 NMZ403-407-408-410-411-140245- Eastern Black Range Foothills NM- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley NM- Northern Dona Ana County NM-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin NM- Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley NM- 807 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LUNA AND WEST CENTRAL DONA ANA COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM MDT... At 805 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11 miles southeast of Nutt, moving north at 20 mph. Pea size hail and winds in excess of 50 mph with blowing dust will be possible with this storm. Strong thunderstorm outflow from this storm could travel dozens of miles and affect motorist on Interstate 10 and the town of Deming. Locations impacted include... Deming, Akela, Rock Hound State Park, Macho Springs Wind Farm and Uvas Valley. This includes Interstate 10 in New Mexico between mile markers 81 and 113. LAT...LON 3213 10727 3223 10781 3258 10765 3252 10714 TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 199DEG 17KT 3242 10737 TSB
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Light showers in the area. A few tree limbs were blown down along with other items at the KTCS airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 913277.