An upper level disturbance moving across the desert southwest and into West Texas brought strong winds to the Guadalupe Mountains.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper level disturbance moving across the desert southwest and into West Texas brought strong winds to the Guadalupe Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 27, 1:57 PM MST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
257 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020
.DISCUSSION...
An upper level trough is bringing strong winds to the Guadalupe
Mountains this afternoon that will continue for a few more hours
before diminishing. This trough could also bring a few high based
showers to southeastern New Mexico before moving east overnight. A
cold front moves through the region tonight bringing windy
conditions that will border on advisory level Tuesday for the
Permian Basin. Surface high pressure settling in behind the front
will bring cooler though still seasonal temperatures Tuesday and
Wednesday.
A second upper trough then digs into the southern Rockies
Wednesday night bringing a chance for wintry precipitation. Models
diverge on the path and strength of this system which will be
critical in determining precipitation type/amount/quantity. The
GFS and NAM have a more northerly track with higher QPF amounts
while the other models are taking most of the lift farther south
with lower QPF and a mostly rain precip type. A strengthening
jet on the southern periphery of the trough may prevent it from
sagging too far south and the GFS/NAM may be more realistic
favoring highest precip chances from the Guadalupe Mountains and
southeast New Mexico east across the northern Permian Basin. A
more southerly solution would favor precip along and south of
I-10. Did not commit to precip type at present but rain changing
to snow would be expected on precip north of I-20 with
accumulations possible from the Guadalupe Mountains to Andrews and
Seminole. Lowered highs several degrees Thursday due to cloud
cover and precip but cannot yet put too much detail into this as
precip, and especially snow accumulation, will have a big impact
on this. Precipitation ends Thursday night with clearing skies
and warming temperatures into the weekend and early next week.
Hennig
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 44 54 30 56 / 10 10 0 0
Carlsbad 40 57 28 59 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 46 63 35 63 / 30 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 44 57 34 61 / 20 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 34 47 33 52 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 38 54 28 56 / 10 0 0 0
Marfa 33 54 25 59 / 20 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 43 57 31 58 / 10 0 0 0
Odessa 43 57 32 58 / 10 0 0 0
Wink 42 59 29 61 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Warning until 9 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe
Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Van Horn
and Highway 54 Corridor.
High Wind Warning until 9 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.
&&
12/10Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 258 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-282100- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 258 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020 /158 PM MST Mon Jan 27 2020/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Strong winds are expected in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains this evening, were a High Wind Warning remains in effect. Windy conditions are also likely from Culberson County to the Davis Mountains this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for these locations. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday There is a chance for accumulating snows Thursday from southeastern New Mexico to the northwestern Permian Basin. Slick road conditions will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, January 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 872600.