Montana, 2020

High Wind in Montana, February 29, 2020

February 29, 2020 · NWS TFX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Upper level jet maximum continues to move through the area. Dry but windy conditions prevail into the evening for most of north-central MT with gusts 25-35 kts for most|areas with a few 40-45kt gusts along the Canadian border.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Upper level jet maximum continues to move through the area. Dry but windy conditions prevail into the evening for most of north-central MT with gusts 25-35 kts for most|areas with a few 40-45kt gusts along the Canadian border.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 5:07 AM MST, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 29, 5:07 AM MST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
507 AM MST Sat Feb 29 2020

...AVIATION SECTION UPDATED...

.SYNOPSIS...

A Pacific cold front moves across the region today, with windy
conditions expected for most areas and strongest winds along the
Rocky Mountain Front and adjacent plains of north-central Montana. A
period of snow and or rain showers will accompany the frontal
passage, mainly across the mountains and Southwest Montana. A few
additional snow showers are possible across north-central Montana to
night as a colder airmass and some moisture move in from the north.
Cooler temperatures on Sunday will rebound to near or above average
next week but breezy to windy conditions will continue.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A Pacific trough and its associated cold front is quickly
approaching the Divide as a surface low pressure deepens east of
the Rockies in southern Alberta this morning. Rain and snow
currently situated along the immediate eastern slopes of the
Northern Rocky Mountain Front will change to all snow. A quick
inch or two of snow will be possible at Marias Pass and for areas
to the north before the activity becomes more showery later this
morning and afternoon. As the cold front sweeps east across the
state, gusty westerly winds over the Rocky Mountain Front will
spill out onto the plains. No changes were made to the current
High Wind Warning in effect for the Northern Rocky Mountain Front
and Toole and eastern Glacier Counties. Even through the Warning
expires at noon, winds may still gust up to 40 to 50 mph through
this evening. Wind gusts in the southwest shouldn't be as strong
but 30-40 mph gusts will be possible, especially across ridgetops
and passes. Snow showers will mostly be confined to the Divide but
chances do increase for the central and southwestern mountains
this afternoon. In fact, lower elevations of the southwest can see
scattered afternoon rain/snow showers as well. The heavier snow
showers may briefly reduce visibility and cause slippery roadways,
especially at the pass level.

Winds turn northwesterly tonight as a secondary push of colder air
sags south from Canada. A few snow showers can be expected, mostly
in northerly upslope favored locations. While most areas will see
little to no snow accumulation with this system some mountain areas
could see an additional inch or two of snow, with the most expected
along the continental divide near Marias Pass.

Temperatures cool back to near or even somewhat below seasonal
averages temporarily on Sunday before temperatures rebound to near
average on Monday. The next system moves quickly southeast on Monday
bringing another increase in winds followed by a chance for showers
Monday afternoon and evening. This looks like a repeating phenomenon
through much of next week as a west to northwesterly flow ushers in
a series of passing weather disturbances, bringing bouts of showery
precipitation and gusty winds while temperatures remain close to or
slightly above seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION...

Updated 506 AM MST Fri Feb 29 2020 (29/12Z TAF Period)

Snow showers associated with a Pacific system will stay mostly
confined to the mountains along the Divide but the southwest
terminals may see rain/snow shower activity and associated MVFR
conditions this afternoon. Gusty westerly winds may persist through
this afternoon over the central/north-central terminals and to a
lesser extent for the southwest terminals this afternoon. Scattered
LLWS and mountain wave activity is possible across much of the area
through this afternoon. Later this evening into tonight, a secondary
push of colder air will shift surface winds to a more northerly
direction and may introduce some MVFR and possible IFR clouds to the
North-central terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  45  23  36  25 /   0  20  10   0
CTB  41  20  38  25 /   0  30   0   0
HLN  42  23  38  22 /  20  10  20   0
BZN  44  21  35  15 /  40  30  20   0
WYS  34  10  28  -6 /  50  70  30   0
DLN  42  21  33  15 /  20  20  10   0
HVR  48  21  36  25 /   0  10   0   0
LWT  43  20  31  19 /  10  30  10   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until noon MST today Northern Rocky Mountain
Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

High Wind Warning until noon MST today Eastern Glacier...Toole.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 29, 8:22 AM MST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
822 AM MST SAT FEB 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
02/28/2020  M51 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTBRN TWO MEDICINE BRIDGE
            (MT DOT).

1021 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK  48.36N 113.11W
02/28/2020  M52 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DCRM8 DEEP CREEK RAWS.

0710 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK           48.60N 112.37W
02/29/2020  M51 MPH          GLACIER            MT   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KCTB CUT BANK AIRPORT.

&&

Event by event

4 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Toole

When
February 29, 8:25 AM MST to 9:26 AM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Department of Highways

Measured 40 mph average sustained winds from 825 am until 926 am. Peak wind gust was 56 mph during this time.

High Wind, Blaine

When
February 29, 1:00 PM MST
Where
Blaine forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
COOP Observer

Measured 59 mph wind gust. Time of event is estimated.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
February 29, 1:25 PM MST to 2:25 PM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
36 kt (41 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
ASOS

Averaged 41 mph sustained wind between 125 pm and 225 pm. Peak wind gust was 53 mph during this time.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
February 29, 5:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station mtm05 5.8 nw ledger (mt-meso).

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 874915, 874913, 874914, 874912.