Montana, 2020

High Wind in Montana, January 3, 2020

January 3, 2020 · NWS GGW · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Ahead of a very strong jet stream over the region, severe wind gusts were able to reach the surface off the higher elevations of southwestern Phillips County.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

Ahead of a very strong jet stream over the region, severe wind gusts were able to reach the surface off the higher elevations of southwestern Phillips County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 3, 7:48 PM MST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 7:48 PM MST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
748 PM MST Fri Jan 3 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Evening update...
Going forecast and its message of "it's going to be windy
tomorrow" generally on track. It looks like temperatures for a
good chunk of the area really aren't going to go much of anywhere
the rest of the night. There might be a pocket or two of fog
overnight while skies are clear and winds stay light.

Main change was to add the mention of an elevated fire danger in
Petroleum and Southwest Phillips Counties tomorrow to the high
wind warning due to the combination of low humidity values, high
winds, bare ground / lack of snow cover, and dry fuels in that
part of the area. Needless to say, not a day to drag a chain or a
muffler on Highway 191 or 200 tomorrow.

Avery

Previous discussion...
Upper ridging on Saturday will slide east during the day, with
increasing cloud cover expected as the ridge axis pushes further
downstream. Look for a strong shortwave and surface cold front to
slide through the region during the afternoon and evening hours.
As cold air advection takes hold, expect the presence of decent
lapse rates as well. Given low amounts of snow cover and a warm
day expected on Saturday, potential for boundary layer mixing will
be greater than it otherwise would be despite the shorter day.
Given 850mb winds in the afternoon and evening ranging between 50
and 65 kts, the potential exists for a widespread windy day across
NE MT, and possibly a day for high winds.

Highest confidence for high winds will exist across terrain
favored locations such as the Little Rockies, Big Sheep Mountains,
etc., but will monitor potential for strong to high winds in the
lower elevations as well. If any thing, much of the area should
see sustained west winds develop in excess of 30 mph with gusts in
excess of 50 mph. The risk appears great enough that even if
conditions come just shy of criteria, impacts will still be
realized. Thus, the High Wind Watch has been replaced with a
warning. A High Wind Watch was issued further NE where the
stronger winds may not materialize until later in the day and
confidence is lower.

Behind the Saturday system, look for colder temperatures across
the region into next week. This portion of the forecast was
trended toward consensus blends which capture the expected colder
trend in temperatures. Next shortwave will approach on Monday with
a slight chance pop in places, though much of the region will
remain dry. A deeper trough may set up across the western U.S. for
the middle of next week with colder temperatures associated with
the lowering heights, and enough dynamic forcing for ascent to
mention pops, but no widespread heavy precipitation seen at this
time. Maliawco

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CONDITION: VFR

WINDS: Light and variable overnight. SW-W 10-20 kts Saturday
morning, becoming W 20-35 kts with gusts to 45 kts in the
afternoon and evening.

WIND SHEAR: Becomes an issue by late morning (after 15z) into the
afternoon, with west winds near 40-50 kts.

DISCUSSION: Main story is the strong winds on Saturday into
Saturday night despite VFR ceilings and visibilities.

Avery

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM MST Saturday for Central
and Southeast Phillips...Central and Southern Valley...Dawson...
Garfield...McCone...Northern Phillips...Northern Valley...
Petroleum...Prairie...Southwest Phillips...Wibaux.

High Wind Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening
for Daniels...Eastern Roosevelt...Richland...Sheridan...Western
Roosevelt.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Little Rocky Mountains

When
January 3, 10:44 PM MST
Where
Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At the Malta South US-191 DOT site (MTMAL), a peak wind gust of 58 mph was recorded at 10:44 PM. Sustained winds of 40 mph were present for only about 90 minutes.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, January 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 872756.