Several inches of snow melt and some rainfall led to minor flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MKX wrote it up.
Several inches of snow melt and some rainfall led to minor flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 6, 11:40 AM CST, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1140 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019
.UPDATE...Patchy dense fog lingering longer than expected in the
far southeast this afternoon. Drizzle has ended, and expect fog to
gradually thin through mid-afternoon. Wl be expanding Winter Wx
Advisory to include southeast counties this evening for period of
light freezing rain/sleet showers.
&&
.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...IFR ceilings to continue with patchy dense
fog in the far southeast lingering for a few more hours. Expect
scattered to numerous mixed showers to affect CWA this evening
with more widespread precipitation late tonight into Thursday.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 931 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019)
UPDATE...Areas of drizzle continue to hang on in the far
southeast CWA due to lingering weak low level convergence, however
expect weakening trend to continue as weak surface low over OH
Valley moves farther east. Drizzle and thicker fog should diminish
by early afternoon with clouds lingering through the day. No
changes to winter headlines commencing tonight.
MARINE...Winds and waves will generally be on the lower end into
Thursday as low pressure approaches the area. Strong westerly
winds and high waves are then expected behind the departing low
later Thursday into Friday morning. A Gale Watch remains in effect
for the southern 2/3 of Lake Michigan, with a few gusts to gale
force also possible in the northern 1/3. A Small Craft Advisory
will likely be needed for the nearshore waters during this period
as well, with a few gusts to gale force not out of the question.
Heavy freezing spray will be possible across Lake Michigan later
Thursday night through Friday night.
Winds will gradually drop off Friday night, with lighter winds
expected over the weekend.
PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 542 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019)
UPDATE...
Freezing drizzle is still vaguely apparent on radar and comes and
goes, but there is a diminishing trend as drier air aloft moves
in. The Winter Weather Advisory continues through 9 am to get
through the morning commute. Dense fog is spreading northward up
the lakeshore into southeast WI early this morning.
AVIATION(12Z TAFS)...
Freezing drizzle, light fog, and low ceilings will persist across
southern WI into the mid morning hours. Expect the drizzle to
diminish, but the low ceilings and light fog will stick around
through much of the day. Temperatures will be around the freezing
mark in southeast WI and remain below across the rest of southern
WI.
Light freezing rain, sleet, or freezing drizzle will spread into
the area from the southwest this evening. We can expect a light
glaze to develop once again. Southeast WI will warm above freezing
Thu morning, but other areas will remain below freezing and have
a continued freezing rain, sleet and snow threat.
PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 437 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019)
SHORT TERM...
Today...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.
We are still seeing a widespread area of freezing drizzle across
southern WI, eastern IA, and northern IL. We extended the Winter
Weather Advisory to cover this time period. The Wisconsin 511
website is still reporting slippery stretches across a large
portion of southern WI early this morning.
Model soundings show the dry air aloft moving eastward into
southern WI by late morning. Any lingering freezing drizzle
should diminish by this time. We can expect low clouds and patchy
fog through the rest of the day. Temperatures will remain steady
in the upper 20s and lower 30s today.
Tonight and Thursday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.
We are expecting another round of freezing rain tonight and
Thursday. Southeast WI will have a shorter event since
temperatures will warm above freezing Thursday morning. Another
Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for this upcoming event.
An inverted trough will slide across southern WI tonight. QPF
looks light with this period since the better forcing will be to
our south with low level frontogenesis and to our northwest with
the main upper wave and upper jet. The surface low will slide
across northeast IL to northern MI on Thursday while the 850mb low
will track through central WI. This is a good setup for that
persistent warm nose aloft to produce freezing rain.
By early Thursday morning (3 am to 6 am), the 850mb warm sector
will begin to nose into southeast WI. We can expect higher precip
rates in this area, but temps rising above freezing will give us
rain rather than freezing rain. Northwest of this area, we will
continue to see freezing rain threat. Toward central WI, there
will be less of a warm nose and deep enough moisture to get
dendrites, thus a better chance of snow mixed in with freezing
rain and possibly sleet.
Ice amounts are uncertain, but the 50th percentile of model
output for storm total ice show values around a tenth of an inch
for southern WI. We are within a transition zone between the rain
and higher snow amounts meaning a narrow area could see higher
icing amounts. We will need to see how this pans out Thursday
morning.
Thursday Night Through Saturday Night...Forecast Confidence Is
High.
Models are showing precipitation quickly winding down Thursday
evening, with strong cold air advection on brisk west winds
pushing into the region. There may be some lingering effects from
the freezing rain/sleet/snow into Thursday evening, with
temperatures falling rather quickly.
Dry conditions with rather cold temperatures are then expected
for Thursday night into Saturday morning, as strong Canadian high
pressure slides southeast into the region. Lows in the single
digits Thursday night will not rise much Friday, with lows Friday
night dropping below zero. May reach 10 below zero in northwestern
parts of the area Friday night.
West northwest winds will not be that strong, but will bring wind
chills in the 15 below to 25 below zero range. Thus, some impacts
from the wind chills are possible Friday night into Saturday
morning. Temperatures should recover somewhat Saturday afternoon
and night, with warm air advection developing.
LONG TERM...
Sunday Through Tuesday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.
Models are generally showing a 500 mb vorticity maximum and some
middle level frontogenesis response moving east through the region
Sunday. There should be enough column moisture for a period of
light snow to move through the area. Raised PoPs back into the
likely range across most of the area for this period. May see
light accumulations of 1 to 2 inches during this time.
GFS/ECMWF are then showing low pressure trying to gradually move
northeast toward and into or southeast of the region Monday night
into Tuesday. The ECMWF is further north with the low track, with
the GFS further south. This may bring another round of light snow
accumulations to the area. For now, left blended model PoPs and
temperatures for this period.
AVIATION(09Z TAF UPDATES)...
Freezing drizzle, light fog, and low ceilings will persist across
southern WI into the mid morning hours. Expect the drizzle to
diminish, but the low ceilings and light fog will stick around
through much of the day. Temperatures will over around the
freezing mark in southeast WI and remain below across the rest of
southern WI.
Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will spread into the area
from the southwest this evening. We can expect a light glaze to
develop once again. Southeast WI will warm above freezing Thu
morning, but other areas will remain below freezing and have a
continued freezing rain threat.
MARINE...
Nearshore Waters...
Waves of 2 to 4 feet are possible later today into Thursday, with
onshore winds persisting across the area.
Gusty west to northwest winds should develop later Thursday
afternoon and linger into Friday evening. Gusts of 25 to 30 knots
are possible during this period. A Small Craft Advisory may be
needed. Any high waves will be over the open waters of Lake
Michigan.
Open Waters...
Gusty west to northwest winds are expected Thursday night into
Friday morning, as low pressure exits the region. Gales to 40
knots may occur at times during this period. A Gale Watch is in
effect for this period, for the southern 2/3 of Lake Michigan.
High waves are expected on the eastern parts of the lake. Gusty
west winds to 30 knots may linger Friday afternoon and night,
with high waves lingering.
Heavy freezing spray is possible as well Thursday night into
Friday night, and a Heavy Freezing Spray Warning may eventually be
needed.
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST
Thursday for WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>064-067>069.
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
Thursday for WIZ065-066-070>072.
LM...Gale Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning for
LMZ080-366-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-870-872-874-
876-878.
Dense Fog Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LMZ080-646-
675-777-779-876-878.
&&
Update...99
Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...99
Thursday THROUGH Tuesday...99Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1143 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-071515- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 1143 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A Winter Weather Advisory goes into effect at 6 PM CST this evening over most of the area, and at 9 PM CST in far southeast Wisconsin. Another round of freezing rain, sleet and snow is expected to move into the area tonight. This will cause more hazardous travel conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 6 AM CST Thursday across far southeast Wisconsin, and until 6 PM CST Thursday across the rest of the area. Far southeast Wisconsin should see a change to all rain Thursday morning into the afternoon. Freezing rain, sleet and snow will continue elsewhere Thursday. Ice accumulations may reach up to 1/4 inch in parts of the area. Hazardous travel conditions are expected. Colder temperatures will move into the region Thursday night into Saturday morning. Wind chills Friday night into Saturday morning may reach 15 below to 25 below zero. The risk for ice jams and possible localized river flooding will continue this week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed, but any reports of ice, sleet and snow accumulations will be appreciated. LMZ643>646-071515- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 1143 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Dense Fog will be possible through the afternoon from roughly the Racine area southward. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 6 pm CST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed for brisk winds later Thursday afternoon into Friday evening, as low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes region. Gusts could approach gale force for a time. Heavy freezing spray will be possible from Thursday night through Friday night. LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-071515- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 1143 AM CST Wed Feb 6 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Dense fog will be possible in the south through the afternoon hours. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 6 pm CST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A Gale Watch is in effect from Thursday night into Friday morning. Brisk winds and high waves will likely occur for Thursday night into Friday night, as low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes region. There is increasing confidence that gusts will reach gale force Thursday evening into Friday morning. Heavy freezing spray may also occur Thursday night into Friday night. www.weather.gov/mkx MBK
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Sugar River at Brodhead reached minor flood stage, cresting at 5.65 feet the early afternoon of February 7th. Some roads were flooded in the Avon Township. In the Avon Bottoms area, flooding occurred in Sugar River Park.
The Fox River near New Munster reached minor flood stage, cresting at 11.66 feet the early afternoon of February 7th. Water surrounds a home near the intersection of Highway 50 and Highway W in the Town of Wheatland area. Water is in the back yards of some homes in the Village of Salem Lakes and Town of Wheatland areas. Floodwaters are about 6 inches deep over 77th Street in the Town of Wheatland area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Wisconsin in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Wisconsin, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 826393, 826397.