Arizona, 2020

High Wind in Arizona, December 28, 2020

December 28, 2020 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A cold front brought gusty winds to much of northern Arizona on 28 December. The strongest winds were felt along the Mogollon Rim in the White Mountains.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A cold front brought gusty winds to much of northern Arizona on 28 December. The strongest winds were felt along the Mogollon Rim in the White Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 28, 9:41 AM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 9:41 AM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
941 AM MST Mon Dec 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...An approaching storm system will bring gusty southwest
winds today. Chances for rain and snow will increase from west to
east this afternoon and into tonight as the storm moves across
Arizona, with lingering showers expected on Tuesday. Dry
conditions will return on Wednesday, with another cold front due
late Thursday into Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...Current forecast is on track with very strong winds ahead
of a cold front which will cross northern AZ this afternoon and
overnight. The bulk of the accumulating precipitation with this
system will fall along (and just behind) the front, with 2-4
hours of moderate precipitation (and some heavier embedded
showers) with the frontal passage. This is a cold system, and
light snow accumulations could occur down to 4500' with this
event. In any case, roads will become quite slick later this
afternoon and overnight with the anticipated 1-3+" of snowfall at
the higher elevations. Precipitation will become showery behind
the front overnight, and continue into Tuesday with only light
accumulations expected. Only minor forecast updates planned at
this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /256 AM MST/...Lingering areas of flurries and
sprinkles will continue to diminish through the early morning
hours. No impacts are anticipated on area roadways from the light
precipitation.

The main story will be an approaching storm system set to bring
gusty southwest winds and light snow accumulations to the region
this afternoon through Tuesday. There has been little change to
the wind forecast with gusts of 40 to 55 mph along and northeast
of the Mogollon Rim this afternoon as the pressure gradient
tightens ahead of the front. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for
these areas from Noon through 6pm MST.

A large majority of the shower activity will be associated with
the frontal passage late this afternoon into tonight. Latest model
guidance has once again trended down in terms of QPF totals.
Therefore, we have trimmed forecast snow amounts down with this
forecast package. In general, 1-3 inches of snow are forecast
above 5000-5500 feet. Behind the front, we will see snow levels
fall as low as 4000 feet tonight and early Tuesday. While these
areas may see some flakes in the air, nothing more than a dusting
is expected. Cold air aloft will bring continued shower activity
through Tuesday afternoon, but additional accumulation during the
daylight hours should be fairly minimal in most locations. Look
for cold overnight conditions Tuesday into Wednesday with locally
breezy northeast winds and fresh snow cover.

Another front will push through the region later Thursday into
Friday. However, this system looks to be moisture starved with
only a quick round of light snowfall north of I-40. Behind the
system, expect another shot of cold air and breezy northerly
winds. A weak ridge of high pressure looks to build in for the
weekend with quiet weather returning.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...A cold front will move across the
area from west to east through 12Z Tuesday. Expect deteriorating
ceilings and visibilities in -SHRA/-SHSN along the frontal band.
Periods of IFR conditions are likely at higher terrain sites.
Surface winds will remain strong through the afternoon, with S-SW
winds from 15-30 kts and gusts from 25-45 kts. The highest wind
speeds are expected to be for areas from Flagstaff eastward.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A cold front will move across the state
this from west to east afternoon through Tuesday morning with
increasing southwest winds. Isolated to scattered showers this
morning will increse as the front moves through the area. Many areas
will see wetting rain or snow from tonight through Tuesday. Lighter
west-northwest winds are expected Tuesday behind the front.

Wednesday through Friday...Mainly dry, but with some light snow
possible on Thursday and Thursday night in the Four Corners area.
Highs around 5 degrees below normal. Modest west through north winds
are forecast.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Wind Advisory until 6 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ011>017-039-040.

&&

PUBLIC...BAK/TPS
AVIATION...RR
FIRE WEATHER...BAK

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, White Mountains

When
December 28, 1:24 PM MST to 4:24 PM MST
Where
White Mountains forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
35.398, -109.905 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Limestone Canyon RAWS measured wind gust over 58 MPH from 124 PM to 424 PM. The peak wind gust of 61 MPH was measured at 324 PM.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, December 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 932243.