Georgia, 2020

Damaging Wind in Georgia, June 27, 2020

June 27, 2020 · NWS GSP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A cluster of thunderstorms moved across Elbert County during the evening and caused brief damaging winds across the southern half of the county.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

A cluster of thunderstorms moved across Elbert County during the evening and caused brief damaging winds across the southern half of the county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 4:25 PM EST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 4:25 PM EST, 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
525 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level disturbance will lead to an increase in showers and
thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon and evening. Unsettled weather
will continue throughout next week as a back door front moves south
into the region and stalls. Daily afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms will arise in the warm and humid airmass across the
area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 515 PM EDT...Monitoring an MCS that is bowing out across
northern GA, making a beeline for our GA Piedmont counties. The
storms really forming a cold pool and may produce some severe gusts.
Otherwise, the rest of the forecast area is struggling to destablize
under plenty of thick mid-high clouds. Bumped up Pops ahead of this
line of storms, while lowering PoPs in the mountains, where there's
a lack of instability. Otherwise, added mention of haze thru Sunday
morning , as most sites are seeing some reduction in vsby with the
Saharan dust.

The atmos will remain unsettled thru the period as an energized
quasi-zonal flow persists, before a more defined upper s/w trof
crosses the region Sun afternoon and evening. Not expecting much in
the way of deep convec this afternoon as the mlvls remain fairly
warm, while mlvl cloud cover prevents good sfc-based destabilization
over most areas. The w/ly flow within the BL will also aide in
preventing deep cells outside the mtns, where a couple topo enhanced
tstms could become fairly strong. Southwesterly flow on the edge of
the Bermuda High will continue efficient GOM moist flux overnight,
which keep cloud cover high and hold min temps up a couple cats abv
normal.

Things get more interesting and tricky Sun, when the models bring an
energetic h5 s/w from the northwest to the FA by mid afternoon. This
will combine with a destabilizing atmos as all models indicate
increasing sbCAPE on the order of at least 1500 J/kg. The models
also show a developing llvl jet to arnd 30 kts during the afternoon
across the nrn zones. So...the ingredients will be there for a
possible organized lines of convection capable of producing severe
level winds as they form across the NC mtns then propagates east
thru the NC piedmont during the afternoon and early evening. There
is still moderate uncertainty as to exactly where the potential lines
may form as the NAM is further south into the NC zones than the GFS,
which keeps the better forcing and subsequent convec line mostly
north and east of the FA. This will be a situation to keep an eye
on. Max temps will be warmer than today in better insol with
readings right arnd normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 200 pm EDT Saturday: A mid level trof will pass just off to
the northeast on Sunday night as upper level ridging builds over the
Ohio and Tennessee valleys and a closed mid level low rotates across
New England. Weak short waves in this northwest flow pattern will
lead to an active convective regime Monday and Tuesday with the peak
in activity focused in the afternoon and evening hours. Showers and
thunderstorms may be somewhat enhanced by the approach of a weak
backdoor cold front.

Temperatures look to be a little above climo reaching into the lower
90s in the Piedmont and the middle 80s in the mountain valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 pm EDT Saturday: Height falls mid week will permit above
climo PoPs to continue, with mainly a diurnal convective pattern
expected through late week as a dissipating boundary persists in the
vicinity, profiles remain moist and instability continues to
rebound. Temperatures through the middle and end of next week will
be around climo.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Generally VFR conds thru the period at all
TAF sites. There could be some lowering of VSBY with isol showers
across the area, but confidence at any TAF site is too low for
inclusion. Also, periods of MVFR VSBY due to HZ is possible across
the non/mtn sites, but for now kept at 6SM HZ as uncertainty is high
due to changes in cloud coverage. A better chance of -shra and
possible tstms at KCLT late in the period as an upper s/w trof
crosses the area.

Outlook: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected each afternoon across the region thru the middle of next
week. There will also be potential low clouds and fog around
daybreak each morning, especially in the mtn valleys. Otherwise,
expect VFR conditions.

Confidence Table...

            21-03z        03-09Z        09-15Z        15-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High  98%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables are available at
the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SW
NEAR TERM...ARK/SBK
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...SBK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 3:46 AM EST, 13 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
446 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-280900-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
446 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, Piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible around the region
this afternoon and evening. Cloud-to-ground lightning strikes will be
the main threat with any thunderstorms that form.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop on
Sunday. The storms will develop first over the mountains Sunday
morning, then spread east across the foothills and Piedmont through
the afternoon and early evening hours. Some of these thunderstorms
will be strong, producing gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall, and
frequent cloud-to-ground lighting. A few may become severe, with
damaging wind gusts the primary threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed on Sunday. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following
all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

HG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 27, 4:05 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
505 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

SCZ010-272145-
Anderson SC-
505 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ANDERSON
COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 504 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 6 miles
southeast of Clemson, or near Pendleton, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Anderson, Homeland Park, Belton, Northlake, Pendleton, Anderson
Airport, Williamston, Lake Hartwell, Sandy Springs and Broadway Lake.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

LAT...LON 3458 8288 3467 8279 3470 8272 3459 8242
      3457 8243 3455 8241 3454 8239 3438 8247
      3437 8249
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 294DEG 27KT 3461 8273

LANE
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 4:45 PM EST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
545 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

SCZ006-010>012-019-272230-
Laurens SC-Anderson SC-Abbeville SC-Greenwood SC-
Greater Greenville SC-
545 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN
LAURENS...SOUTH CENTRAL GREENVILLE...EAST CENTRAL
ANDERSON...NORTHEASTERN ABBEVILLE AND NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD
COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

At 544 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 13
miles east of Anderson, or near Honea Path, moving east at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Laurens, Honea Path, Ware Shoals, Donalds, Cokesbury, Waterloo,
Shoals Junction, Belton, Lake Greenwood and Coronaca.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake Greenwood is in the path of this storm. Gusty winds will create
dangerous boating conditions. Move to shore immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 8254 3459 8246 3447 8196 3422 8207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 291DEG 31KT 3448 8241

LANE

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 105 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Elbert

When
June 27, 5:15 PM EST
Where
Elbert County, 1.56 mi SSE of Elberton to 1.88 mi ENE of Bell
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
34.099, -82.860

County comms reported multiple trees blown down along the Highway 17 corridor from Elberton to near the Wilkes County line.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, June 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 905381.