Montana, 2020

Blizzard and Winter Storm in Montana, March 12 to 15, 2020

March 12 to 15, 2020 · NWS TFX · 20 events in 13 counties and zones

This winter storm had a favorable combination of moisture and cold arctic air. An upper level low off the west coast extended a piece of energy into the region Friday through the weekend.

The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
1
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
20

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

This winter storm had a favorable combination of moisture and cold arctic air. An upper level low off the west coast extended a piece of energy into the region Friday through the weekend. This low provided ample pacific moisture and enhanced lift from an upper level warm front. Meanwhile, a cold front pushed from north to south and brought rapidly cooling temperatures along with strong gusty winds. The hardest hit area was north and west of a Helena to Havre line, where the presence of a barrier jet enabled blizzard conditions to develop. The end result was widespread snow for three days, with areas of blowing snow, and sub-zero temperatures once the snow ended.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 12, 10:55 PM MST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 10:55 PM MST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1155 PM MDT Thu Mar 12 2020

Updated Aviation Discussion

.SYNOPSIS...

A major winter storm is expected to impact portions of the
Northern Rockies, especially the plains of Central and North
Central Montana to end the work week and through the weekend.
Snow, blowing snow, and cold temperatures are expected to
accompany this storm. Motorist should be prepared for hazardous
driving conditions, especially from Friday through Saturday

&&

.UPDATE...

The evening update has been published. Snow showers over the
Little Belts and the eastern portions of the CWA will continue to
wind down for the remainder of the evening into the overnight.
Then the focus turns to the winter storm, which moves in from
northwest to southeast tonight through Saturday night. No changes
were made to the current winter weather headlines but the
situation will continue to be monitored for the potential of
blizzard conditions along and west of the I15 corridor northwest
of Great Falls to the Canadian border.

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 1155 PM MDT Thu Mar 12 2020 (13/06Z TAF Period)

VFR conditions will begin to degrade toward MVFR/IFR from north to
south late tonight into Friday morning for central and north-central
MT while VFR conditions continue through Friday morning for SW MT
terminals. Snow will spread south to central MT terminals by around
18z Friday with NE to E winds increasing and leading to blowing snow
at times, especially at KCTB Friday afternoon but likely to also
impact KGTF, KHLN and KLWT late Friday afternoon and Friday night.
Mountian obscurations and aircraft icing will increasingly become
more widespread, especially for areas receiving snow. Hoenisch

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 617 PM MDT Thu Mar 12 2020/

Rest of this afternoon through Saturday night...biggest concern and
focus with the afternoon forecast was on the major winter storm set
to impact the region beginning late tonight and persisting through
much of the day on Saturday, only to be followed by record to near
record low temperatures Saturday night/Sunday morning across North
Central and Central Montana.

First, not to be ignored or slept under the proverbial rug of the
"major winter storm", is the on-going snow showers over North
Central and Central Montana this afternoon. These snow showers,
which are being drive by a combination of moist, northwest flow
aloft and steep low-level lapse rates, will likely continue into the
late evening hours before gradually decreasing in areal coverage.
Brief reductions in visibility and some accumulations on road
surfaces are the primary impacts with these showers, but given the
scattered nature and briefness of said showers we will continue to
just highlight through Special Weather Statements.

As the showers gradually dissipate in coverage this evening over the
plains of Central and North Central Montana, expect snow to begin to
fill in along the Rocky Mountain Front around midnight as the low
level flow becomes more east to northerly. Snow will spread south
(east) along (away from) the Rocky Mountain Front Friday morning
through Friday afternoon, continuing into Saturday
morning/afternoon. Of biggest concern with today's forecast issuance
is the potential for blizzard condtions, especially along and west
of the Interstate 15 corridor. For these areas, a push of pressure
6hr rises of 3-6mb along the Rocky Mountain Front combined with H850
winds of 25-35kts is expected to lead to a prolonged period strong
and gusty northerly winds. The one question that remains is whether
or not a sustained period of blizzard condtions can be observed, but
given uncertainty and that the onset of the winds are still 18-24hrs
out I will defer possibly upgrading (to a Blizzard Warning) to
future shifts should trends continue. Regardless of if a Blizzard
Warning is needed, I have continued to message within the current
Winter Storm Warning that near-blizzard conditions are possible and
could lead to hazardous conditions for both driving and ranching
interests. Otherwise, snowfall amounts continue to remain relatively
steady across the region, with the only major change being an
increase in amounts along and west of Interstate 15. Finally, a very
cold night is expected Saturday night/Sunday morning as a strong
surface high settles over the area, with the potential for record or
near-record temperatures. - Moldan

Sunday through next Thursday...The low pressure area will
continue to move south along the Pacific coast Sunday through
Tuesday, which will help decrease the snow across the area. High
pressure at the surface will also start to slowly exit the area to
the east, relaxing the surface pressure gradient and allowing the
winds to decrease. However, cold air will remain in place over
much of the area due to the expected widespread snow cover.
Temperatures over the plains could potentially fall into the teens
below zero Sunday night and Monday night, with even colder
temperatures possible if skies clear out and winds stay light. A
weak westerly flow aloft will then reside over the forecast area
through the middle of the week, keeping much of the area dry with
only gradually warming temperatures. Daytime temperatures should
warm above freezing in Southwest Montana, but they should remain
below freezing over the plains. - Coulston

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  18  24   0   8 /  20 100 100 100
CTB  12  14  -8   3 /  80 100 100 100
HLN  20  29   4  14 /  10  70  80  90
BZN  17  33  15  28 /   0  20  40  70
WYS   2  34  17  36 /  10   0  60  80
DLN  19  35  18  35 /   0   0  20  60
HVR  16  24   9  18 /  50  70 100 100
LWT  16  25  12  20 /  40  90  90  90

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from noon Friday to 4 PM MDT Saturday
Broadwater...Jefferson.

Winter Storm Warning from 9 AM Friday to 4 PM MDT Saturday
Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Meagher.

Winter Storm Warning from 9 AM Friday to 4 PM MDT Saturday
Blaine...Cascade...Chouteau...Fergus...Hill...Judith Basin...
Liberty.

Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 4 PM MDT Saturday
Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Northern
Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front...Toole.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

Event by event

13 winter storm, 5 blizzard, 2 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Eastern Glacier

When
March 12, 11:00 PM MST to March 14, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The Cut Bank Airport estimates a two day total of 12 inches of snow accumulation. Snow depth was only 4 inches due to blowing and drifting.

Winter Storm, Hill

When
March 13, 8:00 AM MST to March 15, 8:52 PM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Storm total 8.2 inches of snow accumulation measured at the Havre Airport.

Heavy Snow, Chouteau

When
March 13, 8:00 AM MST to March 15, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

A storm total of 11.4 inches of snow accumulation measured at Loma.

Winter Storm, Cascade

When
March 13, 8:00 AM MST to March 15, 8:50 PM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The Great Falls Airport measured a storm total of 11.5 inches of snow accumulation.

Winter Storm, Broadwater

When
March 13, 5:56 PM MST
Where
Broadwater forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Injuries
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media

Poor visibility and slippery road conditions may have contributed to a multi vehicle crash on US highway 12 near mile marker 58. There were two fatalities in this collision.

Winter Storm, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 13, 8:10 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Severe winter driving conditions were reported on US highway 89 from mile marker 31 to 62.

Winter Storm, Eastern Teton

When
March 13, 8:10 PM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Severe winter driving conditions were reported on US highway 89 from mile marker 23 to 31.

Heavy Snow, Judith Basin

When
March 13, 10:00 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Reported by
Public

The public estimates 14 inches of snow accumulation at 5 SW Stanford.

Winter Storm, Cascade

When
March 14, 12:00 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Severe winter driving conditions reported on interstate 15 from mile marker 247 to 257.

Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
March 14, 2:40 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Montana highway 200 was closed from mile marker 200 to the highway 279 junction due to severe winter driving conditions.

Winter Storm, Toole

When
March 14, 5:00 AM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

A COOP observer at 12 E Ledger measured 12 inches of snow accumulation.

Blizzard, Eastern Glacier

When
March 14, 5:00 AM MST to 11:35 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Blizzard conditions were reported at the Cut Bank Airport from 5 am to 1135 am MST.

Blizzard, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 5:00 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee

The blizzard conditions observed in the Eastern Glacier and Southern Rocky Mountain Front zones will be used to verify blizzard conditions over the southern portion of the Northern Rocky Mountain Front zone due to similar synoptic setup and lack of reporting stations in that particular area.

Blizzard, Eastern Pondera

When
March 14, 5:00 AM MST to 11:35 AM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee

The blizzard conditions observed in the Eastern Glacier zone will be used to verify blizzard conditions over the Eastern Pondera zone due to similar synoptic setup and lack of reporting stations in that particular area.

Blizzard, Eastern Teton

When
March 14, 6:00 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

AWOS site at 6 NNE Fairfield (Hotel K1HM) reports blizzard conditions from 6 am to 11 am MST. The blizzard conditions may have began earlier but there was a station outage during the overnight hours.

Blizzard, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 6:00 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

An AWOS station at 9 NNE Augusta (Foxtrot (K1FM) reported blizzard conditions from 6 am to 12 pm. The blizzard conditions may have begun earlier but there was a station outage during the overnight hours.

Winter Storm, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 4:00 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

A coop observer at 1 NW Choteau measured 13 inches of snow accumulation.

Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
March 15, 2:26 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

A trained spotter at 1 SW Helena measured 12 inches of snow accumulation.

Winter Storm, Eastern Teton

When
March 15, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

A storm total of 12 inches of snow accumulation was measured at 3 ENE Dutton.

Winter Storm, Fergus

When
March 15, 4:00 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

A snow accumulation of 13 inches measured at the Grass range COOP.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Winter Storm, Broadwater2020-03-1325FemaleVehicle/Towed TrailerIndirect
Winter Storm, Broadwater2020-03-1311FemaleVehicle/Towed TrailerIndirect

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 875727, 875718, 875720, 875723, 882919, 882922, 882923, 875721, 882921, 882920, 875726, 875735, 882924, 882925, 875733, 875734, 875729, 875724, 875725, 875722.