Arizona, 2020

High Wind in Arizona, December 12 to 13, 2020

December 12 to 13, 2020 · NWS FGZ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A strong cold front brought high winds to parts of northern Arizona on December 12 and 13.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A strong cold front brought high winds to parts of northern Arizona on December 12 and 13.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 12, 2:02 PM MST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 12, 2:02 PM MST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
202 PM MST Sat Dec 12 2020

.SYNOPSIS...Snow showers will continue along and north of the
Mogollon Rim through the evening. The main impacts will be periods
of gusty winds with the most impactful snow along the Kaibab
Plateau and in the Chuska Mountains. Another cold but drier
system is forecast on Monday. Look for moderating daytime
temperatures by Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Light snow showers have been reported in many
locations this afternoon including Grand Canyon National Park,
Bellemont/Flagstaff, and Navajo Mountain to name a few. The cold
front is dipping it's way into the state and we can expect the
heaviest precipitation to be along the frontal passage this
afternoon into the early evening. This will be a quick moving
front with brief moderate to heavy snow in a few locations where
heavier bands set up. Accumulations are unchanged with the
afternoon update. The Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect
until 11 pm for areas above 7500 ft near the Chuska Mountains. In
addition to the snowfall, afternoon gusts have verified with
areas in the Wind Advisory gusting 40-50 mph. The Wind Advisory
will continue through 5 pm. Be aware that poor visibility and
blowing snow may be possible in the northeast where a few bands of
snow showers are ongoing this afternoon. If you have to travel,
slow down and be prepared for winter weather driving conditions.

Precipitation chances will quickly end west to east this evening.
As the front moves out, winds will shift to the northwest behind
it and then eventually become northeasterly Sunday morning. Expect
very gusty conditions along and south of the high terrain Sunday
morning. Winds will be strongest in the early morning and then
steadily decrease through the morning and afternoon. In addition,
expect very chilly highs on Sunday along and north of the Mogollon
Rim. The coldest temperatures will be in the northeast near the
Four Corners where many places may hover around freezing for
highs. With very dry air filtering in as well, conditions will be
just plain bitterly cold.

Another much drier weather system is forecast to move through on
Monday brining another round of breezy west to southwest winds.
There is a slight chance for showers mainly on the Kaibab Plateau.
A few flurries will be possible at times for areas in the far
north. Temperatures Monday will be warmer than Sunday but remain
cool as this system brings in a reinforcing shot of cold air.
Temperatures on Tuesday will drop back down a few degrees as well.

For the rest of the week, we still expect ridging to build back in
with a gradual warm up in temperatures and a return to much
quieter mild weather. Next weekend still looks to be a return to
more unsettled weather with the potential for another system on
Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...A cold front will bring areas
of snow along/east of a line from KGCN-KFLG-KPAN during the evening.
Widespread MVFR and areas IFR are anticipated with this
precipitation. By 01Z...along the Utah border winds will shift to
north to northeast at 10-20 kt with VFR conditions developing which
will then spread southward across all of northern Arizona by 07Z.
After 07Z...VFR conditions area wide with locally gusty
northeasterly winds continuing. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Look for dry conditions on Sunday with locally
gusty northeasterly Winds. For Monday, yet another weak disturbance
will brush Arizona delivering a slight chance of snow showers from
the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains northward along with gusty west
to southwest winds.

Tuesday through Thursday...It will be cold and dry through the
period. Locally gusty northerly winds on Tuesday will become light
on Wednesday but increase again from the southwest direction on
Thursday as yet another weather disturbance approaches.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR AZZ012-013-015-
016.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ011.

Wind Advisory until 8 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ014-017.

&&

PUBLIC...ET
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County

When
December 12, 5:23 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.400, -110.321 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The ADOT wind sensor at Jackrabbit (270 mile on I-40) had a peak wind gust of 61 MPH at 523 PM.

High Wind, Western Mogollon Rim

When
December 12, 11:29 PM MST to December 13, 4:29 AM MST
Where
Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Measured
63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The NWS Davis weather station at Snowbowl (10,767 feet) measured wind gusts of 58 MPH or higher from around 1130 PM to around 430 AM. The peak wind gust of 73 MPH was measured at 1235 AM.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, December 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 932223, 932227.