Arizona, 2020High Wind in Arizona, November 6, 2020
November 6, 2020 · NWS VEF · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A rain shower falling into very dry low level air produced high winds.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A rain shower falling into very dry low level air produced high winds.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 6, 4:36 AM MST, 10 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 6, 4:36 AM MST, 10 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
336 AM PST Fri Nov 6 2020
.SYNOPSIS...Record breaking warm weather will continue for much of
the area today although effects from an incoming storm system will
be felt by late Friday morning in the form of strong winds.
Various headlines are in effect today to address the impacts
expected from these winds. The weekend will be much colder as the
storm system settles over the area. Expect increasing chances of
rain and snow over the region this weekend into early Monday. Dry
but cool weather hangs on through much of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Through Sunday night.
Satellite shows considerable area of high clouds streaming inland
over the Intermountain West ahead of cold low moving south along the
southwest Oregon coast.
High clouds expected to hang most of the day but due to increased
mixing from approaching low anticipate our temps taking one last run
at records today. No change was made to our existing Advisory and
Red Flag products.
GEFS and ECMWF Ensemble guidance has remained quite consistent with
the evolution of the pattern over the weekend. This first low along
the southwest Oregon coast will continue south into central
California tonight before ejecting east across the Great Basin
Saturday. Second potent shortwave digs south through California
Sunday before the entire trough starts to move east through Arizona
Monday.
Devil will be in the details regarding our overall location of
greatest QPF and snow amounts with this incoming one-two punch.
Latest guidance has trended upward in POPs for Saturday while
indicating more widespread precipitation than 24 hours ago. QPF
amounts with this first wave continue to look light. Snow levels
will be falling to between 4000-5000 feet across southeast
California and southern Nevada. Just coming out of a very warm
stretch of weather believe warm road and soil temperatures will
limit any new snow accumulations. That should change by Sunday as
the second potent shortwave plows through the region. Similar to
yesterday, latest guidance is producing greatest QPF values across
parts of eastern Lincoln, Clark and Mohave Counties Sunday through
Sunday night. Snow levels across southern Nevada expected to remain
in that 4000-4500 foot level, while in Mohave County they initially
start out higher before lowering to 4000-5000 foot by early Monday
morning. With colder surfaces Sunday do expect to see greater snow
accumulation, especially above 5000 foot. Ensemble output continues
to support highest probability of >3 inches of snow for central Nye,
Lincoln, Mohave and Clark County Mountains Sunday through Sunday
night. Since this is the first Winter Storm of the season decided to
issue a Winter Storm Watch above 5000 feet for parts of southern
Nevada and northwest Arizona. Being the first Winter Storm we
typically use lower accumulations as guidance for potential impacts.
Much colder this weekend with high temperatures Sunday forecast to
be as much as 30 degrees colder than today.
.LONG TERM...Monday through Thursday...
Showers and snow showers will linger in the far eastern portions of
our CWA, particularly across northern Mohave County Monday morning.
Otherwise, skies will continue to clear across the region as the
aforementioned storm system pushes eastward out of the Desert
Southwest. Though the deep trough will move out of the area, the
overall synoptic pattern will remain starkly different than we've
seen the last few months with a longwave trough parked over the
western United States. A parade of troughs with varying intensities
will pulse through the longwave pattern, allowing persistent
temperatures below seasonal averages and sporadic non-zero
precipitation chances across portions of the southern Great Basin
through the remainder of the week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Strongest belt of winds expected over Inyo,
Esmeralda and Nye counties today. The eastern Sierra Slopes and
Spring Mountains could see periods of downslope winds which could
produce locally stronger winds. Humidity levels are expected to fall
below critical thresholds in the mid to lower elevations while
remaining above thresholds in the higher elevations. Also, the lack
of precipitation over the past 6 months has kept fuels at critical
levels in all our zones as ERC values are well above normal for
early November.
&&
.CLIMATE...One more day of near record or record warmth for parts
of the area. The table below shows the record high temperature for
each location and the year the record was last set, followed by the
forecast for each day.
FRI NOV 6
Record(Yr)/Fcst
Las Vegas 85(1988) / 85
Death Valley 96(2012) / 96
Kingman 89(1921) / 84
Bishop 81(1955) / 76
Barstow Daggett 88(1991) / 86
Needles 91(2012) / 91
&&
.AVIATION...For McCarran...Light southwest winds are expected
to remain through the overnight period before winds start to
increase later today. South to southwest winds will begin to
increase by late morning/early afternoon in response to an
approaching weather system. Winds are expected to peak Friday
afternoon-evening with gusts to around 20-25 knots. Winds may relax
this evening from 02Z-09Z. Southwest winds will increase overnight
by 10-12Z at KLAS with sustained winds of 10-12 knots and gusts to
15 to 20 knots. Similar gusty winds are expected Saturday. SCT to
BKN aoa 20 Kft and some FEW aoa 12-15 Kft. Dry conditions expected
through Saturday morning.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Light winds expected to remain through the early
morning before south-southwest winds increase across the region this
afternoon. Winds will begin to increase across south-central NV by
late afternoon, becoming area-wide by the afternoon. Generally
expect sustained winds of 15-20 knots at most terminals with gusts
to 25-30 knots. Winds will relax some this evening at most
terminals, excluding KDAG, where winds will remain gusty. Similar
winds are expected Saturday. SCT to BKN aoa 20 Kft and some FEW aoa
12-15 Kft. Dry conditions expected through Saturday morning.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts from the incoming storm through
the weekend according to standard operating procedures.
&&
SHORT TERM/FIRE WEATHER...Pierce
LONG TERM...Varian
AVIATION...Kryston
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter
High Wind, Northwest Deserts
- When
- November 6, 2:54 PM MST to 3:05 PM MST
- Where
- Northwest Deserts forecast zone
- Measured
- 63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
These winds occurred at the Kingman Airport. Visibility also briefly dropped to one quarter mile in light rain and blowing dust.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 924945.